next 6 games

[goldeneagle91114]

1 - @ 3 Nova
2 - 21 Seton Hall
3 - @ Butler
4 - DePaul
5 -  @ 5 Xavier
6 - 3 Nova

Next 6 games look pretty challenging. Hate to be a downer, but could see the team going 1-5. Thoughts?

[jficke13]

They've got at least a puncher's shot at knocking off Hall at home, a tough, but winnable matchup at Butler, and DePaul at home should be a win. The other three are tough.

2-4 is okay, 3-3 is a great showing.

[MarquetteDano]

I think 2-4 is very doable.  Five chances for an upset... almost guaranteed we do it once.

3-3 is a bit harder.

[frozena pizza]

Brutal stretch.  The good news is that by the end of January we're done with Xavier and Villanova and things lighten up a bit in Feb.

[D'Lo Brown]

Obviously need to win the DePaul game and just hoping to steal one of the others. SH at home is probably the best bet. Just keep the tourney hopes within reach.

Regardless, even if they go 1-5, 2-4. They have got to stay positive and get to the end of season schedule... Could easily finish very strong and wipe that bad stretch out.

[robmufan]

If you are able to pull 2-4, with the Providence win, that would put projections at 10-8. Which I believe is the zone everyone wants to be come tourny time!

[Galway Eagle]

I think 2-4 we'll snag a road win against X or Butler

[Marquette4life]

We will beat hall, Depaul and I think we will pull of one upset

[barfolomew]

Sagarin win probability % for the next six:

1 - @ 3 Nova  --  9%
2 - 21 Seton Hall  --  43%
3 - @ Butler  --  29%
4 - DePaul  --  80%
5 -  @ 5 Xavier  --  18%
6 - 3 Nova  --  21%

Hall at home is by far our best chance to win one we shouldn't. Just make sure you win the one you should. DePaul loss would be an RPI-crusher.

[MarquetteDano]

Sagarin win probability % for the next six:

1 - @ 3 Nova  --  9%
2 - 21 Seton Hall  --  43%
3 - @ Butler  --  29%
4 - DePaul  --  80%
5 -  @ 5 Xavier  --  18%
6 - 3 Nova  --  21%

Hall at home is by far our best chance to win one we shouldn't. Just make sure you win the one you should. DePaul loss would be an RPI-crusher.

ASSUMING beating DePaul,  using Sagarin's numbers we have 79% chance of at least going 2-4.

[PGsHeroes32]

Have to steal one and DePaul obviously

2-4 is fine

3-3 would be insane

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

I think the next 4 should be the focus.  Obviously for the team @Nova should be the focus, but for us fans. 

Go 2-2 in the next 4, including a W @Depaul, and then steal one of @Nova, vs.SHU, @Butler, and we'll be in good shape.  4-3 heading into @X, vs.Nova.  Even with back to back losses there, we're sitting at 4-5 with by far the toughest part of the schedule over.  5-4 or 6-3 over the last 9 should be attainable. 

[GB Warrior]

I'll say this: if we win and lose the games we're "supposed to", we will have a lot of momentum headed into the BET.

It feels like we need to hold serve against Seton Hall, though. In isolation, 10 wins is doable, but when you consider our schedule in aggregate, I find it hard to believe we won't 'drop one' the rest of the way, when we need 6-7 wins in that stretch. The stretch of 3 road games is pivotal. Need 2/3 there, I think.

v. Butler
v. Providence
@ SHU
@ SJU
@ Creighton
v. SJU - Should win
@ DePaul - Should win
@ Georgetown - Should win
v. Creighton

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

I'll say this: if we win and lose the games we're "supposed to", we will have a lot of momentum headed into the BET.

It feels like we need to hold serve against Seton Hall, though. In isolation, 10 wins is doable, but when you consider our schedule in aggregate, I find it hard to believe we won't 'drop one' the rest of the way, when we need 6-7 wins in that stretch. The stretch of 3 road games is pivotal. Need 2/3 there, I think.

v. Butler
v. Providence
@ SHU
@ SJU
@ Creighton
v. SJU - Should win
@ DePaul - Should win
@ Georgetown - Should win
v. Creighton

So long as we take care of business against Hall and Creighton at home, I don't think the road games at Hall and Creighton are must wins, or "need" to wins.  Obviously every road game victory is a huge feather in our cap.

Sweep Depaul, Georgetown and Providence
Split Seton Hall, Creighton, Butler, St. Johns
Swept by X and Nova

That is 10 wins right there. I think we have a decent shot to sweep SJU, making 11 wins, without even taking 1 of the remaining 3 against X and Nova.

[skianth16]

I'll say this: if we win and lose the games we're "supposed to", we will have a lot of momentum headed into the BET.

It feels like we need to hold serve against Seton Hall, though. In isolation, 10 wins is doable, but when you consider our schedule in aggregate, I find it hard to believe we won't 'drop one' the rest of the way, when we need 6-7 wins in that stretch. The stretch of 3 road games is pivotal. Need 2/3 there, I think.

v. Butler
v. Providence
@ SHU
@ SJU
@ Creighton
v. SJU - Should win
@ DePaul - Should win
@ Georgetown - Should win
v. Creighton

Grabbing a win at home against SH would be huge, and seems manageable. But that late stretch with so many road games seems pretty daunting. We should have a good shot at winning the last 4 games, possibly even the last 6 heading into the BET, but it's easy to slip up on the road in this conference. Just no way to get a favorable schedule this year.

