MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: tower912 on March 25, 2019, 12:26:33 PM

Title: How many magicians are there?
Post by: tower912 on March 25, 2019, 12:26:33 PM
I rhapsodized poetic about Wojo not being a magician or an alchemist as a coach.   IMO, that is a coach that gets a team to be more than the sum of its parts.    Which got me to thinking, how many of those are actually out there?    Isn't most of the consistent success found by coaches who recruit the best talent?     How many coaches out there would you say consistently out perform their talent?    How many coaches win more than the occasional game through strategy and tactics?   
   And, is having a system, a la Bennett or Bo a way to accomplish that?     As a corollary, Bo won by running his system.    How often did he tweak that system when a game was going against him?    And is UMBC beating UVA a counterargument to relying too much on a system?
Though they have had a sweet 16 drought recently, does Izzo out perform his talent?     Or is physical toughness a system?
Is merely running the world's best 2-3 zone a system?    Boeheim certainly recruits to it.   
What happens when your system (let's call it 'havoc') doesn't travel from one school to the next?    Still a genius, or just a guy who got hot and got some good tourney matchups?

I am merely pondering and trying to organize my thoughts on it.     What say you?
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Jon on March 25, 2019, 01:16:18 PM
Quote from: tower912 on March 25, 2019, 12:26:33 PM
I rhapsodized poetic about Wojo not being a magician or an alchemist as a coach.   IMO, that is a coach that gets a team to be more than the sum of its parts.    Which got me to thinking, how many of those are actually out there?    Isn't most of the consistent success found by coaches who recruit the best talent?     How many coaches out there would you say consistently out perform their talent?    How many coaches win more than the occasional game through strategy and tactics?   
   And, is having a system, a la Bennett or Bo a way to accomplish that?     As a corollary, Bo won by running his system.    How often did he tweak that system when a game was going against him?    And is UMBC beating UVA a counterargument to relying too much on a system?
Though they have had a sweet 16 drought recently, does Izzo out perform his talent?     Or is physical toughness a system?
Is merely running the world's best 2-3 zone a system?    Boeheim certainly recruits to it.   
What happens when your system (let's call it 'havoc') doesn't travel from one school to the next?    Still a genius, or just a guy who got hot and got some good tourney matchups?

I am merely pondering and trying to organize my thoughts on it.     What say you?

It's the system. Boeheim has made a Hall of Fame career with it. So has Ryan. And Bennett is continuing the trend.

In Operations Research one can always distill issues down to one of 3 things: People, Process, Training. It really is that simple (what is bloody difficult is developing the algorithms and applying them dynamically in complex environments.)

What system coaches have done is mastered this paradigm. And they can calibrate shortcomings in any one of the three cones by weighting another/others more heavily. And they can do this on the fly - which in the CBB construct is called In-Game Adjustments.

The USAF has outstanding gear, phenomenally smart people, and the processes to hone their warfighting skills.

The F 15 Eagle is undefeated in aerial combat - something like 130 - 0. That record is testament to what the USAF calls the Air Battle Management System (which we have co-developed with our brothers in the IDF, some of the finest fighter pilots in the world.)

It's not like the old days when pilots kicked the tires then lit the fires of their Phantom and went off looking for MiGs. F 15s are integrated into the battlespace at higher altitude with F 16s who play in lower altitudes. The battlespace is divided into blocks of real estate where all actions are controlled by the EA 3 Sentry. 

It is through this systemic management of aerial combat that the USAF and IDF dominate the skies.

What Boeheim, Ryan, Bennett, etc... are doing is no different. Applying OR principles to any dynamic environment eliminates the randomness that characterizes fluid environments.

I used to laugh my ass off when Tanned Tommy bragged about his 200-some page play book. That's not meticulous planning; rather, it is creating unnecessary chaos.

I see the same problem with Wojo. He doesn't have a systemic approach to game planning/management, player recruitment and retention, and program development.

If I were Marquette, I would hire a mouth breather away from the Rand Corp or the Air Force Research Lab to implement an OR-based system to empower an Xs and Os gym rat.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Marcus92 on March 25, 2019, 01:28:14 PM
There aren't many. And a good number of them don't stay at the college level for long.

