The college basketball season kicks off today! Here are our 2023 preseason projections for Marquette.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #8 team in the country, and the #2 team in the Big East.
• First game: Mon, Nov 6 vs. #247 N Illinois. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 98% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 83%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 20%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 5
• Marquette will probably make the NCAA tournament even if they don't win the Big East tournament, but they should aim for an automatic bid to be safe.
• If the Golden Eagles can get to 22 total wins (including conference tournament wins), their odds to make the NCAA tournament increase to 99%.
• We project the Golden Eagles with a 37% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 11% chance to reach the Final Four.
• Marquette has a 3% chance to win the NCAA Tournament. That may not sound like much, but few teams even have this good of a chance.
Marquette Basketball
Predictions Update
Team Rankings Nov 15, 2023
• After beating Illinois 71-64 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 22-7 (14-6 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are up to 94%, an increase of 4% since yesterday.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #10 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Mon, Nov 20 vs. #43 UCLA. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 69% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 94%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 23%
Projected Seed(if Selected) 4
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Nov 22, 2023
• After beating Kansas 73-59 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 24-7 (15-5 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are up to 99%, an increase of 3% since yesterday.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #11 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Wed, Nov 22 vs. #1 Purdue. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 35% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 24%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 3
Jeez, a lot of teams must have had a better week than us to justify a drop to #11 after beating #1! ?-(
3 seed is laughable. I get its early and meaningless but what metrics exactly are being used to justify anything other than the overall number 1 seed.
A 3 seed ? WTF and LOLLLLL ....
If the tournament started today they are a LOCK 1 seed.
Maybe Shaka can show this to the guys that they are STILL not getting respected
Quote from: Mu8891 on November 22, 2023, 03:19:53 PM
A 3 seed ? WTF and LOLLLLL ....
If the tournament started today they are a LOCK 1 seed.
Maybe Shaka can show this to the guys that they are STILL not getting respected
No need they already read Scoop
I'd imagine they just seed teams they rank 1-4 as 1 seeds, 5-8 as 2 seeds, 9-12 as 3 seeds, etc.
Marquette BasketballPredictions Update
Nov 23, 2023
• After losing to Purdue 78-75 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 24-7 (15-5 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are 99%, unchanged since yesterday.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #10 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Tue, Nov 28 vs. #294 Southern. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 100% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 23%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 3
Quote from: MarquetteMike1977 on November 23, 2023, 01:03:12 PM
Marquette BasketballPredictions Update
Nov 23, 2023
• After losing to Purdue 78-75 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 24-7 (15-5 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are 99%, unchanged since yesterday.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #10 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Tue, Nov 28 vs. #294 Southern. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 100% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 23%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 3
Classic trap game
Quote from: MarquetteMike1977 on November 23, 2023, 01:03:12 PM
• Next game: Tue, Nov 28 vs. #294 Southern. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 100% chance to win.
Goes down to 10% if Marquette fans mention Madison on an interwebs site!
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Nov 29, 2023
• After beating Southern 93-56 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 24-7 (15-5 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are 99%, unchanged since yesterday.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #5 team in the country, and the #1 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Sat, Dec 2 at #28 Wisconsin. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 58% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 27%
Projected Seed(if Selected) 3
Quote from: MarquetteMike1977 on November 29, 2023, 06:39:51 PM
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Nov 29, 2023
• After beating Southern 93-56 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 24-7 (15-5 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are 99%, unchanged since yesterday.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #5 team in the country, and the #1 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Sat, Dec 2 at #28 Wisconsin. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 58% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 27%
Projected Seed(if Selected) 3
Who authors these? And in what world is the 5th best team a 3 seed? I've seen some weird crap on these but this is up there
Quote from: Galway Eagle on November 29, 2023, 10:11:31 PM
Who authors these? And in what world is the 5th best team a 3 seed? I've seen some weird crap on these but this is up there
I read "current" for 5th best and "projected" for 3 seed. Based on projected record, doesn't appear 100% crazy
Quote from: Galway Eagle on November 29, 2023, 10:11:31 PM
Who authors these? And in what world is the 5th best team a 3 seed? I've seen some weird crap on these but this is up there
No idea, but it is ludicrous. Marquette is at worst a 2-seed right now. Purdue is ahead, and you can make a case for UConn, Arizona, and Houston. But there are definitely not four more teams that would be ahead of Marquette, and I'd take our resume over UConn and Houston without question.
