End-of-November Bracketology

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

19 would make us a lock, but thanks to beating VCU I do think 18 will be enough to get us in. Our SOS and RPI would be adequate for a First Four game. Likely need a 9-9 Big East record regardless. I don't think we end up in if we have a losing conference record unless we have 20+ overall wins (which means at least 2 in NYC).

Ehh...if we win out in non-con, and go 8-10 in BE play, I think we'd be in decent shape to get in with a BET win.  But yeah...definitely not going to feel good going into SS.

[Windyplayer]

Next 3 games are huge for our tourney hopes

Almost gotta go 2/3, preferably without dropping one at home

Georgia scares me with thier length (they start 6'4" / 6'4" / 6'8" / 6'8" / 6'8") and they have a full week to prep for us. Then we have a quick turnaround to a good Vermont team that took UK to the wire in Lexington. And we'll have to shoot lights out to beat UW at their place. Really too bad we won't have Froling for any of these games.

The way I see it, go 3/3 (20% chance) and an 8-10 BEast record likely gets us in the tourney (and could potentially have us ranked by end of 2017).

Go 2/3 (35% chance), and a 9-9 BEast record likely gets us in (win a conf tourney game and we're a lock)

Go 1/3 (30% chance), and we'll need 10-8 BEast record with a signature road win and no bad home losses (Georgetown/DePaul)

Go 0/3 (15% chance), and we'll need to go 12-6 in conference with no bad home losses


Hope M2N, Sam, and Drewski are all locked in and "on" at the same time over the next 10 days!

3 amigos 2.0 will go off in all three causing Mattis to take notice of the balogna-dropping capability, who in turn will relay to POTUS, who will in turn seek their services in operations abroad, and in a crazy twist of fate the college basketball players will seek gratitude from POTUS for their intervention.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Ehh...if we win out in non-con, and go 8-10 in BE play, I think we'd be in decent shape to get in with a BET win.  But yeah...definitely not going to feel good going into SS.

This scenario: 10-2 non con, 8-10 BE gives us an 18-12 record (RPI: 48; SOS:23) heading into BET.  I think with those computer numbers, we'd still be very much alive.

That assumes we lose all BE road games except Depaul and Georgetown.  Win all BE home games except Nova and X.  Obviously we'll likely steal a road game or two and drop a home game or two, but that is the calculus I ran.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Using RPI Wizard, I looked at the 13 games they rated as us most likely to win to get us to 18 wins: Georgia, Vermont, NIU, American, Georgetown, @Butler, DePaul, Butler, Providence, St. John's, @DePaul, @Georgetown, Creighton.

That would give us numbers of 18-12 (9-9), RPI 49, SOS 24. That looks like a tournament resume to me.

It should be noted however, that RPI Wizard currently gives us less than 50% chance of winning the following: @Butler (41%), Providence (48%), @Georgetown (43%), and Creighton (40%). If it's right, than our numbers are: 14-16 (5-13), RPI 98, SOS 25. That's not getting into any tournament and would likely cause Hiroshima.

Lucky for us, games are played on the court! What do those eggheads at RPI Wizard know?

[Galway Eagle]

yeah...thats what I was seeing.  His "highest SOS of all high majors" comment had me wondering where he saw that info.

http://www.muscoop.com/index.php?topic=54887.0

[bilsu]

What this tells me is beating LSU means nothing.

We beat them two years ago, when they arguably had the best player in the country and we did not even get an NIT bid. So beating LSU may not mean much.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

http://www.muscoop.com/index.php?topic=54887.0

Ah...dated #s.

[Silkk the Shaka]

3 amigos 2.0 will go off in all three causing Mattis to take notice of the balogna-dropping capability, who in turn will relay to POTUS, who will in turn seek their services in operations abroad, and in a crazy twist of fate the college basketball players will seek gratitude from POTUS for their intervention.

I thought this was absurd at first but upon re-reading I'm pretty convinced it's gonna happen.

[Galway Eagle]

We beat them two years ago, when they arguably had the best player in the country and we did not even get an NIT bid. So beating LSU may not mean much.

It's almost like teams change year to year. Your theory holds about as much water as us saying we beat them and Shaq went there when they were unreal so it's a top notch win

[GooooMarquette]

It's almost like teams change year to year. Your theory holds about as much water as us saying we beat them and Shaq went there when they were unreal so it's a top notch win

Yep. There was a time when CCNY would have been a quality win....

[rocky_warrior]

3 amigos 2.0 will go off in all three

Ok, I know the post was in jest, but there will be at least one game this year where all 3 are on fire, and I pity that opponent. I'm looking forward to that game!

[Windyplayer]

Ok, I know the post was in jest, but there will be at least one game this year where all 3 are on fire, and I pity that opponent. I'm looking forward to that game!

Ditto!