Was Brad Stevens a magician? What he accomplished at Butler was unprecedented, and hasn't been repeated since he left for the NBA.

Al could have stayed at Marquette as long as he wanted. But he moved on after 13 amazing seasons, leaving coaching entirely to pursue other endeavors.

Buzz seemed like a magician with his best teams -- but his last team was less than the sum of its parts. The trick was a complete dud that season. His departure was also anything but magical.

Another coach who comes to mind is Jim Valvano. North Carolina State today is a ghost of the program it once was.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Dish on March 25, 2019, 02:05:20 PM
I thought about this last night too. Maybe it's recency bias, but guys like Altman, Sampson, Beard, Beilein, Izzo seem to fit that magician mode. Whereas guys like Calipari, Coach K seem to be now more so on talent than system.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Goose on March 25, 2019, 02:11:48 PM
MUDish

I like the system of knowing and having too much talent. That would be my first choice.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Goose on March 25, 2019, 02:16:14 PM
Jon

You said it perfectly. Sadly, it likely will be dismissed. I hate systems, but our business has grown 100% because of developing systems in how we conduct our work. Very thankful that my son demanded systems be put in place at our place.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: The Sultan on March 25, 2019, 02:24:03 PM
Quote from: Jon on March 25, 2019, 01:16:18 PM
I see the same problem with Wojo. He doesn't have a systemic approach to game planning/management, player recruitment and retention, and program development.


I think he has the opposite problem.  All the coaches you mentioned had great talent when they did their best - better than MU has now.  Wojo's problem seems that he trusts his system more than he adjusts it.  Or maybe I'm not quite understanding what you mean. 
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 02:24:55 PM
Keefe

It may be that simple, but as you know the results are not so predictable for Boeheim, et al.  He misses the tournament from time to time, he has first round exits, etc.

I've also seen some of the supposed brilliance of McKinsey, and others absolutely implode on their machine learning recommendations, or other processes.  It's not a universal truth to simplify it as much as you state, in my opinion.  Yes, they can do good work, but let's not overstate that they solve everything with their recommendations and processes...they have plenty of misses.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Goose on March 25, 2019, 02:36:44 PM
Cheeks
My point on having is a system is in regards to guys you recruit. The guys Keefe noted are guys that recruit to fit their style of play. There is much higher probability of success for the long haul recruiting to your strengths.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: jesmu84 on March 25, 2019, 03:09:29 PM
Quote from: Goose on March 25, 2019, 02:36:44 PM
Cheeks
My point on having is a system is in regards to guys you recruit. The guys Keefe noted are guys that recruit to fit their style of play. There is much higher probability of success for the long haul recruiting to your strengths.

Goose, I think we chatted about this a while ago. I agree generally with recruiting to a system/strengths. I think Wojo is trying to get there.

Here's what I said a bit ago: https://www.muscoop.com/index.php?topic=58189.msg1104339#msg1104339
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Goose on March 25, 2019, 03:13:59 PM
jesmu

We did.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: MUBurrow on March 25, 2019, 03:19:55 PM
Quote from: jesmu84 on March 25, 2019, 03:09:29 PM
Goose, I think we chatted about this a while ago. I agree generally with recruiting to a system/strengths. I think Wojo is trying to get there.

Here's what I said a bit ago: https://www.muscoop.com/index.php?topic=58189.msg1104339#msg1104339

I agree he is trying to get there. The defensive growth we saw this year is a good example of why I'm bullish on Wojo.  That's good trajectory. The offense let us down badly at the end of the year due to what, in my mind, was a miscalculation on how to best play to this team's strength. I don't have a problem with the focus on the three - I have an issue with how many threes this team steps into off the bounce. BB's willingness to pull up a three at the end of the year shows a lot to me about how this team was coached. BB is confident, but not so much so that he would be doing that if he didn't feel he had the green light.  In the long run, I think the end of the year swoon gets everyone on the same page for next year that the team will be better served installing a more motion-oriented offense, with lots more shooting off the catch. Sam, for instance, looks like a totally different player off the catch than the bounce.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Silkk the Shaka on March 25, 2019, 03:20:36 PM
Quote from: MUDish on March 25, 2019, 02:05:20 PM
I thought about this last night too. Maybe it's recency bias, but guys like Altman, Sampson, Beard, Beilein, Izzo seem to fit that magician mode. Whereas guys like Calipari, Coach K seem to be now more so on talent than system.

