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Marquette
Marquette

Open Practice

Date/Time: Oct 11, 2024 ???
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Schedule for 2023-24
27-10

Author Topic: 300 to 1  (Read 9725 times)

Benny B

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300 to 1
« on: August 18, 2015, 06:37:24 PM »
No love from the Silver Legacy for Marquette... of course that just means that MU fans don't bet as much as the Valpo and Harvard fans do.

But Wm. Hill is offering 300 to 1 on MU.  Good value or not? 

In other words (for you non-gambler types who aren't good at math)... sure, you're probably going to lose your $10 bet, but if there were 300 iterations of the 2015-16 season, does MU win at least one Championship?

Not that I'm taking suggestions, but what other value does anyone see here?  Butler at 60:1, no thanks.   Louisville at 40:1, perhaps.
Wow, I'm very concerned for Benny.  Being able to mimic Myron Medcalf's writing so closely implies an oncoming case of dementia.

RideMyBuycks

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #1 on: August 18, 2015, 06:43:33 PM »
Dang. Should have held out. I took them at 200/1. Also have Maryland at 14/1 before those odds dropped.

fjm

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #2 on: August 18, 2015, 06:44:38 PM »
I like Texas A&M at 50/1 and Maryland also.

TAMU, Knower of Ball

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #3 on: August 18, 2015, 06:51:18 PM »
I like Texas A&M at 50/1 and Maryland also.

I appreciate the vote but we are a year away from tourney winning time.
TAMU

I do know, Newsie is right on you knowing ball.


fjm

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #4 on: August 18, 2015, 06:57:04 PM »
I appreciate the vote but we are a year away from tourney winning time.

You can have this year... MU gets next year.
I really think that A&M roster is going to be solid this year man!

tower912

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #5 on: August 18, 2015, 07:00:11 PM »
It's $10.   Lose, meh.   Win, talk crap for-absolutely-freakin-ever.   
Luke 6:45   ...A good man produces goodness from the good in his heart; an evil man produces evil out of his store of evil.   Each man speaks from his heart's abundance...

It is better to be fearless and cheerful than cheerless and fearful.

Pakuni

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #6 on: August 18, 2015, 09:07:13 PM »

Blackhat

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #7 on: August 18, 2015, 09:38:29 PM »
Intriguing to me are;
UCLA at 60-1
Florida at 50-1

Time to call the bookie.

MU82

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #8 on: August 19, 2015, 05:55:24 AM »
No love from the Silver Legacy for Marquette... of course that just means that MU fans don't bet as much as the Valpo and Harvard fans do.

But Wm. Hill is offering 300 to 1 on MU.  Good value or not? 

In other words (for you non-gambler types who aren't good at math)... sure, you're probably going to lose your $10 bet, but if there were 300 iterations of the 2015-16 season, does MU win at least one Championship?

Not that I'm taking suggestions, but what other value does anyone see here?  Butler at 60:1, no thanks.   Louisville at 40:1, perhaps.

$10? I'm gonna drop 10 thou on MU and become a millionaire when we cut down the nets!!
“It’s not how white men fight.” - Tucker Carlson

Benny B

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #9 on: August 19, 2015, 07:45:13 AM »
I was going to make 3 $10 bets, but wasn't crazy on a third team, so dropped $20 on MU at 300:1.  I figure I'm going to have to take all three kids to the Final Four, so I'm going to need more than 3 G's.

The other $10 shall remain undisclosed out of fear of ridicule.  Despite my initial thoughts, I did not put it on Slick Rick, though.
Wow, I'm very concerned for Benny.  Being able to mimic Myron Medcalf's writing so closely implies an oncoming case of dementia.

bilsu

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #10 on: August 19, 2015, 09:21:19 AM »
I was in Vegas two weeks ago and passed on the 300 to 1 bet. I now think the odds should be 200 to 1, which means I believe MU is better than the Vegas line. However, 200 to 1 will not win the NCAA tournament, so it is still a bad bet.
« Last Edit: August 19, 2015, 10:14:56 AM by bilsu »

Dawson Rental

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #11 on: August 19, 2015, 09:52:00 AM »
Without Henry Ellenson how far do we fall?  1000 to 1?
You actually have a degree from Marquette?

Quote from: muguru
No...and after reading many many psosts from people on this board that do...I have to say I'm MUCH better off, if this is the type of "intelligence" a degree from MU gets you. It sure is on full display I will say that.

bilsu

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #12 on: August 19, 2015, 10:18:28 AM »
Without Henry Ellenson how far do we fall?  1000 to 1?
We could actually rise. Without Ellenson we could ended up in the field bet, which would be all the remaining teams without a line. I do not remember what the odds on the field bet is. I did make the field bet, which included MU, when we went to the final four with Wade.

Benny B

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #13 on: August 19, 2015, 02:49:47 PM »
I was in Vegas two weeks ago and passed on the 300 to 1 bet. I now think the odds should be 200 to 1, which means I believe MU is better than the Vegas line. However, 200 to 1 will not win the NCAA tournament, so it is still a bad bet.

Every bet in Vegas is a bad bet.  Talk to the people who who made the bad bet on Villanova at 100:1 before the tourney began in 1985. 

Better yet, talk to this moron who made the two baddest bets in the last decade five years.

(word is he ended up hedging the second one)

EDITED:  MDMU04 owns the title for baddest bet over the last decade.
« Last Edit: August 19, 2015, 02:53:05 PM by Benny B »
Wow, I'm very concerned for Benny.  Being able to mimic Myron Medcalf's writing so closely implies an oncoming case of dementia.

Benny B

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #14 on: August 19, 2015, 03:10:18 PM »
We could actually rise. Without Ellenson we could ended up in the field bet, which would be all the remaining teams without a line. I do not remember what the odds on the field bet is. I did make the field bet, which included MU, when we went to the final four with Wade.