Quote from: Jay Bee on November 30, 2023, 06:06:58 AM
I read "current" for 5th best and "projected" for 3 seed. Based on projected record, doesn't appear 100% crazy
That's how I read it, two entirely different thoughts/conclusions
Quote from: Jay Bee on November 30, 2023, 06:06:58 AM
I read "current" for 5th best and "projected" for 3 seed. Based on projected record, doesn't appear 100% crazy
So the author thinks we will get worse, not better this season?
Quote from: lawdog77 on November 30, 2023, 08:36:24 AM
So the author thinks we will get worse, not better this season?
Or the schedule's harder.
So if MU wins the Big East and Kansas the B12 as this predicts, does Kansas get the #1 seed in the South (Omaha/Dallas) (assuming Purdue is #1 in Midwest (Indianapolis/Detroit)? Or does the NCAA send MU East?
Quote from: MarquetteMike1977 on November 29, 2023, 06:39:51 PM
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Nov 29, 2023
• After beating Southern 93-56 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 24-7 (15-5 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are 99%, unchanged since yesterday.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #5 team in the country, and the #1 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Sat, Dec 2 at #28 Wisconsin. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 58% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 27%
Projected Seed(if Selected) 3
#28 WISCONSIN ? ? ? Where is this??
Quote from: Dr. Blackheart on November 30, 2023, 08:49:18 AM
So if MU wins the Big East and Kansas the B12 as this predicts, does Kansas get the #1 seed in the South (Omaha/Dallas) (assuming Purdue is #1 in Midwest (Indianapolis/Detroit)? Or does the NCAA send MU East?
It matters who has the higher 1 seed. In the case the rankings go as follows:
Purdue
Marquette
Kansas.
Purdue would go to Indy and then Marquette would get the next closest location even if Kansas is closer distance wise. I forgot what year it was but Gonzaga or Zona were the 1 seed and there regional was on the east coast.
I sure as hell hope they end up better than a 3 seed !
Quote from: The Sultan of Semantics on November 30, 2023, 08:40:02 AM
Or the schedule's harder.
Harder than playing #1 and #2? If he thinks we are the 5th best team, the schedule shouldn't matter. Logically, we should be a 2 seed in his projections.
Guys, it's a computer model. It doesn't use that kind of logic. Same as Kenpom, which has us favored to win all but 2 games the rest of the year but projects our record as 24-7(15-5). It assigns a probability of win based on how favored we are and then "rolls the dice". If we played 20 games where we had a 51% chance to win, would you expect to go 20-0? Don't read too much into it. We get to play the games
Quote from: Mu8891 on November 30, 2023, 09:26:32 AM
I sure as hell hope they end up better than a 3 seed !
lunardi's bracketology has us at a 1 seed as of right now, but yes, i'd like to see us at 1 or a 2
Quote from: Carl on November 30, 2023, 09:57:57 AM
Guys, it's a computer model. It doesn't use that kind of logic. Same as Kenpom, which has us favored to win all but 2 games the rest of the year but projects our record as 24-7(15-5). It assigns a probability of win based on how favored we are and then "rolls the dice". If we played 20 games where we had a 51% chance to win, would you expect to go 20-0? Don't read too much into it. We get to play the games
Exactly.
Quote from: The Sultan of Semantics on November 30, 2023, 10:09:47 AM
Exactly.
Exactly x100. Got to play the games. Plus the computer models do not favor MU like the Dookie's or other blue bloods.
Quote from: Carl on November 30, 2023, 09:57:57 AM
Guys, it's a computer model. It doesn't use that kind of logic. Same as Kenpom, which has us favored to win all but 2 games the rest of the year but projects our record as 24-7(15-5). It assigns a probability of win based on how favored we are and then "rolls the dice". If we played 20 games where we had a 51% chance to win, would you expect to go 20-0? Don't read too much into it. We get to play the games
You suitin up, Carl?