I'd say this is a good short list of guys that maximize their roster and have their teams playing very well down the stretch

One thing I'd note about Sampson is they had a ball dominant senior guard Rob Gray last year (30%+ shot rate), along with another senior starter, and went from a 6 seed to a 3 seed. The returning players improved and a couple frosh have pulled weight.

Markus turning pro would seem to be a devastating blow on the surface, but the addition of Koby/Elliott/Torrence/Akanno combined with all the returning talent should still result in an improvement from this year.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 25, 2019, 05:51:21 PM
Wojo is running a system. He's running Duke's motion offense. The system requires a scoring combo guard (Markus), a slashing guard (Sacar/Elliott), wings/forwards who can shoot (Sam, Joey, Bailey, Cain), and a defensive/rebounding big man (Theo/Ed/Matt). The offense is a 4 out 1 in look that involves a lot ballscreens and motion through the middle of the court. When executed properly, it leads to catch and shoot threes, layups off of screens (think Sacar's curl route play), jump shots from the elbow (think Sam and Joey shooting from the free throw line) and the occasional pick and roll dump off to a big fella.

The main problem we ran into this season was the slashing guard. Elliott got hurt and Sacar's offense was too inconsistent. When Sacar was finishing his drives and scoring, that is when our offense was elite. If defense stayed at home on shooters, Markus and Sacar would make them pay. If they adjusted to help on Markus and Sacar driving they would find the open shooters or dump off to Theo/Ed. When Sacar wasn't hitting, our offense became more stagnant. It required Markus to go into superman mode, otherwise the defense would just stay at home on the shooters and let Markus take difficult challenged shots.

Next season, that particular issue theoretically will be addressed by the addition of McEwen and Elliott and a year of development for Anim. The bugaboo last season was defense and Wojo addressed it in a huge way. I am confident that this weakness will be addressed this offseason.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: muguru on March 25, 2019, 06:06:07 PM
I can tell you one Coach that is a "magician" that's Coaching currently that ALWAYS has his teams perform better then their talent level...Matt Painter. Purdue's starters man for man aren't as talented as MU's..yet they always make the tourney, and usually Sweet 16's minmum.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: ZiggysFryBoy on March 25, 2019, 06:10:06 PM
Quote from: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 02:24:55 PM
Keefe

It may be that simple, but as you know the results are not so predictable for Boeheim, et al.  He misses the tournament from time to time, he has first round exits, etc.

I've also seen some of the supposed brilliance of McKinsey, and others absolutely implode on their machine learning recommendations, or other processes.  It's not a universal truth to simplify it as much as you state, in my opinion.  Yes, they can do good work, but let's not overstate that they solve everything with their recommendations and processes...they have plenty of misses.

A good rule is to take what McKinsey says and do the complete opposite.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Goose on March 25, 2019, 06:15:13 PM
TAMU

You are a magician. I have watched a lot of ball in my day and I did not see anything resembling the system you noted. I saw a little guy shoot the  three ball, I saw a little guy penetrate and either shoot or dribble back to his left along the baseline, I saw an offense that many possessions were twenty seconds in shot clock before getting anything resembling a good shot.

In all seriousness, I appreciate your post on Wojo's/MU offensive system. I am going to watch Duke closely and see what I can that matches our system. I realize they have all the pieces, but I should be able to at least recognize our offense, right?

Also, I want to thank you for noting the system Wojo has and the type of players he is recruiting to run it. I have asked, begged, pleaded for someone to define Wojo's system and you delivered. It works at Duke and players must love playing it. The most exciting news I have heard on MU ball in a long time.

