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Marquette
Marquette

Open Practice

Date/Time: Oct 11, 2024 ???
TV: NA
Schedule for 2023-24
27-10

Author Topic: Call Your Shot Big East Edition  (Read 5205 times)

RushmoreAcademy

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #25 on: December 12, 2021, 01:53:57 PM »
20-0

Herman Cain

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #26 on: December 12, 2021, 01:55:36 PM »
11-9. Which is where I was when season started

I was at 8-3 Non Conference and they delivered that

I think the team is tracking well
The only mystery in life is why the Kamikaze Pilots wore helmets...
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MU82

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #27 on: December 12, 2021, 02:18:45 PM »
82

You count on one hand the games lost that he should have won. That was his trademark and something he held as a benchmark. Now, if you want to say he played down to competition, that happened many times a season. Many games were won with 3-5 minutes of high quality ball. Aside from his final season, there are not many games you can rattle off that he lost against lower competition.

You know a lot more about the Al era than I do, Goose, so I defer to your knowledge.

Shaka's not Al. And Luke, Butch, Bo and Dean ain't walkin' through that door to help this particular group go 8-0 against those 4 teams. But point taken.
“It’s not how white men fight.” - Tucker Carlson

NCMUFan

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #28 on: December 12, 2021, 02:21:22 PM »
12-8

Lennys Tap

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #29 on: December 12, 2021, 02:21:54 PM »
Though I think professional statisticians would say the chance is better than 0.0%, again, we agree. Even Buzz and Crean and KO and Al teams that were a lot less flawed than this one lost many games they were "supposed to win."

Doesn’t take a professional statistician to figure probabilities and of course the probability of us sweeping those 8 games isn’t 0.0%. If estimating that we have a 70% chance of winning those 4 home games and a 40% chance of winning those road games is fair but our chance for an 8 game sweep is .7x.7x.7x.7x.4x.4x.4x.4  which equals less than a 1% (.614656%).

So BLM isn’t wrong that it’s an extremely long shot (about 175-1) - so not impossible but virtually so.
« Last Edit: December 12, 2021, 02:25:52 PM by Lennys Tap »

Goose

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #30 on: December 12, 2021, 02:25:47 PM »
82

Like Rico said, Al is dead. Great memories and games to talk about with people who care. All I care about is the Shaka era. I do enjoy reminiscing about the Buzz era and most here have been fans that long. It would be pretty cool if Dean walked through the door. Bo looks long in the tooth to me.
« Last Edit: December 12, 2021, 02:49:27 PM by Goose »

dgies9156

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #31 on: December 12, 2021, 02:47:55 PM »
Nattering nabobs of negativism.

All of you. Except Goose!

We will be fine. Let’s see how our guys respond to last night and how they grow from it.

Scoop Snoop

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #32 on: December 12, 2021, 02:58:19 PM »
Nattering nabobs of negativism.

All of you. Except Goose!

We will be fine. Let’s see how our guys respond to last night and how they grow from it.

OK Spiro. My guess is that many here do not get your reference.

We'll be OK. Fine? Depends upon your definition in terms of W/L. So what's yours Dgies?
Wild horses couldn't drag me into either political party, but for very different reasons.

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Oldgym

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #33 on: December 12, 2021, 03:20:49 PM »
9-11

Shooter McGavin

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #34 on: December 12, 2021, 03:36:25 PM »
10-10 and we are in the first four play in games.

Mr. Nielsen

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #35 on: December 12, 2021, 03:54:26 PM »
10-10
« Last Edit: December 12, 2021, 03:56:05 PM by Mr. Nielsen »
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ATL MU Warrior

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #36 on: December 12, 2021, 04:12:47 PM »
We’ll win between 6-8.  No chance of 10+. Assuming we lose to Nova at home (there will be more home losses) who is this team beating on the road? 

Shooter McGavin

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #37 on: December 12, 2021, 04:16:50 PM »
We’ll win between 6-8.  No chance of 10+. Assuming we lose to Nova at home (there will be more home losses) who is this team beating on the road?

The answer for which team they will beat on the road is any team besides UConn and Villanova.  Will that other team have to have a crappy game?  Yes.  But no one in this league is unbeatable at home or away.   Whether it happens or not, who knows?

rocky_warrior

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #38 on: December 12, 2021, 04:34:50 PM »
Doesn’t take a professional statistician to figure probabilities and of course the probability of us sweeping those 8 games isn’t 0.0%. If estimating that we have a 70% chance of winning those 4 home games and a 40% chance of winning those road games is fair but our chance for an 8 game sweep is .7x.7x.7x.7x.4x.4x.4x.4  which equals less than a 1% (.614656%).

Your estimates are only a little generous.  St. Johns and DePaul aren't the pushovers that Scoop fans would like to believe.  Currently Torvik's computer gives us a 0.1972632711168% chance of going 8-0 against them and Butler/GTown.  So there's a chance! 

Uncle Rico

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #39 on: December 12, 2021, 04:35:32 PM »
Your estimates are only a little generous.  St. Johns and DePaul aren't the pushovers that Scoop fans would like to believe.  Currently Torvik's computer gives us a 0.1972632711168% chance of going 8-0 against them and Butler/GTown.  So there's a chance!

#DoneDeal
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rocky_warrior

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #40 on: December 12, 2021, 04:38:00 PM »
Oh, and put me down for 9-11, which would be slightly overachieving in my book.

bilsu

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #41 on: December 12, 2021, 04:47:54 PM »
11-9. Which is where I was when season started

I was at 8-3 Non Conference and they delivered that

I think the team is tracking well
8-3 non-conference is better than what I expected. However, they were very close to being 6-5. The players do seem to have a knack for winning the close games, but sometimes that evens out over the entire season.
« Last Edit: December 12, 2021, 04:50:23 PM by bilsu »

BCHoopster

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #42 on: December 12, 2021, 05:12:35 PM »
1-9 on the road, 5-5 at home

BM1090

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #43 on: December 12, 2021, 05:14:43 PM »
11-9.

Butler x2
Georgetown x2
Providence
Creighton
UConn
DePaul
SJU
SHU
X

Juan Anderson's Mixtape

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #44 on: December 12, 2021, 07:11:16 PM »
7-13

mug644

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #45 on: December 12, 2021, 08:31:20 PM »
9-11. With two unanticipated losses and two awesome wins.

I think the range is 8-12 to 11-9. I don't see the team choking or exploding any more than that.

dgies9156

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #46 on: December 12, 2021, 08:36:30 PM »
OK Spiro. My guess is that many here do not get your reference.

We'll be OK. Fine? Depends upon your definition in terms of W/L. So what's yours Dgies?

Crazy boomer here!

We are going to win some we should not win and maybe lose some we should not lose.

Optimistically 12-8.

Viper

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #47 on: December 12, 2021, 08:43:41 PM »
I’m not a big Shaka guy, but I do think he can get this team to 10-10 in the BE. If MU takes a win in the conf tournament, 19 overall wins might earn a dance invite.

The Equalizer

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #48 on: December 12, 2021, 09:17:35 PM »
11-9.

Butler x2
Georgetown x2
Providence
Creighton
UConn
DePaul
SJU
SHU
X

This seems about right.




MU82

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Re: Call Your Shot Big East Edition
« Reply #49 on: December 12, 2021, 10:10:30 PM »
9-11. With two unanticipated losses and two awesome wins.

I think the range is 8-12 to 11-9. I don't see the team choking or exploding any more than that.

Believable range, and logical explanation.
“It’s not how white men fight.” - Tucker Carlson

 

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