I know what projections/models are. It's just kind of stupid and shows how bad your model is to state we are #5, but a projected 3 seed. We are either the 5th best team (and a 2 seed), or the 9th-12th best and a 3 seed.
Quote from: lawdog77 on November 30, 2023, 11:30:59 AM
You suitin up, Carl?
I know what projections/models are. It's just kind of stupid and shows how bad your model is to state we are #5, but a projected 3 seed. We are either the 5th best team (and a 2 seed), or the 9th-12th best and a 3 seed.
Why is this so difficult?
If you, based on YTD performance, rank a team as of today a certain way, why would you need to project them to be at that same ranking 4 months from now?!
Quote from: Jay Bee on November 30, 2023, 06:06:58 AM
I read "current" for 5th best and "projected" for 3 seed. Based on projected record, doesn't appear 100% crazy
I guess from that perspective I could get it. Every other way seems to do an "if the season ended today" projection for brackets so I didn't get it
Quote from: Jay Bee on November 30, 2023, 11:47:34 AM
Why is this so difficult?
If you, based on YTD performance, rank a team as of today a certain way, why would you need to project them to be at that same ranking 4 months from now?!
It's not. That was my first response, this model seems to think we will regress from our current rank. Which shows the flaw in the model. I understand projected w-l change (more losses than projected), but the actual ranking shouldn't change.
I'm sorry this random model has impacted your morning so much. Maybe grab an ice cream cone and we can turn this day around
On Field of 68 two days ago, both Fanta and Chris Mack picked Marquette to win the national championship and TO picked them to make the Final Four.
Fanta correctly noted that MU didn't even play their best in Maui and says we can absolutely play better.
Thank you, Abilene Christian University for making this possible.
Any chance you have a link to that BLW?
Quote from: Carl on November 30, 2023, 12:47:51 PM
Any chance you have a link to that BLW?
Here you go:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xVMIN9ARPpc
So of 3 teams. Not of the entire field of all of college basketball.
Yes, but they are the top three ranked teams at this time.
Quote from: BLWarrior91 on November 30, 2023, 12:27:12 PM
On Field of 68 two days ago, both Fanta and Chris Mack picked Marquette to win the national championship and TO picked them to make the Final Four.
Fanta correctly noted that MU didn't even play their best in Maui and says we can absolutely play better.
Thank you, Abilene Christian University for making this possible.
This post is bad. NOT what was said, at all
Only in a Marry, F*ck, Kill sense
Quote from: MUbiz on November 30, 2023, 10:50:41 AM
Exactly x100. Got to play the games. Plus the computer models do not favor MU like the Dookie's or other blue bloods.
Actually a blue blood or not has no bearing on a computer model...data is blind.........Houston has been a computer darling over the last number of years and they are obviously not a blue blood.
Marquette BasketballPredictions Update
Dec 3, 2023
• After losing to Wisconsin 75-64 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 23-8 (14-6 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are 99%, unchanged since yesterday.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #6 team in the country, and the #2 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Wed, Dec 6 vs. #30 Texas. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 76% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 24%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 4
Projected as the #6 team in basketball yet a 4 seed? Strange measuring stick being utilized here.
Current ranking vs projected ranking at the end of the year. Still disagree with it, but that is the reason for the discrepancy.
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Dec 7, 2023
• After beating Texas 86-65 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 24-7 (15-5 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are currently 100%.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #7 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Sat, Dec 9 vs. #168 Notre Dame. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 98% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 26%
Projected Seed 3
We destroyed Texas and moved down in the big east rankings... interesting
Quote from: Galway Eagle on December 07, 2023, 02:32:34 PM
We destroyed Texas and moved down in the big east rankings... interesting
Moved up from a 4 seed to a 3 seed though.
Quote from: Skatastrophy on December 07, 2023, 02:37:23 PM
Moved up from a 4 seed to a 3 seed though.
Also dropped from 6th best team in the country to 7th.
Quote from: Galway Eagle on December 07, 2023, 02:40:47 PM
Also dropped from 6th best team in the country to 7th.