TAMU--I just read a nice short take on the Duke motion offense. Only thing I liked better about the piece than yours was, "think Christian Laettner shooting from the free throw line". Interesting stuff and going to read more about it and watch closely. Just curious, what is 4 out, three in mean? The article I read said 3 out, 2 in or 4 out, 1 in. Am I missing something?
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Eldon on March 25, 2019, 06:36:03 PM
Quote from: TAMU Eagle on March 25, 2019, 05:51:21 PM
Wojo is running a system. He's running Duke's motion offense. The system requires a scoring combo guard (Markus), a slashing guard (Sacar/Elliott), wings/forwards who can shoot (Sam, Joey, Bailey, Cain), and a defensive/rebounding big man (Theo/Ed/Matt). The offense is a 4 out 3 in look that involves a lot ballscreens and motion through the middle of the court. When executed properly, it leads to catch and shoot threes, layups off of screens (think Sacar's curl route play), jump shots from the elbow (think Sam and Joey shooting from the free throw line) and the occasional pick and roll dump off to a big fella.

The main problem we ran into this season was the slashing guard. Elliott got hurt and Sacar's offense was too inconsistent. When Sacar was finishing his drives and scoring, that is when our offense was elite. If defense stayed at home on shooters, Markus and Sacar would make them pay. If they adjusted to help on Markus and Sacar driving they would find the open shooters or dump off to Theo/Ed. When Sacar wasn't hitting, our offense became more stagnant. It required Markus to go into superman mode, otherwise the defense would just stay at home on the shooters and let Markus take difficult challenged shots.

Next season, that particular issue theoretically will be addressed by the addition of McEwen and Elliott and a year of development for Anim. The bugaboo last season was defense and Wojo addressed it in a huge way. I am confident that this weakness will be addressed this offseason.

Does Collins at Northwestern also run this system?
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: The Sultan on March 25, 2019, 06:36:21 PM
Quote from: muguru on March 25, 2019, 06:06:07 PM
I can tell you one Coach that is a "magician" that's Coaching currently that ALWAYS has his teams perform better then their talent level...Matt Painter. Purdue's starters man for man aren't as talented as MU's..yet they always make the tourney, and usually Sweet 16's minmum.

After some early success, he went through a pretty rough stretch and Purdue fanboards wanted him fired. He turned it back around the last three years.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 25, 2019, 06:41:57 PM
Quote from: Goose on March 25, 2019, 06:15:13 PM
Just curious, what is 4 out, three in mean? The article I read said 3 out, 2 in or 4 out, 1 in. Am I missing something?

It means I was typing too fast and hit the 3 instead of the 1. I edited above. To be honest, I'm not sure if Duke still runs the same system or not. I know Coach K changed his defensive philosophy last season. I've watched Duke a couple of times this season but I was distracted by Zion destroying everything in his path.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: mu.n8ball on March 25, 2019, 06:48:15 PM
https://www.coachesclipboard.net/duke-early-motion-offense.html

Oh man, now that you said that, I recognize seeing that "through-action" plenty of times this season and last. The defenders would get caught on those screens in the paint and get punished by those wing 3's.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Goose on March 25, 2019, 06:54:51 PM
TAMU

Agreed on watching Zion. Hard to pay attention to much else.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: muguru on March 25, 2019, 07:01:43 PM
Quote from: TAMU Eagle on March 25, 2019, 06:41:57 PM
It means I was typing too fast and hit the 3 instead of the 1. I edited above. To be honest, I'm not sure if Duke still runs the same system or not. I know Coach K changed his defensive philosophy last season. I've watched Duke a couple of times this season but I was distracted by Zion destroying everything in his path.

He played quite a bit of zone last year..Hmmm...Wojo's mentor was willing to go out of his comfort zone and do something different because it was what he had to do to win a particular game etc. So...why isn;t Wojo willing to step out of his comfort zone from time to time then too??
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: MUBurrow on March 25, 2019, 09:36:13 PM
Quote from: muguru on March 25, 2019, 07:01:43 PM
He played quite a bit of zone last year..Hmmm...Wojo's mentor was willing to go out of his comfort zone and do something different because it was what he had to do to win a particular game etc. So...why isn;t Wojo willing to step out of his comfort zone from time to time then too??

