Pomeroy preseason out

[Eye]

34th
21-11, 11-9

Non-conf losses at Michigan and the two games at Atlantis but rounded up to 10-2

Swept by UConn, sweeps of Xavier, Butler, DePaul, Seton Hall, Georgetown in BE play, rounded down to 11-9.

Projected offensive rating 48. Projected defensive rating 20.

After last year, I'd sign for that. Might be enough to avoid the grossly exaggerated PIG games.

[Vander Blue Man Group]

While we're likely not sweeping those 5 teams, in this scenario we go 1-9 against UConn, St. John's, Creighton, Villanova and Providence. 

No chance.

[SchnitzelBoy]

I think MU is more than capable of a slightly better record of 23-9 but this seems pretty realistic.

Losses to Michigan and Virginia are likely but wins over TAMU, Mizzou, Mississipi State, and Wisconsin are attainable.

I'd expect weirdness in Big East play where we achieve an unlikely sweep of someone like Creighton but drop a bad game to Seton Hall. 12-8 or 13-7 are the benchmark.

[PointWarrior]

Pomeroy is out, no need to even play the games...   

While we're likely not sweeping those 5 teams, in this scenario we go 1-9 against UConn, St. John's, Creighton, Villanova and Providence. 

No chance.

[Uncle Rico]

Pomeroy is out, no need to even play the games...   

Why not?

[Scoop Snoop]

I think MU is more than capable of a slightly better record of 23-9 but this seems pretty realistic.

Losses to Michigan and Virginia are likely but wins over TAMU, Mizzou, Mississipi State, and Wisconsin are attainable.

I'd expect weirdness in Big East play where we achieve an unlikely sweep of someone like Creighton but drop a bad game to Seton Hall. 12-8 or 13-7 are the benchmark.

I teeter-tottered from 12-8 and 13-7 before posting on the prediction thread but settled on 13-7. I cannot explain why, other than holiday games in the Caribbean often result in upsets, but I think we have a decent chance to surprise UVA.

[MU82]

Non-conf losses at Michigan and the two games at Atlantis but rounded up to 10-2

I admit that I don't get this. Pomeroy is predicting 3 NC losses but rounding up to only 2? Why?

[Jay Bee]

I admit that I don't get this. Pomeroy is predicting 3 NC losses but rounding up to only 2? Why?

He's using cumulative probabilities. Those can produce different results than game by game. #math

[MU82]

He's using cumulative probabilities. Those can produce different results than game by game. #math

Thanks.

I wish he'd round up to declare us champs!

[SchnitzelBoy]

I teeter-tottered from 12-8 and 13-7 before posting on the prediction thread but settled on 13-7. I cannot explain why, other than holiday games in the Caribbean often result in upsets, but I think we have a decent chance to surprise UVA.

Cautiously optimistic about every non-con game we play except Michigan. UVA is returning some of their best players and brought in a good portal haul. I still think MU can hang, especially at a neutral-site ballroom in the Caribbean...

[Jay Bee]

Do we know Ken's assumptions re: CP5?

I had us 21-11 (12-8), so in line with KP and BT, but I don't know all their assumptions. It appears Bart has Colin playing substantial minutes, with Alex, Ian shutting out MPII's playing time, all of which I take exception to.

[MU82]

Alex, Ian shutting out MPII's playing time, all of which I take exception to.

And for good reason. That's just silly.