After feedback from 100+ Athletic Departments, Here Are the Updated Ratings

[MU82]

It's a bit of a flaw in the system, but it's because Nevada is a really weird case. They return 4 starters and their top two bench players. They add 5 transfers that averaged between 13 and 20 ppg at their last stops as well as a McDonald's All-American freshman.

Basically, they have 12 guys that on paper are huge impact guys. Any of those guys, if they played 30 mpg, would likely be big-time Value Add players. The system analyzes them based on their past production, but what it doesn't take into account is those 12 guys will have to share 200 minutes. The Martin twins and Caroline are going to probably average 30 mpg. That leaves 110 minutes to divvy up between 9 players.

Guys like Nisre Zouzoua (20.3 ppg at Bryant in 35.5 mpg), Jazz Johnson (15.8 ppg at Portland in 35.1 mpg), Corey Henson (14.6 ppg at Wagner in 33.9 mpg), Tre'shawn Thurman (13.8 ppg at Omaha in 29.8 mpg), and Trey Porter (13.2 ppg at Old Dominion in 23.6 mpg) get big Value Add numbers because of how productive they were with starter minutes. But there will be guys there likely getting 10-15 mpg. Their Value Adds will drop as their minutes (and thus productivity) drop.

Nevada is so deep that grad transfer Ehab Amin, a grad transfer that averaged 16.9 ppg last year, transferred to Nevada and left once the Martin twins came back because they didn't have enough scholarships for him (he's now projected to start for top-25 Oregon).

But that's the flaw. Nevada is ridiculously deep with proven players whose Value Adds won't drop until the minutes start to shake out in November and beyond. Don't scrap the entire system just because a team found a loophole that overrates them in the system. It's similar to how Pomeroy's system overrated Wisconsin annually. He acknowledged the flaw, as I'm sure auburn would here, but that doesn't mean the entire system is broken.

Thanks brew.

I just put $1M on Nevada to win the title. Obviously, it's a mortal lock!

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

I didn't know where to put this but this was the last thread where Seton Hall was discussed at all. They just had their highest rated recruit decommit and then commit to St. Joe's. I could be mistaken but it looks like he went straight from being committed to one to being committed to the other. Could hurt their depth this season.

[Herman Cain]

I didn't know where to put this but this was the last thread where Seton Hall was discussed at all. They just had their highest rated recruit decommit and then commit to St. Joe's. I could be mistaken but it looks like he went straight from being committed to one to being committed to the other. Could hurt their depth this season.

Reading between the lines Seton Hall actually  may have avoided a problem.
http://www.philly.com/philly/sports/colleges/st_josephs/st-josephs-joes-valdir-manuel-basketball-recruiting-forward-20180724.html