[Paint Touches] Q&A with Devon Mulry

[pux90mex]

Marquette's new Director of Video and Analytics spoke to us about his past with Shaka, his current role and why lineup data can do more harm than good.

https://painttouches.com/2023/09/21/qa-with-devon-mulry-marquettes-director-of-video-and-analytics/

[THRILLHO]

Marquette's new Director of Video and Analytics spoke to us about his past with Shaka, his current role and why lineup data can do more harm than good.

https://painttouches.com/2023/09/21/qa-with-devon-mulry-marquettes-director-of-video-and-analytics/

Very interesting. I'm curious how exactly they control for lucky three point shots when doing lineup based stats.

[pux90mex]

Very interesting. I'm curious how exactly they control for lucky three point shots when doing lineup based stats.

I didn't ask how they do it internally, but you can actually do a bit of that yourself using Hoop-Explorer. He has a "luck" button that adjusts 3-points percentage up or down to about average.

So without a luck adjustment the MU 5 of Tk/Kam/Jop/OMax/Oso had an Adj DRating of 88.7 points/100 poss. Meaning they were an elite defensive squad. But that's because opponents shot 24% in this 114 possession sample. If you adjust for "luck" the Adj D Rating goes down to 96.6 pts/100.

https://hoop-explorer.com/LineupAnalyzer?baseQuery=&filter=&filterGarbage=true&gender=Men&lineupLuck=true&maxRank=400&maxTableSize=50&minPoss=5&minRank=0&sortBy=desc%3Aoff_poss&team=Marquette&year=2022%2F23&

Obvi there will be some teams and lineups that are better than others at contesting 3s, but for the most part, makes sense to revert to the average.