[dgies9156]

I think the fact that one of our beloved Scoopers is offering cold, hard cash for a win against Villanova in Philadelphia suggests this may not be as hard as we think.

4-2 baby. 4-2

Just Win Baby -- or WIN EVERY DAY!!!!!!!

[Goose]

Last night made the next six a tad easier IMO. A loss last night and the boys would have had to win 2 or 3. anything better than one win is a bonus. My gut says they go 1-5 or 2-4.

[barfolomew]

So per this swell article from Anonymous Eagle before conference games started (https://www.anonymouseagle.com/2017/12/13/16768284/marquette-golden-eagles-ncaa-tournament-profile-rpi-non-conference-wins), the four game categories for tourney committee consideration are:

Category 1: Home vs RPI 1-30, Neutral vs RPI 1-50, Road vs RPI 1-75
Category 2: Home vs RPI 31-75, Neutral vs RPI 51-100, Road vs RPI 76-135
Category 3: Home vs RPI 76-160, Neutral vs RPI 101-200, Road vs RPI 136-240
Category 4: Everything else (D1)

Question is, is it RPI at time of contest, or each team's final RPI?
Would have to be final RPI, right?

[zcg2013]

1 - @ 3 Nova
2 - 21 Seton Hall
3 - @ Butler
4 - DePaul
5 -  @ 5 Xavier
6 - 3 Nova

Next 6 games look pretty challenging. Hate to be a downer, but could see the team going 1-5. Thoughts?

I have a strong feeling on winning these three games in a row. Obviously home against SH is huge but I think that it is winnable. Aside from Angel, I think we match up well against the team.

It's always hard to win at Hinkle but it's doable. I still cringe when I remember our game at Hinkle last year. Complete collapse. Again, I strongly believe we match up well against this Butler team.

Finally, I just want to see Hauser obliterate Struss against DePaul. Living in Chicago and working with DePaul alum, I'm sick of hearing how good he is and how he's the savior of the program.


Here's to hoping that Hauser and Rowsey go off Saturday.

[Warrior of Law]

Early NCAA resume:

#50 Kenpom
4-4 vs. Top 100
The 4 losses are not horrible: #11 Wichita St., #4 Purdue, #16 Xavier, #59 Georgia. 

With at least 15 league games remaining, and every one potentially against top-100 teams (DePaul is #112), this will be a crazy 8 weeks with plenty of highs & lows, and few winning & losing streaks in there.

[MU82]

It's a great league. The schedule is supposed to be very difficult.

After we win at Nova tomorrow night, and a bunch of us collect our C-notes from PGs, I'm thinking we win 3 or 4 more of this group.

I really don't think we'll go 6-0, though. That would be crazy talk!

[brewcity77]

My thoughts...

• at Villanova: Loss They've had a week off, we just don't have the horses for this one after an exhausting OT game. It's okay, this was always going to be a loss.
  
• Seton Hall: Win We should've beat them twice last year and this is essentially the same team. Delgado is a pain, but I think home court sees us to a win.
  
• at Butler: Win They beat Nova but came back to reality with a not-nearly-as-close-as-the-score-indicated loss at Xavier. I just don't think they're that good. Road games are always tough but I think we squeak it out.
  
• DePaul: Win Next.
  
• at Xavier: Win We get 9 days to prepare for this one and we should've had them at home. Meanwhile, they play 2 games in that 9-day stretch and will be coming off a trip to Seton Hall. This was always the more likely win over Xavier, despite the location, simply based on timing for both teams.
  
• Villanova: Loss I'd love a repeat of last year's BC magic, but I don't see it. Hope I'm wrong. I think we end this stretch 4-2.

[MUBigDance]

Like that 4-2 logic ... 6-3 going into back nine would be sweet.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

I'll have what you're smoking Brew. 4-2 would have me buying dancing shoes. 1-5 is expected. 2-4 would be a good showing. 3-3 would put us in very good shape.

I have us beating DePaul and stealing one of the other five, likely Seton Hall. Originally, I thought @Butler was the more likely win but it seems like they have duped me again. Don't understand how they put together quality teams every year.

[We R Final Four]

My thoughts...

• at Villanova: Loss They've had a week off, we just don't have the horses for this one after an exhausting OT game. It's okay, this was always going to be a loss.
  
• Seton Hall: Win We should've beat them twice last year and this is essentially the same team. Delgado is a pain, but I think home court sees us to a win.
  
• at Butler: Win They beat Nova but came back to reality with a not-nearly-as-close-as-the-score-indicated loss at Xavier. I just don't think they're that good. Road games are always tough but I think we squeak it out.
  
• DePaul: Win Next.
  
• at Xavier: Win We get 9 days to prepare for this one and we should've had them at home. Meanwhile, they play 2 games in that 9-day stretch and will be coming off a trip to Seton Hall. This was always the more likely win over Xavier, despite the location, simply based on timing for both teams.
  
• Villanova: Loss I'd love a repeat of last year's BC magic, but I don't see it. Hope I'm wrong. I think we end this stretch 4-2.

Would love to see wins @X and @ BUT, but I don't see either one happening this year.