I understand, not kidding, probably takes into account the unfortunate 4 Quad BE games that could be worse on the NET for MU than the rodent game
Quote from: Newsdreams on December 08, 2023, 04:46:24 PM
I understand, not kidding, probably takes into account the unfortunate 4 Quad BE games that could be worse on the NET for MU than the rodent game
If we beat them convincingly, it won't hurt at all and could help. This isn't the RPI.
Quote from: Newsdreams on December 08, 2023, 04:46:24 PM
I understand, not kidding, probably takes into account the unfortunate 4 Quad BE games that could be worse on the NET for MU than the rodent game
Which could make sense except that it coincides with us moving up to an3 seed in their bracketology. One would expect those to somewhat align in some capacity.
Quote from: brewcity77 on December 08, 2023, 05:15:33 PM
If we beat them convincingly, it won't hurt at all and could help. This isn't the RPI.
Yes, if.....
Quote from: Newsdreams on December 08, 2023, 05:18:37 PM
Yes, if.....
Which is the case with any game, so it's not the games hurting our NET, but our own team's performance.
Quote from: Newsdreams on December 08, 2023, 05:18:37 PM
Yes, if.....
Maybe, not saying is correct, is predicting we don't cover some of those games?
Quote from: Newsdreams on December 08, 2023, 05:20:45 PM
Maybe, not saying is correct, is predicting we don't cover some of those games?
#COLE
Quote from: Newsdreams on December 08, 2023, 05:20:45 PM
Maybe, not saying is correct, is predicting we don't cover some of those games?
Which is the same case against any team, not just the Q4 Big East games.
Quote from: brewcity77 on December 08, 2023, 05:51:38 PM
Which is the same case against any team, not just the Q4 Big East games.
Not getting in an argument, but I assume it will consider not covering Q4 much worse. This is my last post on this and obviously just guessing from a programming perspective.
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Dec 10, 2023
• After beating Notre Dame 78-59 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 24-7 (15-5 Big East).
• We currently rank Marquette as the #7 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Thu, Dec 14 vs. #238 St. Thomas. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 99% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 24%
Projected Seed 3
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Dec 15, 2023
• After beating St. Thomas 84-79 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 23-8 (14-6 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are currently 99%.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #9 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Tue, Dec 19 at #51 Providence. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 63% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 23%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 4
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Dec 23, 2023
• After beating Georgetown 81-51 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 22-9 (13-7 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are currently 99%.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #13 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Sat, Dec 30 vs. #8 Creighton. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 59% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 21%
Projected Seed(if Selected) 5
5 seed ?
#norespect
Quote from: Mu8891 on December 26, 2023, 09:38:12 AM
5 seed ?
#norespect
I'll be honest, I don't follow the site referenced here, but from a bracketology perspective, it is probably some of the worst data I have ever seen. This is beyond irrelevant and flat out wrong.
IIRC (and I might not be), this site underseeded us last year, too.
Marquette Basketball Predictions
UpdateJan 7, 2024
• After losing to Seton Hall 78-75 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 22-9 (13-7 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are currently 99%.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #15 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Wed, Jan 10 vs. #68 Butler. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 86% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 20%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 5
Quote from: MarquetteMike1977 on January 09, 2024, 04:35:59 PM
Marquette Basketball Predictions
UpdateJan 7, 2024
• After losing to Seton Hall 78-75 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 22-9 (13-7 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are currently 99%.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #15 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Wed, Jan 10 vs. #68 Butler. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 86% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 20%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 5
Could you please advise who actually authors this summary? Who is we? Is it a National Service or just a random internet guy?
Quote from: nyg on January 09, 2024, 04:49:00 PM
Could you please advise who actually authors this summary? Who is we? Is it a National Service or just a random internet guy?
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Jan 16, 2024
• After beating Villanova 87-74 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 21-10 (12-8 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are up to 99%, an increase of 2% since yesterday.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #16 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Sat, Jan 20 at #28 St Johns. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 48% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 17%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 5
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Jan 21, 2024
• After beating St Johns 73-72 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 22-9 (13-7 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are 99%, unchanged since yesterday.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #16 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Wed, Jan 24 at #258 DePaul. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 95% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 18%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 5
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Jan 25, 2024
• After beating DePaul 86-73 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 22-9 (13-7 Big East).