Cmon man, you can hold the opinion that Wojo hasn't done enough and hasn't shown enough potential to warrant more time. But comments like 'OHH HMMM, Wojo's 72 year old mentor with 45 years of college head coaching experience did X, why can't Wojo do that too!?!' really undermines your position.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: muguru on March 25, 2019, 10:14:03 PM
Quote from: MUBurrow on March 25, 2019, 09:36:13 PM
Cmon man, you can hold the opinion that Wojo hasn't done enough and hasn't shown enough potential to warrant more time. But comments like 'OHH HMMM, Wojo's 72 year old mentor with 45 years of college head coaching experience did X, why can't Wojo do that too!?!' really undermines your position.

The problem is Burrow, Wojo has ZERO change ups or tricks up his sleeve, for certain game situations etc. He keeps doing the same thing over and over and over again whether it's working or not.

Two(and there were more) of the best "tricks" I have ever seen by MU Coaches...One by Crean, when they played Wisconsin(the year escapes me), but he put Chris Grimm on Alando Tucker that day. Worked beautifully, he shut him down, MU won the game. The other was Buzz in the NCAA tournament vs Xavier putting Jimmy Butler on Tu Holloway. Absolutely shut him down. Who does that?? put a 6'7 kid on a Lightning quick PG?? No one would think that would work. Buzz did, and he was right. Buzz threw out zones in middle of games which they had never really run before...they worked.

Wojo just does none of that, and I have yet to figure out why. I take the GT game at home for an example..Akinjo and McClung were abusing them off the dribble, all game long. What did he do to try to correct that?? Not much of anything. You know what i would have liked to see?? How about some traps as soon as they get over half court?? They are Freshman...on the road..you know what freshman are going to do under that kind of pressure(the trapping), when they are playing on the road?? They are going to turn the ball over...that's what they are going to do. You gain an extra possession or two that way, and since that was a two point game, that could have been the difference...why not TRY it??

Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: TheREALwrk on March 25, 2019, 10:17:35 PM
Quote from: Jon on March 25, 2019, 01:16:18 PM
It's the system. Boeheim has made a Hall of Fame career with it. So has Ryan. And Bennett is continuing the trend.

In Operations Research one can always distill issues down to one of 3 things: People, Process, Training. It really is that simple (what is bloody difficult is developing the algorithms and applying them dynamically in complex environments.)

What system coaches have done is mastered this paradigm. And they can calibrate shortcomings in any one of the three cones by weighting another/others more heavily. And they can do this on the fly - which in the CBB construct is called In-Game Adjustments.

The USAF has outstanding gear, phenomenally smart people, and the processes to hone their warfighting skills.

The F 15 Eagle is undefeated in aerial combat - something like 130 - 0. That record is testament to what the USAF calls the Air Battle Management System (which we have co-developed with our brothers in the IDF, some of the finest fighter pilots in the world.)

It's not like the old days when pilots kicked the tires then lit the fires of their Phantom and went off looking for MiGs. F 15s are integrated into the battlespace at higher altitude with F 16s who play in lower altitudes. The battlespace is divided into blocks of real estate where all actions are controlled by the EA 3 Sentry. 

It is through this systemic management of aerial combat that the USAF and IDF dominate the skies.

What Boeheim, Ryan, Bennett, etc... are doing is no different. Applying OR principles to any dynamic environment eliminates the randomness that characterizes fluid environments.

I used to laugh my ass off when Tanned Tommy bragged about his 200-some page play book. That's not meticulous planning; rather, it is creating unnecessary chaos.

I see the same problem with Wojo. He doesn't have a systemic approach to game planning/management, player recruitment and retention, and program development.

If I were Marquette, I would hire a mouth breather away from the Rand Corp or the Air Force Research Lab to implement an OR-based system to empower an Xs and Os gym rat.

