So are we back on the bubble??

[ChicosBailBonds]

Pitt is going down.

I hope the predictions of 9 teams is right, but it's hard for me to see more than 8.  Lots of golf left.

[OhioGoldenEagle]

10 wins and 2 in the Big East Tourney put us in.  Regarding how we can get there.....I have no idea.  The way our team is built, I don't think any games are gimmes (see Depaul last week, and now they have Koshwal back).  One game at a time, but today's win goes a long ways to getting there.  Great Win and thankyou DJO/Jimmy!

[mug644]

Tough to not let us in if it started tomorrow, but Tower's right.  Let's get 10 conference wins

Just to the left of your post are the BEast standings, showing MU tied for 11th. If it started tomorrow, I'm not sure we'd be in. The schedule is such that we should make a run and put us into play for a bid, but  let's not count our chickens (or golden eagles) before they hatch.

EDIT: I see now that the standings have not been updated. We are tied for 9th. My thoughts still stand.

[bamamarquettefan]

i said before these last two that we needed a road win at UConn or Cincy and 9 more total wins - whether in regular season or Big East Tourney to be a lock for the tourney.  We've got the big road win, and I stick to what I said.  Seven more wins gets us to 20 and we are definitely in.  If we win 7 of these last 9 we aren't even on the bubble, we are in.  If we win 6 of the last 9, then I think we need a Big East tourney win to get to the 20-win season and not be sweating it on Selection Sunday.

We will be a few spots off in RPI, but the other factors are too strong in our favor.  Basically we'd probably be battling Louisville for 6th or 7th place if we win either 6 or 7 of these last nine, and 6th or 7th place in the Conference with the highest RPI will get us in I believe.  But if we did go 6-3 down the stretch and finish 7th, then I do think we need to beat the 10th seed in the opening round of the BE tourney to be a lock.

Remember at 7-2, even with an opening round loss we also get the benefit of the 9-3 mark in the "last 12 games," while at 6-3 with just 1 Big East tourney win we get an 8-4 in last 12.

In summary, win 7 more and we are in, 6 more and we sweat it out Selection Sunday.

[Eye]

Pretty good analysis IMHO Bama. Here are my W-L scenario's to make the dance.

7-2 or better in remaining 9 regular-season - In
6-3 in remaining 9 - Need to win BET tourney opener also to be secure
5-4 in remaining 9 - Need to make BET tourney semi's to make it
4-5 in remaining 9 - NIT unless win BET tourney

I don't think the ACC is all that great at the top end this year either, I'd put them closer to the B10, P10 and SEC in terms of where that league is at this year vs. the BE. I'd say the BE and the B12 are pretty clearly the top two leagues this year, particularly at the top end, which also should help MU's chances. Only bad part about that argument is if MU comes up head-to-head with the FSU and NC State losses.

Minor add-on: That NC State loss officially become a bad loss today, as their RPI dropped from 96 to 107, as they played RPI 344 NC Central. I would imagine if they don't tank down the stretch the remainder of their ACC schedule will take care of that, but just saying as of now ...