MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: PaintTouches on January 23, 2023, 10:45:17 AM

Title: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: PaintTouches on January 23, 2023, 10:45:17 AM
Really.

https://painttouches.com/2023/01/23/is-marquette-really-the-big-east-title-favorite-uconn-xavier-providence-creighton/ (https://painttouches.com/2023/01/23/is-marquette-really-the-big-east-title-favorite-uconn-xavier-providence-creighton/)

As weird as it feels to type that, the biggest thing going for MU is how the schedule breaks out going forward.

(https://painttouches.files.wordpress.com/2023/01/be-map-1.png)
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: Shooter McGavin on January 23, 2023, 11:04:31 AM
Wow. That graph makes the path to a Big East title easy to see. Go 1-2 in the remaining Q1 games and take care of the bottom feeders.  Get er done fellas!  Go MU! 
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: NCMUFan on January 23, 2023, 11:16:20 AM
A lot of white at the bottom for Marquette.  Go Marquette!
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: Dr. Blackheart on January 23, 2023, 11:21:32 AM
A a Cubs fan, I'll remind folks that MU had a 99% chance at the #1 BET seed in 2018-19...just needing one win in their last four (with two at home) to clinch it. And then a letter was written.
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: LloydsLegs on January 23, 2023, 11:38:52 AM
With a nod to Coach Cal, let's take away their pens and paper.
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: PaintTouches on January 23, 2023, 12:15:28 PM
Quote from: Dr. Blackheart on January 23, 2023, 11:21:32 AM
A a Cubs fan, I'll remind folks that MU had a 99% chance at the #1 BET seed in 2018-19...just needing one win in their last four (with two at home) to clinch it. And then a letter was written.

You are not wrong, peaked at 95.1% chance for at least a share on Feb 25th.

But as a fellow Cubs fan, going with the full Montero. This team is much better.*

*Will issue refunds if Oso gets hurt.
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: DoctorV on January 23, 2023, 12:39:34 PM
Yes.
I announced this on 1/18, with a caveat of IF they win at Seton Hall.

Well they won at Seton Hall, so we midas whale fast forward to the hardware!
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: BM1090 on January 23, 2023, 02:06:44 PM
Quote from: pux90mex on January 23, 2023, 12:15:28 PM
You are not wrong, peaked at 95.1% chance for at least a share on Feb 25th.

But as a fellow Cubs fan, going with the full Montero. This team is much better.*

*Will issue refunds if Oso gets hurt.

#WeAreGood
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: Eye on January 23, 2023, 02:06:52 PM
MU now an OK chance to set the program record for wins in a season, too. And a few fairly realistic paths to get there. 23-8 + BET title + Elite 8 would do it. Add and subtract a win from whatever column you'd like would also do it. i.e 24-7 + BET title + Sweet 16, or 24-7 + BET runner-up + Elite 8.
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 23, 2023, 02:18:00 PM
Quote from: Dr. Blackheart on January 23, 2023, 11:21:32 AM
A a Cubs fan, I'll remind folks that MU had a 99% chance at the #1 BET seed in 2018-19...just needing one win in their last four (with two at home) to clinch it. And then a letter was written.

Earlier in the season was was very concerned about MU's recent history of February swoons. They've since convinced me that they are for real.


(https://64.media.tumblr.com/66ad34448590e1a1f0576b867f90a790/tumblr_inline_o7ydb8Nhg91tae3h3_400.gifv)
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: Mu8891 on January 23, 2023, 03:36:55 PM
Wow.

You guys are really getting ahead of yourselves.  Let's just win at DP , and the next two at home ( very doable) and go from there ...
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: GoFastAndWin on January 23, 2023, 04:30:09 PM
Quote from: DoctorV on January 23, 2023, 12:39:34 PM
Yes.
I announced this on 1/18, with a caveat of IF they win at Seton Hall.

Well they won at Seton Hall, so we midas whale fast forward to the hardware!