This is.... Something.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: MUBurrow on March 25, 2019, 10:33:42 PM
Quote from: muguru on March 25, 2019, 10:14:03 PM
The problem is Burrow, Wojo has ZERO change ups or tricks up his sleeve, for certain game situations etc. He keeps doing the same thing over and over and over again whether it's working or not
[...]
Wojo just does none of that, and I have yet to figure out why. I take the GT game at home for an example..Akinjo and McClung were abusing them off the dribble, all game long. What did he do to try to correct that?? Not much of anything. You know what i would have liked to see?? How about some traps as soon as they get over half court?? They are Freshman...on the road..you know what freshman are going to do under that kind of pressure(the trapping), when they are playing on the road?? They are going to turn the ball over...that's what they are going to do. You gain an extra possession or two that way, and since that was a two point game, that could have been the difference...why not TRY it??

I agree that I've been frustrated with the pace of some in-game adjustments. Most of my frustrations are on the offensive end, but there are some on defense as well. I think a lot of that stems from the fact that we're just not a very fast team.  Markus is shifty but you cant really use him to apply lead pressure in the backcourt. Neither of the Hausers can be really effective in pressure (maybe Sam, but he's probably at midcourt, not in the backcourt). You would have to use some combination of Sacar, Cain, and Bailey to apply that kind of pressure, but that means they all have to be on the floor. Whether on offense or defense, though, I will agree there often seems a lack of creativity in the gameplan. I diagnose that as part lack of particularly versatile players, and part something Wojo has to grow into.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 10:35:16 PM
Quote from: Goose on March 25, 2019, 02:36:44 PM
Cheeks
My point on having is a system is in regards to guys you recruit. The guys Keefe noted are guys that recruit to fit their style of play. There is much higher probability of success for the long haul recruiting to your strengths.

Fair enough and it makes sense.  That said, sometimes if you cannot get the guys you want, you have to be flexible....or take a guy that is a no brainer like Hank.  Yes?
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 10:40:46 PM
Quote from: muguru on March 25, 2019, 06:06:07 PM
I can tell you one Coach that is a "magician" that's Coaching currently that ALWAYS has his teams perform better then their talent level...Matt Painter. Purdue's starters man for man aren't as talented as MU's..yet they always make the tourney, and usually Sweet 16's minmum.

Another guy that was nearly run out of town and IU fans begging for him to be signed to a long term deal.  How quickly you forget.  6 year stint with two NCAA tournament wins and missing the tournament twice had Boiler fans not so happy.  He was able to figure it out.

Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on March 25, 2019, 11:13:07 PM
Quote from: muguru on March 25, 2019, 10:14:03 PM
The problem is Burrow, Wojo has ZERO change ups or tricks up his sleeve, for certain game situations etc. He keeps doing the same thing over and over and over again whether it's working or not.

Two(and there were more) of the best "tricks" I have ever seen by MU Coaches...One by Crean, when they played Wisconsin(the year escapes me), but he put Chris Grimm on Alando Tucker that day. Worked beautifully, he shut him down, MU won the game. The other was Buzz in the NCAA tournament vs Xavier putting Jimmy Butler on Tu Holloway. Absolutely shut him down. Who does that?? put a 6'7 kid on a Lightning quick PG?? No one would think that would work. Buzz did, and he was right. Buzz threw out zones in middle of games which they had never really run before...they worked.

Wojo just does none of that, and I have yet to figure out why. I take the GT game at home for an example..Akinjo and McClung were abusing them off the dribble, all game long. What did he do to try to correct that?? Not much of anything. You know what i would have liked to see?? How about some traps as soon as they get over half court?? They are Freshman...on the road..you know what freshman are going to do under that kind of pressure(the trapping), when they are playing on the road?? They are going to turn the ball over...that's what they are going to do. You gain an extra possession or two that way, and since that was a two point game, that could have been the difference...why not TRY it??

Wojo does not make big adjustments, that is true but I think the narrative that he does ZERO adjustments is false. We had a lot of come from behind victories this season due in part to some of the adjustments that Wojo made.

