Villanova Game Back On

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

https://www.bigeast.com/news/2021/2/1/mens-basketball-big-east-announces-mbb-schedule-changes.aspx

February 10th, 9pm Eastern. Prepare for pain

[hairy worthen]

https://www.bigeast.com/news/2021/2/1/mens-basketball-big-east-announces-mbb-schedule-changes.aspx

February 10th, 9pm Eastern. Prepare for pain

Look at it as an opportunity to get another quality win. (I can dream cant I)

[Frenns Liquor Depot]

Nm

[MU82]

Prepare for pain

C'mon TAMU ... I don't think we'll beat 'em that badly.

[Spaniel with a Short Tail]

The amusing part is it looks like the BE decided it preferred we play Villanova rather than DePaul play Villanova.

[5DollarPitcher]

The amusing part is it looks like the BE decided it preferred we play Villanova rather than DePaul play Villanova.

Well the Big East doesn't want to jeopardize Villanova getting a 1 seed. DePaul is more frisky than us at this point.

[Johnny B]

I'm still clinging to tourney hopes and glad this game is being played if we lose his really no harm done in the unlikely situation when we win could be a huge resume builder so im cool that

[Lennys Tap]

https://www.bigeast.com/news/2021/2/1/mens-basketball-big-east-announces-mbb-schedule-changes.aspx

February 10th, 9pm Eastern. Prepare for pain

Pain is losing at home to DePaul or St John's. Villanova is a no lose situation. If we get rolled it's what we expected. Give 'em a game and it's a moral victory. Pull an upset and you'll have Scoopers discussing how many millions we have to make the buyout in Wojo's next extension just to keep Duke from poaching him.

[MU82]

We got this!

[Galway Eagle]

I'm still clinging to tourney hopes and glad this game is being played if we lose his really no harm done in the unlikely situation when we win could be a huge resume builder so im cool that

Cant help but just laugh if we win. We'd have by far the best wins of any bubble  team and would not deserve a tournament spot.

[brewcity77]

Cant help but just laugh if we win. We'd have by far the best wins of any bubble  team and would not deserve a tournament spot.

If we go 5-3 (with the added game) we probably get in because no bubble team could match our top-of-the-resume quality. If we go 6-2, we would get in.

Conversely, if DePaul goes 7-0, I still don't think they get in. The Big East is just betting on our narrow hopes over their nonexistent ones.

[Galway Eagle]

If we go 5-3 (with the added game) we probably get in because no bubble team could match our top-of-the-resume quality. If we go 6-2, we would get in.

Conversely, if DePaul goes 7-0, I still don't think they get in. The Big East is just betting on our narrow hopes over their nonexistent ones.

Let's say for $hits & giggles that we sweep Butler (hah) and beat Depaul (big if now) thats 3 so we need two of Nova, UConn, Xavier, Hall, Creighton. December Marquette that played UConn great for 30 of 40 min or lost at the buzzer to X could do it. I don't see it happening now. I don't see it Brew not the way we are currently playing with a defeated coach and 5-7min of good basketball in our blood.

[MuggsyB]

Let's say for $hits & giggles that we sweep Butler (hah) and beat Depaul (big if now) thats 3 so we need two of Nova, UConn, Xavier, Hall, Creighton. December Marquette that played UConn great for 30 of 40 min or lost at the buzzer to X could do it. I don't see it happening now. I don't see it Brew not the way we are currently playing with a defeated coach and 5-7min of good basketball in our blood.

Yes.  The chances are not good ( about.02 %) but NOTHING IS OFFICIALLY OVER.  I bumped our chances from 0.0 to .02 after seeing this news. 

[NCMUFan]

Looks like for todays game should use a long bench as tomorrow we are playing Villanova.
Two straight days of MU BB!  Can it be too much for some of us?

[Lighthouse 84]

Looks like for todays game should use a long bench as tomorrow we are playing Villanova.
Two straight days of MU BB!  Can it be too much for some of us?

I believe the Nova game is set for February 10, not tomorrow.  Gives your heart an opportunity to rest, hey?

[NCMUFan]

Yes, TY.  I was ahead of myself.

[MuggsyB]

Yes, TY.  I was ahead of myself.

Thx for frightening me.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

At this point, I'm expecting either 3-5 or 4-4 to finish the season. That being said, I wouldn't be shocked to see 6-2 or 5-3 either. We've been on the wrong end of some really bad luck all season (292nd in luck per KenPom), ridiculous shooting performances (opponent's ppp on both guarded and unguarded threes is way higher than the D1 or Big East average), and other than the Nova blowout, we've been within a single possession in the last few minutes of every loss.