Is the "midas whale" like the "golden calf"? 🤣
Hopefully not. We don't want any of these young men doubting Shaka or their ultimate Source. I think you just did it acci-DENTAL-ly. 🦷  🏀
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: Dr. Blackheart on January 23, 2023, 04:40:51 PM
Quote from: GoFastAndWin on January 23, 2023, 04:30:09 PM
Is the "midas whale" like the "golden calf"? 🤣
Hopefully not. We don't want any of these young men doubting Shaka or their ultimate Source. I think you just did it acci-DENTAL-ly. 🦷  🏀

Let's not get Muggsy on us about appropriating whales
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: tower912 on January 23, 2023, 04:50:54 PM
We could get him really outraged if we disparaged Whales on Wells.
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: Newsdreams on January 23, 2023, 06:08:29 PM
Quote from: tower912 on January 23, 2023, 04:50:54 PM
We could get him really outraged if we disparaged Whales on Wells.
Don't you dare!
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: PointWarrior on January 23, 2023, 06:12:32 PM
My favorite "message boards should only play one game at a time" post.


Quote from: Mu8891 on January 23, 2023, 03:36:55 PM
Wow.

You guys are really getting ahead of yourselves.  Let's just win at DP , and the next two at home ( very doable) and go from there ...
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: brewcity77 on January 23, 2023, 06:19:05 PM
Quote from: PointWarrior on January 23, 2023, 06:12:32 PM
My favorite "message boards should only play one game at a time" post.

Exactly. Don't see how it's any different than talking about preseason projections in October. Except at this point of the season, we have more concrete data and thus the conversation is more educated.

I don't remember anyone saying "don't talk about them picking us ninth, we gotta get through Radford and CMU first."
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: Uncle Rico on January 23, 2023, 06:20:52 PM
When Marquette loses Saturday, it'll be solely on the shoulders of the bloggers
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: Miss Katie’s on January 23, 2023, 07:03:51 PM
Quote from: Newsdreams on January 23, 2023, 06:08:29 PM
Don't you dare!

+1

The cheese fries were elite. 
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: tower912 on January 23, 2023, 07:07:31 PM
Loved that place. 
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: mileskishnish72 on January 23, 2023, 08:00:26 PM
It's interesting that X hasn't visited any of the big boys.
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 23, 2023, 09:04:39 PM
Quote from: tower912 on January 23, 2023, 07:07:31 PM
Loved that place.

I'm fairly sure that Wales was my first meal after arriving at Marquette. That place was great.
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: Mu8891 on January 23, 2023, 09:10:43 PM
It seems X has the toughest schedule by far:

AT, MU, Prov, UCONN, SH and SJU.
They will pick up multiple loses
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: mugrad_89 on January 23, 2023, 09:57:44 PM
Quote from: mileskishnish72 on January 23, 2023, 08:00:26 PM
It's interesting that X hasn't visited any of the big boys.

They are in Omaha on Saturday and I'm pretty sure they'll be leaving with a loss.
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: The Thing on January 23, 2023, 10:04:48 PM
MU is in Chicago on Saturday...insert text here...
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: Carl on January 23, 2023, 10:27:20 PM
Xavier is the current betting favorite at -115 to win the BE regular season. Marquette 2nd behind them at +170. I consider this a bit of a rare departure from Vegas reliance on Kenpom predictive analytics and (as crazy as it would have sounded a couple months ago) some decent, not super great, value on Marquette at +170. Xavier certainly overpriced though. What really blows my hair back is Marquette priced in at 8-1 to make the Final Four (40-1 to win it all).
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: BLWarrior91 on January 23, 2023, 10:34:50 PM
Quote from: StillAWarrior on January 23, 2023, 09:04:39 PM
I'm fairly sure that Wales was my first meal after arriving at Marquette. That place was great.

Absolutely.  We used to go there a lot during the late 80s.  Sad to see most of the Wells Street places gone.  Long live Real Chili.
Title: Re: [Paint Touches] Is MU really the Big East Title favorite?
Post by: HowardsWorld on January 24, 2023, 08:10:09 AM
Quote from: Carl on January 23, 2023, 10:27:20 PM
Xavier is the current betting favorite at -115 to win the BE regular season. Marquette 2nd behind them at +170. I consider this a bit of a rare departure from Vegas reliance on Kenpom predictive analytics and (as crazy as it would have sounded a couple months ago) some decent, not super great, value on Marquette at +170. Xavier certainly overpriced though. What really blows my hair back is Marquette priced in at 8-1 to make the Final Four (40-1 to win it all).

They are only the betting favorite because they currently have 1 less loss. That will change Wednesday and it should be tied at +130 or Marquette given the nod given Xaviers remaining opponents.
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