Every book has their own list of 99 teams, so the odds vary, but 100-200:1 seems typical at this point in the season... the first one I went to (Silver Legacy) didn't have a line for MU, so I went to the next book (Wm. Hill).  When I plopped down my $20, the guy standing next to me said he would give me even money.  I'm pretty sure he's not an alum, but he looked like a professional gambler (his hair - which hadn't been shampooed in days - was the giveaway).  Man, if he thinks MU is even money, maybe we're selling this team a little short this year.

The clerk asked me if I was an alum, which of course I told him I was.  Then he asked if Marquette was the school where Al McGuire coached; I said it absolutely was, and then he said:

"God, he was one of the greats.  Outstanding coach, very eloquent speaker.... I remember listening to him talk about the aircraft carrier... oh man, he was spectacular."

I've got a new favorite sportsbook.
Wow, I'm very concerned for Benny.  Being able to mimic Myron Medcalf's writing so closely implies an oncoming case of dementia.

Benny B

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #15 on: January 26, 2016, 10:00:42 AM »
Current AP Top 10 vs. Open:

OK  30:1
UNC  10:1
IA  150:1
KU   10:1
TAMU  75:1
NOVA  25:1
X   200:1
MD  9:1
WVU  125:1
PC  200:1

As suspected, lots of value in those opening odds.  I should have spread $50 across the Big East pre-season top 5.

Wow, I'm very concerned for Benny.  Being able to mimic Myron Medcalf's writing so closely implies an oncoming case of dementia.

Newsdreams

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #16 on: January 26, 2016, 10:16:09 AM »
200:1 X? I would go for it
Goal is National Championship

jesmu84

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #17 on: January 26, 2016, 10:41:16 AM »
200:1 X? I would go for it

Iowa at 150:1? I'd go for that too

oldwarrior81

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #18 on: January 26, 2016, 10:55:24 AM »
currents odds on Championship:

North Carolina  13/2
Kansas  7/1
Oklahoma  7/1
Duke 9/1
Michigan State  9/1
Maryland  12/1
Villanova 12/1
Iowa  15/1
Louisville  15/1
Kentucky 16/1
Purdue 16/1
Xavier 18/1
West Virginia  20/1
Arizona  25/1
Virginia  25/1
Miami, Fl. 30/1
UConn  30/1
Iowa State  35/1
Indiana  40/1
LSU  50/1
Providence  50/1
Texas A&M  50/1
Gonzaga  55/1
Butler 60/1
Michigan 60/1
Wichita State 60/1
California 75/1
Valparaiso  80/1
USC 85/1
Baylor  85/1
Notre Dame  100/1
Oregon  100/1
Pittsburgh  100/1
South Carolina  100/1
Vanderbilt  100/1
Dayton  150/1
Texas  150/1
Field (Any Other Team) 150/1
Marquette  300/1

MU82

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #19 on: January 26, 2016, 11:47:04 AM »
currents odds on Championship:

North Carolina  13/2
Kansas  7/1
Oklahoma  7/1
Duke 9/1
Michigan State  9/1
Maryland  12/1
Villanova 12/1
Iowa  15/1
Louisville  15/1
Kentucky 16/1
Purdue 16/1
Xavier 18/1
West Virginia  20/1
Arizona  25/1
Virginia  25/1
Miami, Fl. 30/1
UConn  30/1
Iowa State  35/1
Indiana  40/1
LSU  50/1
Providence  50/1
Texas A&M  50/1
Gonzaga  55/1
Butler 60/1
Michigan 60/1
Wichita State 60/1
California 75/1
Valparaiso  80/1
USC 85/1
Baylor  85/1
Notre Dame  100/1
Oregon  100/1
Pittsburgh  100/1
South Carolina  100/1
Vanderbilt  100/1
Dayton  150/1
Texas  150/1
Field (Any Other Team) 150/1
Marquette  300/1

I just put a cool $100K on MU.

That's a $30 million payday, my friends!

What could possibly go wrong?
“It’s not how white men fight.” - Tucker Carlson

rocky_warrior

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #20 on: January 26, 2016, 12:12:37 PM »
I just put a cool $100K on MU.

That's a $30 million payday, my friends!

What could possibly go wrong?

I'm ready to re-brand to MU82Scoop.com when you hit your payday and establish the MU82Scoop endowment.

Eldon

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #21 on: January 26, 2016, 12:28:16 PM »
Another "bad bet" is the Norwegian dude who bet on Suarez biting someone at the World Cup. 

Yesterday we shared a story about a group of people who won a 175-to-1 bet that Luis Suarez would bite someone during the World Cup.

Marcos Martinez, a resident of Copenhagen, Denmark, says he was one of the lucky people who put some money down on Suarez biting someone. In an email exchange with For the Win, he answered some questions about his big payout.

How much did you bet?

I bet 40 Danish kronor, the equivalent of USD $7.30 (and won USD $1280).




http://ftw.usatoday.com/2014/06/luis-suarez-bet-gambling-marcos-martinez

kryza

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #22 on: January 26, 2016, 01:48:42 PM »
I got Marquette at 500-1 a couple weeks ago at the Four Queens on Fremont St. Also got Iowa at 100-1, which I'm happy about, because they are 15-1 now.

ChitownSpaceForRent

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #23 on: January 26, 2016, 02:42:51 PM »
Iowa state isn't bad value either at 35/1. They can beat any team in the country but at the same time, they can lose to anybody as well.

rocket surgeon

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Re: 300 to 1
« Reply #24 on: January 26, 2016, 03:40:22 PM »
Gonna be in Vegas this Friday.   Liking Iowa st and Iowa for a little spending money
don't...don't don't don't don't

 

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