But, close only matters in horseshoes and hand grenades and good teams don't put themselves in positions were bad luck determines the outcome. It's been a rough year.

[MU82]

Let's say for $hits & giggles that we sweep Butler (hah) and beat Depaul (big if now) thats 3 so we need two of Nova, UConn, Xavier, Hall, Creighton. December Marquette that played UConn great for 30 of 40 min or lost at the buzzer to X could do it. I don't see it happening now. I don't see it Brew not the way we are currently playing with a defeated coach and 5-7min of good basketball in our blood.

Why is Wojo "defeated"?

It's a serious question. What makes you think he has given up or accepted defeat as inevitable?

I'm no longer a ProJo. I have said multiple times that I'd fire him right now, in the season. Having said that, I must have missed the signs that he is "defeated."

[Galway Eagle]

Why is Wojo "defeated"?

It's a serious question. What makes you think he has given up or accepted defeat as inevitable?

I'm no longer a ProJo. I have said multiple times that I'd fire him right now, in the season. Having said that, I must have missed the signs that he is "defeated."

Admittedly I was basing that off the people who were talking about his post game pressers which I've stopped watching. He may not be.

[Dr. Blackheart]

At this point, I'm expecting either 3-5 or 4-4 to finish the season. That being said, I wouldn't be shocked to see 6-2 or 5-3 either. We've been on the wrong end of some really bad luck all season (292nd in luck per KenPom), ridiculous shooting performances (opponent's ppp on both guarded and unguarded threes is way higher than the D1 or Big East average), and other than the Nova blowout, we've been within a single possession in the last few minutes of every loss.

But, close only matters in horseshoes and hand grenades and good teams don't put themselves in positions were bad luck determines the outcome. It's been a rough year.

MU's chance of sweeping the three most favorable games, Butler (twice) and DePaul (once), is 19%. MU needs a lot of luck just on that.

[BM1090]

If we go 5-3 (with the added game) we probably get in because no bubble team could match our top-of-the-resume quality. If we go 6-2, we would get in.

Conversely, if DePaul goes 7-0, I still don't think they get in. The Big East is just betting on our narrow hopes over their nonexistent ones.

I very much doubt that Marquette would get in the tournament at 13-12 (9-10), which is what 5-3 would leave us at. I don't think it would even be particularly close.

14-11 (10-9) I think would be enough.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

MU's chance of sweeping the three most favorable games, Butler (twice) and DePaul (once), is 19%. MU needs a lot of luck just on that.

If you zoom in on any three game stretch for almost any team the odds are always long that they will sweep all three games. But if you take a step back and look at the entire picture the odds look better. So yes, 19% chance that Marquette wins all 3 of those three games. But the most likely projected record per KenPom is 4-4 (though they still have a home game vs. St. John's scheduled and don't have the @Nova so I assume that will change to 3-5).

[Dr. Blackheart]

If you zoom in on any three game stretch for almost any team the odds are always long that they will sweep all three games. But if you take a step back and look at the entire picture the odds look better. So yes, 19% chance that Marquette wins all 3 of those three games. But the most likely projected record per KenPom is 4-4 (though they still have a home game vs. St. John's scheduled and don't have the @Nova so I assume that will change to 3-5).

Luck in KPom (rank 292) or momentum in Haslam (314) isn't random like a con flip where we are just unlucky and are due. As you know, it is a statistical metric based on predicted vs actual. In other words, it's a reflection if a team under or over performs. Could MU go on a little run and reverse their luck, sure. 

But, you need a few calls to go your way, a coach to mix up the adjustments, a deep bench to step up, a starter to get a hot hand, an improvement on the 1-5 BE record at home. Considering MU's trend, that is a tough bet for me.

[brewcity77]

Let's say for $hits & giggles that we sweep Butler (hah) and beat Depaul (big if now) thats 3 so we need two of Nova, UConn, Xavier, Hall, Creighton. December Marquette that played UConn great for 30 of 40 min or lost at the buzzer to X could do it. I don't see it happening now. I don't see it Brew not the way we are currently playing with a defeated coach and 5-7min of good basketball in our blood.

I don't see it either. I expect today to the middle of a 7-game losing skid. I think we're done and the only question is if Wojo leaves this season or Marquette renegotiates to lower his buyout and he goes after next year.

But there's a mathematical chance we make the tourney and earn a NCAA credit or two for the league. There's no real chance of DePaul doing the same.