You are misremembering the Georgetown game. Akinjo and McClung were killing us, by making tough contested shots that had no business going in (and then getting bailed out by refs in the last few minutes). When you play good defense and force a bad shot you don't overreact and change things just because the bad shot went in. Sometimes good defense isn't enough. As for your trapping suggestion, we could have tried it...of course that was Wojo's plan against Murray State and we saw how that worked out.

To be clear, I don't think Wojo made all the right calls or pushed the right buttons, especially at the end of the season. I just don't think Georgetown was the best example. I think Keefe said it best, Akinjo and McClung were throwing up turds that kept splashing into the punch bowl.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 11:19:05 PM
Quote from: TAMU Eagle on March 25, 2019, 11:13:07 PM
Wojo does not make big adjustments, that is true but I think the narrative that he does ZERO adjustments is false. We had a lot of come from behind victories this season due in part to some of the adjustments that Wojo made.

You are misremembering the Georgetown game. Akinjo and McClung were killing us, by making tough contested shots that had no business going in (and then getting bailed out by refs in the last few minutes). When you play good defense and force a bad shot you don't overreact and change things just because the bad shot went in. Sometimes good defense isn't enough. As for your trapping suggestion, we could have tried it...of course that was Wojo's plan against Murray State and we saw how that worked out.

To be clear, I don't think Wojo made all the right calls or pushed the right buttons, especially at the end of the season. I just don't think Georgetown was the best example. I think Keefe said it best, Akinjo and McClung were throwing up turds that kept splashing into the punch bowl.

I think the GTown game at GTown, where we had to start game with Markus and then play about 35 minutes of it without him was a giant adjustment.  People don't mention that or give the staff credit for that game.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Jon on March 26, 2019, 12:15:54 AM
Quote from: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 02:24:55 PM
Keefe

It may be that simple, but as you know the results are not so predictable for Boeheim, et al.  He misses the tournament from time to time, he has first round exits, etc.

I've also seen some of the supposed brilliance of McKinsey, and others absolutely implode on their machine learning recommendations, or other processes.  It's not a universal truth to simplify it as much as you state, in my opinion.  Yes, they can do good work, but let's not overstate that they solve everything with their recommendations and processes...they have plenty of misses.

Jams,

A system is not a guarantor of success. But it certainly increases the odds thereof.

There is a reason why certain programs are consistently successful; OR systemic models drive consistency, predictability, and quality.

Because CBB programs are smaller organisms than marshaling the resources of a nation for war there is greater irregularity than in the larger ecosystem. Because varaiance is the norm it has a greater impact on a 30 game season involving 12 guys than it would the 24/7 operations of a major multi-national.

ANd that is why SYracuse can lose in the first round. But at least Cuse always gets to the Dance.

Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Cheeks on March 26, 2019, 12:35:08 AM
Quote from: Jon on March 26, 2019, 12:15:54 AM
Jams,

A system is not a guarantor of success. But it certainly increases the odds thereof.

There is a reason why certain programs are consistently successful; OR systemic models drive consistency, predictability, and quality.

Because CBB programs are smaller organisms than marshaling the resources of a nation for war there is greater irregularity than in the larger ecosystem. Because varaiance is the norm it has a greater impact on a 30 game season involving 12 guys than it would the 24/7 operations of a major multi-national.

ANd that is why SYracuse can lose in the first round. But at least Cuse always gets to the Dance.

They don't always get to the dance, but I get your point in terms of reducing variability.  Thing is, these are human beings that are performing, so that variability is always going to be there.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: MUHoopsFan2 on March 26, 2019, 12:45:36 AM
Quote from: Cheeks on March 25, 2019, 11:19:05 PM
I think the GTown game at GTown, where we had to start game with Markus and then play about 35 minutes of it without him was a giant adjustment.  People don't mention that or give the staff credit for that game.
He did make a BIG ADJUSTMENT...and he did it late in the after a loss! And I applaud him for it. He went away from Markus chucking up shots without passing the ball around and he went to getting the ball in the post, like Buzz was all about paint touches.