• The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are currently 100%.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #16 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Sat, Jan 27 vs. #62 Seton Hall. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 82% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 18%
Projected Seed. 5
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Jan 28, 2024
• After beating Seton Hall 75-57 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 22-9 (13-7 Big East).
• We currently rank Marquette as the #14 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Tue, Jan 30 at #31 Villanova. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 51% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 20%
Projected Seed. 4
Quote from: MarquetteMike1977 on January 29, 2024, 05:03:48 PM
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Jan 28, 2024
• After beating Seton Hall 75-57 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 22-9 (13-7 Big East).
• We currently rank Marquette as the #14 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Tue, Jan 30 at #31 Villanova. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 51% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 20%
Projected Seed. 4
I know projections are based on stats and percentages and probabilities but 13-7 BE is a bit much. 14-6 at worst...15-5. of course I was a 17-3 guy at the start....so still an optimist :)
13-7, 14-6 is definitely in play. If they end up 15-5 it would be a great accomplishment, imo.
Marquette Basketball Predictions
UpdateJan 31, 2024
• After beating Villanova 85-80 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 23-8 (14-6 Big East).
• We currently rank Marquette as the #15 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Sat, Feb 3 at #151 Georgetown. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 88% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 20%
Projected Seed 4
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Feb 4, 2024
• After beating Georgetown 91-57 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 23-8 (14-6 Big East).
• We currently rank Marquette as the #12 team in the country, and the #2 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Sat, Feb 10 vs. #33 St Johns. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 77% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 23%
Projected Seed 3
I had been trying to understand why for weeks this predictor had MU as the #3 team in the Big East. At least finally after beating Georgetown of all teams it is expecting them to be the second best team in the league! I am guessing it was due to the early losses.
Quote from: The Thing on February 06, 2024, 06:54:46 AM
I had been trying to understand why for weeks this predictor had MU as the #3 team in the Big East. At least finally after beating Georgetown of all teams it is expecting them to be the second best team in the league! I am guessing it was due to the early losses.
I would imagine that it had more to do with CU losing to BU but that model is pretty suspect regardless.
Yeah I'm not buying the bona fides on that one, I guess it must have some effciency in it for MU to get that bump from a blow out road win, but still. Our results based metrics are slightly better than our efficiency metrics, so i don't get it. I always click this thread to check tho cuz i simply must firgure out why its weird.
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Feb 11, 2024
• After beating St Johns 86-75 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 23-8 (14-6 Big East).
• We currently rank Marquette as the #11 team in the country, and the #2 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Tue, Feb 13 at #58 Butler. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 65% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 23%
Projected Seed. 3
Marquette BasketballPredictions Update
Feb 14, 2024
• After beating Butler 78-72 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 23-8 (14-6 Big East).
• We currently rank Marquette as the #11 team in the country, and the #2 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Sat, Feb 17 at #5 Connecticut. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 31% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 23%
Projected Seed. 3
Every time I see these I just laugh. We are closer to a 1-seed than a 3.
Quote from: brewcity77 on February 15, 2024, 12:11:07 PM
Every time I see these I just laugh. We are closer to a 1-seed than a 3.
Is this a paid service? Because if so I feel like I'd want my money back
Quote from: brewcity77 on February 15, 2024, 12:11:07 PM
Every time I see these I just laugh. We are closer to a 1-seed than a 3.
I'm going to assume it just calls teams 1-4 a one seed, 5-8 a two seed, 9-12 a three seed, and so on. Otherwise, they need to fix some things.
Quote from: TallTitan34 on February 15, 2024, 12:31:59 PM
I'm going to assume it just calls teams 1-4 a one seed, 5-8 a two seed, 9-12 a three seed, and so on. Otherwise, they need to fix some things.
I think they seed based on projected outcomes.
Quote from: brewcity77 on February 15, 2024, 12:11:07 PM
Every time I see these I just laugh. We are closer to a 1-seed than a 3.
not anymore
Quote from: Viper on February 17, 2024, 09:51:08 PM
not anymore
Yes, we are. There's a huge gap between the 2s and 3s. The reveal only reinforced that.
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Feb 18, 2024
• After losing to Connecticut 81-53 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 23-8 (14-6 Big East).
