Absurdly Premature 2011-12 Season Predictions

[Benny B]

I say if Lunardi has his brackets out, predicting MU's season is fair game.

P-Jam: 4-0... anything less will be a disappointment.
Norfolk St (H)
Winthrop (N)
Game 3 (N)
Game 4 (N)

OOC: 7-2... loss to UW at the Kohl, upset by Vandy.
UW (A)
UW (N)
LSU (A)
UWM (H)
UWGB (H)
Vandy (H)
Jacksonville (H)
Mt. St. Mary's (H)
No Colorado (H)

Big East Home: 6-3... losses to Cincy & St Johns, upset by Rutgers
Cincy
GTown
Nova
Ville
Pitt
Rutgers
St. J
Hall
USF

Big East Away: 6-3... losses to Nova, UCONN & Syracuse
Cincy
GTown
Nova
UCONN
DePaul
ND
PC
Cuse
Huggietown

Big East: 12-6 (4th place)
Big East Tournament: 1-1
Overall: 24-9 (NCAA, 4-Seed)

[TallTitan34]

You should factor in a bad loss somewhere along the way. 

Every year we have a bad loss where even freaks out and says how we are going to miss the NIT, yet we still make the NCAA's.

[🏀]

You should factor in a bad loss somewhere along the way. 

Every year we have a bad loss where even freaks out and says how we are going to miss the NIT, yet we still make the NCAA's.

Future NBAer Davante Gardner disagrees.

[TallTitan34]

Hey!  Second rounder!

[BCupper]

While there will probably be a bad, unexpected loss, there will also probably be an impressive win that we didn't see coming, so hopefully they even out.

[mu_hilltopper]

6 Big East road wins?   .. that's a tall, tall, order.

[Mr. Nielsen]

8-1 at home in BE play, 3-6 on the road in BE play.

[Benny B]

You should factor in a bad loss somewhere along the way. 

Every year we have a bad loss where even freaks out and says how we are going to miss the NIT, yet we still make the NCAA's.

I consider Rutgers at home a bad loss -- I suppose I'm not buying the hype.  They're making strides, but I still think they're a 100+ RPI team this year.

6 Big East road wins?   .. that's a tall, tall, order.

Yes it is... but I don't think I'm going out on a limb by assuming PC and DePaul are wins.  If anyone wants to take the other side of that bet straight up, please let me know.

Also, I don't think that ND is going to bounce back from losing four starters who averaged 130 mins & 55 pts/game, and I don't think Scott Martin has a big enough backpack to carry that team... so I'm chalking that one up as a win.

Of the remaining 6... four of those teams are in the top 2 tiers with MU (as voted by the coaches) and two are below -- according to Katz's analysis.  I think winning three of those games is quite reasonable.

[bilsu]

non-conference 10-3
conference        12-6
Big East tournament 2-1
NCAA tournament   2-1
would be 26-11
adjustment for being overly optimistic
lose one more regular season game
instead of 4-2 postseason a 3-2 postseason
predicted record 24-12

[79Warrior]

You should factor in a bad loss somewhere along the way. 

Every year we have a bad loss where even freaks out and says how we are going to miss the NIT, yet we still make the NCAA's.

what was the "bad loss" last year?????

[PGsHeroes32]

We will not lose to St Johns at home


and if Vandy does beat us, I dont think its an upset since they are top 10 maybe top 5

[🏀]

what was the "bad loss" last year?????

Cincy or UConn or SJU or ND or Gonzaga.

[MUfan12]

Cincy or UConn or SJU or ND or Gonzaga.

Seton Hall buried the bad meter.

[Nukem2]

Cincy or UConn or SJU or ND or Gonzaga.

Those were not bad losses.  The game at SHU was "bad".

[AZWarrior]

Final 4 appearance behind Buzz's revolutionary innovative offense featuring Davante Gardner as "point center". 

you heard it here first.   

[MarquetteDano]

I can't believe that we will have such productive bigs next year and yet point guard position looks like a concern.  What a switch from year's past.

I am not going to make detail predictions yet.  Yes, I know... high levels of whimp-osity! However, I will say that the tourney is a lock.  It is so tough predicting other Big East teams.  Since the "New" Big East there are always 2-3 teams that are better than expected, and usually only one team worse than expected.

Here's hoping we are one of those teams suprising people on the upside.

[Eye]

I'll go 12-1 non-conference
12-6 BE
2-1 BET
2-1 NC2As
28-9 total

[77ncaachamps]

However, I will say that the tourney is a lock.  It is so tough predicting other Big East teams.

Barring injury of course...

[mu_hilltopper]

First glance:
12-1 OOC
7-2 home BE
3-6 road BE  

10-8 BE, 6th place
1-1 BET
0-1 NCAAs

23-11 total

[94Warrior]

Come On People!  This is going to be a great year!!!

12-1  OOC  (loss to either UW at the Kohl or Washington, not both)
7-2   Home Big East
6-3   Away Big East

Big East 13-5  (3rd place)
2-1 BET
3-1 NCAA (ELITE 8)

30-8  (#7 nationally)

[jsglow]

10-3 OOC
7-2 Home BEast
5-4 Away BEast
1-1 BET (surprise 2nd night exit)
2-1 NCAA (close loss in the Sweet 16 game)

Ranked 12th at end of year

[brewcity77]

12-1 OOC (loss to UW in Madison)
8-1 Big East home (because there's always one, probably Pitt or Loserville)
6-3 Big East road (Cincy, Syracuse, UConn)

14-4 Big East, 2nd place

2-1 Big East tournament (Effing Loserville)
3-1 NCAA tournament, Elite 8

31-7 overall, #6 nationally

...but be wary, I'm always overly optimistic. Reality will probably be more like...

12-1 OOC
7-2 Big East home
4-5 Big East road

11-7 Big East, 6th place

1-1 Big East tournament
1-1 NCAA tournament

25-10, #24 nationally

[Jacks DC]

10-3 OOC
7-2 BE Home
3-6 BE Road (10-8, 5th place)

2-1 BET
1-1 NCAA

23-13 overall

[APieperFan3]

12-1 OOC (loss to UW in Madison)
8-1 Big East home (because there's always one, probably Pitt or Loserville)
6-3 Big East road (Cincy, Syracuse, UConn)

14-4 Big East, 2nd place

2-1 Big East tournament (Effing Loserville)
3-1 NCAA tournament, Elite 8

31-7 overall, #6 nationally

...but be wary, I'm always overly optimistic. Reality will probably be more like...

12-1 OOC
7-2 Big East home
4-5 Big East road

11-7 Big East, 6th place

1-1 Big East tournament
1-1 NCAA tournament

25-10, #24 nationally

I'll go with this too...