He went to an inside and out the game on offense instead of the outside and in-game finally and started posting up the Hauser's.

We found out that the bigs are just putback guys and their range is 3 feet but you still have to go to them. I would have liked to see more screen and rolls with the Bigs next year but you need a guy who can dribble the ball better.

One thing that also changed was the ball-handling and turnover ratio in the last 7 games... and teams figured Howard out late, or he was a bit injured. or both. the other team plays to win too you know...
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: MUHoopsFan2 on March 26, 2019, 12:51:10 AM
Quote from: MUBurrow on March 25, 2019, 10:33:42 PM
I agree that I've been frustrated with the pace of some in-game adjustments. Most of my frustrations are on the offensive end, but there are some on defense as well. I think a lot of that stems from the fact that we're just not a very fast team.  Markus is shifty but you cant really use him to apply lead pressure in the backcourt. Neither of the Hausers can be really effective in pressure (maybe Sam, but he's probably at midcourt, not in the backcourt). You would have to use some combination of Sacar, Cain, and Bailey to apply that kind of pressure, but that means they all have to be on the floor. Whether on offense or defense, though, I will agree there often seems a lack of creativity in the gameplan. I diagnose that as part lack of particularly versatile players, and part something Wojo has to grow into.
No, you are right. They are not fast or quick with the ball...And when you make them speed up they turn it over. They need an ELITE BALL-HANDLER at PG.

A guy to not fiddle with it but bring it up and get it to the shooters, quickly. Don't have it in one guys hands [Howard] and have them pound the dribble and hoist up a 30 footer. Granted, some of those when in this year and it won some games.

But over the long season that wore out.  And they do not use the pass well.

And he refused to play Jamal Cain and Greg was hurt...to me that is the biggest key of the year. No team speed...

Sacar improved greatly but outside of that...that has to change next year. And it will.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: The Sultan on March 26, 2019, 07:21:40 AM
Quote from: Jon on March 26, 2019, 12:15:54 AM
Jams,

A system is not a guarantor of success. But it certainly increases the odds thereof.

There is a reason why certain programs are consistently successful; OR systemic models drive consistency, predictability, and quality.


Usually the simple answer is that their coaches are better. Boeheim and Bo are better than Wojo right now.
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: NorthernDancerColt on March 26, 2019, 08:17:48 AM
Quote from: Goose on March 25, 2019, 02:11:48 PM
MUDish

I like the system of knowing and having too much talent. That would be my first choice.
it certainly makes for creating  better "Parties on the Court", as Al thought was his main job.

Retitle the thread "Hardwood Hosts with the Most"
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Silkk the Shaka on March 26, 2019, 08:23:00 AM
Quote from: Jon on March 26, 2019, 12:15:54 AM
Jams,

A system is not a guarantor of success. But it certainly increases the odds thereof.

There is a reason why certain programs are consistently successful; OR systemic models drive consistency, predictability, and quality.

Because CBB programs are smaller organisms than marshaling the resources of a nation for war there is greater irregularity than in the larger ecosystem. Because varaiance is the norm it has a greater impact on a 30 game season involving 12 guys than it would the 24/7 operations of a major multi-national.

ANd that is why SYracuse can lose in the first round. But at least Cuse always gets to the Dance.

"These are my OR systems"
"Oh, are they?"
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: LAMUfan on March 26, 2019, 10:31:19 AM
"If I were Marquette, I would hire a mouth breather away from the Rand Corp or the Air Force Research Lab to implement an OR-based system to empower an Xs and Os gym rat."

My Dad worked at RAND and I have multiple family friends/ basically family that still work there, and can tell you that you should not hire them for anything related to sports :)
Title: Re: How many magicians are there?
Post by: Warrior Code on March 26, 2019, 11:37:39 AM
Quote from: Ellenson Family Reunion on March 26, 2019, 08:23:00 AM
"These are my OR systems"
"Oh, are they?"

(https://i.pinimg.com/originals/7a/23/11/7a231156e98e40953e0b4c4eddf88379.gif)
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