• We currently rank Marquette as the #15 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Wed, Feb 21 vs. #277 DePaul. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 99% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 18%
Projected Seed 3
I think it's pretty simple.
Lose to Creighton away -very possible
Lose to UConn home - very possible
Lose to Creighton in BET neutral - possible
Then that thing that brewcity laughs at is reality and prescient.
Now I'm a MU fan still stewing about the humiliation of Saturday... But I'm an optimist and our team can be inconsistently great just like it can be inconsistently bad. So I see us beating CR twice and winning one of the two UC games. But that's the ever a fan speaking. And a 2 seed (hope we get Purdue Region) speaking.
Quote from: FairWeatherEagle on February 19, 2024, 07:35:12 AM
I think it's pretty simple.
Lose to Creighton away -very possible
Lose to UConn home - very possible
Lose to Creighton in BET neutral - possible
Then that thing that brewcity laughs at is reality and prescient.
Now I'm a MU fan still stewing about the humiliation of Saturday... But I'm an optimist and our team can be inconsistently great just like it can be inconsistently bad. So I see us beating CR twice and winning one of the two UC games. But that's the ever a fan speaking. And a 2 seed (hope we get Purdue Region) speaking.
If that all happens, the thing I laugh at will crash us down to a 5/6 seed. Which won't happen.
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Feb 22, 2024
• After beating DePaul 105-71 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 23-8 (14-6 Big East).
• We currently rank Marquette as the #14 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Sun, Feb 25 vs. #43 Xavier. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 80% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 19%
Projected Seed 3
Marquette is 25-1 in their last 26 conference home games.
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Feb 26, 2024
• After beating Xavier 88-64 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 23-8 (14-6 Big East).
• We currently rank Marquette as the #12 team in the country, and the #2 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Wed, Feb 28 vs. #44 Providence. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 82% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 21%
Projected Seed 3
• We project the Golden Eagles with a 57% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 13% chance to reach the Final Four.
• Marquette has a 3% chance to win the NCAA Tournament. That may not sound like much, but few teams even have this good of a chance.
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Feb 29, 2024
• After beating Providence 91-69 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 24-7 (15-5 Big East).
• We currently rank Marquette as the #10 team in the country, and the #2 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Sat, Mar 2 at #11 Creighton. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 39% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 21%
Projected Seed 3
• We project the Golden Eagles with a 60% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 15% chance to reach the Final Four.
• Marquette has a 3% chance to win the NCAA Tournament. That may not sound like much, but few teams even have this good of a chance.
Remind again is this a paid service?
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Mar 3, 2024
• After losing to Creighton 89-75 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 23-8 (14-6 Big East).
• We currently rank Marquette as the #12 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Wed, Mar 6 vs. #5 Connecticut. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 51% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 20%
Projected Seed 3
• We project the Golden Eagles with a 58% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 14% chance to reach the Final Four.
• Marquette has a 3% chance to win the NCAA Tournament. That may not sound like much, but few teams even have this good of a chance.
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Mar 7, 2024
• After losing to Connecticut 74-67 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 23-8 (14-6 Big East).
• We currently rank Marquette as the #13 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
• Next game: Sat, Mar 9 at #49 Xavier. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 62% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 17%
Projected Seed 4
• We project the Golden Eagles with a 54% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 11% chance to reach the Final Four.
• Marquette has a 2% chance to win the NCAA Tournament. That may not sound like much, but few teams even have this good of a chance.
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Mar 10, 2024
• Marquette finished the regular season yesterday by beating Xavier 86-80.
• We currently rank Marquette as the #13 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
Regular Season Final Report
Final Overall Record Final Big East Record Predictive Rank
23-8 14-6 #13
• Marquette played right in line with our preseason projection of 14 Big East wins.
Big East Tournament Projections
Big East Tournament Round
Odds For Marquette To Reach Round
Quarter 100.0%
Semi 64.4%
Championship 34.5%
Winner 15.9%
• We'll send updated survival odds before every round, if Marquette keeps winning.
• To see survival odds for all Big East teams, click the link below.
Full Big East Tournament Projections
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 100%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 16%
Projected Seed 3