[Rosiak's Blog] What are the chances ....?

[ToddRosiakSays]

What are the chances ....?
               

The website PredictionMachine.com "plays" every game of the NCAA tournament 50,000 times, then comes up with the likely percentage for each team to advance in every round.
               

http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/sports/87739692.html
               

[Coleman]

40% chance of Elite 8
21% chance of Final Four
10% of reaching the national title game?

I find that hard to believe. But whatever, sounds good to me.

[mr.MUskie]

40% chance of Elite 8
21% chance of Final Four
10% of reaching the national title game?

I find that hard to believe. But whatever, sounds good to me.

or to put it another way, if this makes it easier to believe...
60% chance of NOT making the Elite 8
79% chance of NOT making the Final Four
90% chance of NOT making the national title game