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Date/Time: Oct 16, 2020?
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Author Topic: Xavier opens -2.5  (Read 2406 times)

MuMark

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Xavier opens -2.5
« on: January 28, 2020, 05:29:47 PM »
Butler also an underdog catching 1 tonight at Georgetown

Ellenson Family Reunion

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #1 on: January 28, 2020, 05:40:52 PM »
wow, what do the markets know that we don't? KenPom has us a 1 point favorite

geps

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #2 on: January 28, 2020, 06:48:58 PM »
Thought line would be OFF honestly.

BM1090

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #3 on: January 28, 2020, 11:06:45 PM »
That surprised me. Was expecting PK or X -1

Jay Bee

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #4 on: January 29, 2020, 05:49:22 AM »
wow, what do the markets know that we don't? KenPom has us a 1 point favorite

Well I will say I think* KenPom thinks Ed & Greg will get some run..

LAZER

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #5 on: January 29, 2020, 09:27:02 AM »
This may be anecdotal, but it seems Vegas and Pomeroy have been further apart this year compared to recent years.

Ellenson Family Reunion

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #6 on: January 29, 2020, 09:36:49 AM »
Well I will say I think* KenPom thinks Ed & Greg will get some run..

Good point, likely... but Ed was a net negative contributor, would the model factor that in?

Jay Bee

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #7 on: January 29, 2020, 10:04:54 AM »
Good point, likely... but Ed was a net negative contributor, would the model factor that in?

Yep. Time to bet the house aina

JakeBarnes

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #8 on: January 29, 2020, 10:31:24 AM »
ESPN has it down to -1.5
Assume what I say should be in teal if it doesn't pass the smell test for you.


Goose

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #9 on: January 29, 2020, 10:32:13 AM »
JayBee

My question, is that a sucker line? Many times back in my day I would have jumped all over a line like that. So are you a buyer of the +2.5?
« Last Edit: January 29, 2020, 11:40:12 AM by Goose »

fjm

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #10 on: January 29, 2020, 10:35:32 AM »
Shoulda taken MU +2.5 when I had the chance.

Jay Bee

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #11 on: January 29, 2020, 11:58:44 AM »
JayBee

My question, is that a sucker line? Many times back in my day I would have jumped all over a line like that. So are you a buyer of the +2.5?

I highly doubt I’ll touch this game with $. Don’t love betting MU in general, but this one especially.

I think X is a relatively weak team, but yeah... unless it’s MU +5 it’s probably not enough to draw me in

Jay Bee

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #12 on: January 29, 2020, 01:04:38 PM »
PS - Markus better be good to go

Elonsmusk

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #13 on: January 29, 2020, 01:06:26 PM »
Shoulda taken MU +2.5 when I had the chance.

Yes. Dropped to 1.5. I decided to go with Moneyline at +105.  Road teams not faring well, but we played pretty well at GTown and Seton Hall. Xavier’s offense blows.  Made out quite well betting against X at Creighton.
No doubt there are cultural differences, but sports is important for many Asians.

Windyplayer

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #14 on: January 29, 2020, 01:09:12 PM »
Yes. Dropped to 1.5. I decided to go with Moneyline at +105.  Road teams not faring well, but we played pretty well at GTown and Seton Hall. Xavier’s offense blows.  Made out quite well betting against X at Creighton.
Down to 1 now.

BM1090

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #15 on: January 29, 2020, 01:10:11 PM »
Yes. Dropped to 1.5. I decided to go with Moneyline at +105.  Road teams not faring well, but we played pretty well at GTown and Seton Hall. Xavier’s offense blows.  Made out quite well betting against X at Creighton.

I took MU +2.5.

This game worries me a bit. X is a dreadful 3p shooting team but the games they hit them they become a good team very quickly. Teams usually shoot better at home, too.

I hope Wojo packs in the defense and doesn't panic if they hit a few shots early. If they beat us over the top, so be it.

f/k/a humanlung

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #16 on: January 29, 2020, 02:25:32 PM »
Line is down to Xavier -1.

Zephyr820

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #17 on: January 29, 2020, 03:22:24 PM »
Xavier's season is basically over if they lose.  Maybe some back-against-the-wall is priced into the line

Jay Bee

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #18 on: January 29, 2020, 03:26:31 PM »
Just put small $$ on MU +1.5. What the heck

fjm

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #19 on: January 29, 2020, 04:26:38 PM »
Back to -2

Jumping in at +2.

Here’s hoping we bounce back.

Windyplayer

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #20 on: January 29, 2020, 04:26:50 PM »
Line back up to -2 XU. Weird.

Jay Bee

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #21 on: January 30, 2020, 07:36:03 AM »
Just put small $$ on MU +1.5. What the heck

On the longest bet win streak of my life. $$$$$$$$

fjm

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #22 on: January 30, 2020, 07:39:16 AM »
On the longest bet win streak of my life. $$$$$$$$

Get money!

MuMark

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #23 on: January 30, 2020, 02:36:58 PM »
I took MU +2.5.

This game worries me a bit. X is a dreadful 3p shooting team but the games they hit them they become a good team very quickly. Teams usually shoot better at home, too.

I hope Wojo packs in the defense and doesn't panic if they hit a few shots early. If they beat us over the top, so be it.

Well they shot it great from 3.......we played large chunk of the game without  our star player.....and still won.

Goodin makes 5 3s......now that’s a nut punch!

Ellenson Family Reunion

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Re: Xavier opens -2.5
« Reply #24 on: January 30, 2020, 04:49:06 PM »
On the longest bet win streak of my life. $$$$$$$$

You buy Bernie on Predictit @28 cents last week??

Who you got in the SB? I'm leaning SF