Villanova and Syracuse Schedule

[normandy]

Villanova's (8-4) remaining schedule:
Rutgers
@Syracuse
@Depaul
Georgetown
@ND
Prov

Syracuse (7-6) remaining schedule:
Villanova
@St. Johns
Cinn
Rutgers
@Marquette

Marquette of course currently sits at 10-2 in the big east, based on the schedules above both villanova and syracuse must finish on a tear to nip mu for the 4th seed in the BE tournament.

All things considered, if mu wins two of the last 6 we will be sitting at 12-6.  That means syracuse must go 5-0 including a victory at mu in order to have a better conference mark than us based on the head to head tiebreaker.  In my opinion, Syracuse is done.

The fourth seed comes down to us and villanova.

Now villanova must go 4-2 over the last six in order to have a 12-6 mark.  However, 5-1 seems entirely possible which scares me.  My question, if both mu and villanova finish at 12-6 or 13-5 what are the tiebreakers beyond the head-to head matchup? 

does mu have an advantage?  does villanova have two more lossess in their remaining schedule?  does mu have two more wins?the south florida loss was murder.

[mu_eyeballs]

I believe this has been discussed, and it has something to do with the record verses the higher ranked teams in the Big East.  So a win vs UConn for us and a loss vs UConn for Villanova would give us the tie breaker.(I am not saying we will beat UConn...just an example)

Also, I see three more wins this season.  Seton Hall, Georgetown, and Syracuse.

[NotAnAlum]

Cracked Sidewalks had a great analysis of this senerio already.  For us to beat Nova in a tie sitation one of our wins would need to be against Pitt or a team that finishes higher than Pitt (say UCONN).  That would either cancel out Nova's victory over a "higher finish team" or could give us the tie breaker.

[romey]

Now does everyone see how that loss at USF was "very bad"?  Our tiebreaker vs. "nova would be a lot less relavent if we were 11-1 right now.