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Author Topic: Bracketology 2019-2020  (Read 126711 times)

MU82

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #300 on: February 17, 2020, 11:01:33 PM »
Without going 5-1 or one of the current 4 seeds tanking in the last few games, I'm not sure I see a path to a 4 seed. I think the 5 and 6 seeds are pretty clumped but I think the top 4 seed lines are starting to separate themselves and their just isn't that many opportunities for them to stumble. Looking at bracketmatrix, the 4 seeds are currently Penn State, Nova, Oregon, and Creighton. Combined, those 4 teams have 14 Q1, 6 Q2, and 2 Q3 games remaining. They won't get punished for losing the Q1 games and won't get that hurt by Q2 losses. So unless Oregon loses to Cal or Penn State loses to Northwestern, we are going to have outplay them but multiple games down the stretch to pass them.

Let's start with us beating Creighton by 20 or so tomorrow!
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Its DJOver

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #301 on: February 18, 2020, 08:26:36 AM »
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

5 playing in Tampa.  Also appears that 8 Beast teams is still very much in the picture.

pbiflyer

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #302 on: February 18, 2020, 10:21:19 AM »
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

5 playing in Tampa.  Also appears that 8 Beast teams is still very much in the picture.

Considering I will be in Tampa, I would take that. Nova on the other side too. Nice!
So, it won't happen.

GoldenDieners32

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #303 on: February 18, 2020, 10:31:09 AM »
4 brackets have us at a 7 seed on bracketmatrix and 1 has us at a 4 seed

GoldenDieners32

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #304 on: February 18, 2020, 10:34:43 AM »
I feel like there is a small area to slip up (difference between 6 and 7 seed), i would like our chances way more if we were a 5/6 rather than a 7

JakeBarnes

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #305 on: February 18, 2020, 10:51:05 AM »
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

5 playing in Tampa.  Also appears that 8 Beast teams is still very much in the picture.

I would love that draw.
Assume what I say should be in teal if it doesn't pass the smell test for you.


Galway Eagle

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #306 on: February 18, 2020, 10:53:06 AM »
I would love that draw.

Seriously, auburn team struggling away from home. Hall having locker room issues, SDSU not having played a real team in awhile, and duke who id hope Wojo is intimately familiar with.
Maigh Eo for Sam

GoldenDieners32

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #307 on: February 18, 2020, 11:01:28 AM »
One thing i did find interesting is that on TRank, it is comparing our resume to UConn 2014 team which went on to win the chip

barfolomew

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #308 on: February 18, 2020, 11:12:11 AM »
During the selection show last year, CBS threw up a graphic that in the last 34 years, 6-seeds have a .625 win pctg in the round of 64 (85-51). 5-seeds are .654% (89-47).

If you can snag that 4-seed, it jumps to .794% (108-28).

Relationes Incrementum Victoria

GoldenDieners32

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #309 on: February 18, 2020, 11:14:27 AM »
During the selection show last year, CBS threw up a graphic that in the last 34 years, 6-seeds have a .625 win pctg in the round of 64 (85-51). 5-seeds are .654% (89-47).

If you can snag that 4-seed, it jumps to .794% (108-28).
If you gon on TRank, if we lose only one game the rest of the regular season we would be a 4 seed

muguru

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #310 on: February 18, 2020, 11:19:26 AM »
Looks we are settling in to a spot between 5 and 7 seed. Yes that is 12 spots so a wide range.

I am typically optimistic. But I think we go 3-3 to finish the season and end up with a 7 seed.

3-3?? Who in the hell are you seeing three losses against?? That would be an unmitigated disaster given who is left on their schedule after tonight. If they win tonight, I honestly think there's a better chance they win out then to go 3-3. 3-3 would mean losing to one of...@ PC, @ SJU, @ DuhPaul, Georgetown at home, and that's assuming you feel like they will lose to Hall and Creighton...If they lose one of those other remaining games...you're god damn right it would be inexcusable.
“Being realistic is the most common path to mediocrity.” Will Smith

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I want this quote to serve as a reminder to the vast majority of scoop posters in regards to the MU BB program.

MU82

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #311 on: February 18, 2020, 11:28:00 AM »
Hair, meet fire.
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LoudMouth

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #312 on: February 18, 2020, 11:28:53 AM »
3-3?? Who in the hell are you seeing three losses against?? That would be an unmitigated disaster given who is left on their schedule after tonight. If they win tonight, I honestly think there's a better chance they win out then to go 3-3. 3-3 would mean losing to one of...@ PC, @ SJU, @ DuhPaul, Georgetown at home, and that's assuming you feel like they will lose to Hall and Creighton...If they lose one of those other remaining games...you're god damn right it would be inexcusable.

We are 1-5 since the start of the new Big East @ St. John's...no road game is ever a lock and certainly not an "unmitigated disaster"

muguru

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #313 on: February 18, 2020, 11:40:36 AM »
We are 1-5 since the start of the new Big East @ St. John's...no road game is ever a lock and certainly not an "unmitigated disaster"

Different year, different teams...Shamori Ponds ain't walking through that door. Nor is Mustapha Heron for that matter.
“Being realistic is the most common path to mediocrity.” Will Smith

We live in a society that rewards mediocrity , I detest mediocrity - David Goggi

I want this quote to serve as a reminder to the vast majority of scoop posters in regards to the MU BB program.

Juan Anderson's Mixtape

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #314 on: February 18, 2020, 11:48:12 AM »
I also like that ESPN bracketology draw.  I see a real path to the Elite 8.

fjm

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #315 on: February 18, 2020, 11:52:00 AM »
3-3?? Who in the hell are you seeing three losses against?? That would be an unmitigated disaster given who is left on their schedule after tonight. If they win tonight, I honestly think there's a better chance they win out then to go 3-3. 3-3 would mean losing to one of...@ PC, @ SJU, @ DuhPaul, Georgetown at home, and that's assuming you feel like they will lose to Hall and Creighton...If they lose one of those other remaining games...you're god damn right it would be inexcusable.

Whoa. Settle down.
Inexcusable? I never said that. I can certainly see L’s against Creighton, Seton hall and possibly even at St Johns.

I’m a realist. And realistically we should have won some games we lost. And should have lost a few we won. So I can see us losing some of these 3.

You on the other hand think unrealistically. So not surprised by your response.

TAMU, Knower of Ball

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #316 on: February 18, 2020, 11:54:30 AM »
5 of the 6 remaining games are essentially pick ems. I would be disappointed with 3-3 but would have a hard time calling it an unmitigated disaster. I think 3-3 gets us a 6 seed. 4-2 a 5 seed. 5-1 gives us a shot at a 4 seed but would probably need some help
TAMU

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TSmith34, Inc.

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #317 on: February 18, 2020, 11:56:49 AM »
Whoa. Settle down.
Inexcusable? I never said that. I can certainly see L’s against Creighton, Seton hall and possibly even at St Johns.

I’m a realist. And realistically we should have won some games we lost. And should have lost a few we won. So I can see us losing some of these 3.

You on the other hand think unrealistically. So not surprised by your response.
Agree, come out of these 4-2 and I would count that as a "win". 
If you think for one second that I am comparing the USA to China you have bumped your hard.

MU82

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #318 on: February 18, 2020, 12:17:32 PM »
Agree, come out of these 4-2 and I would count that as a "win".

Loser!

We need to win 7 of these last 6 to avoid ...

UNMITIGATED DISASTER!
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BrewCity83

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #319 on: February 18, 2020, 12:22:28 PM »
Hahaha, don't forget we still have a chance to blow it in the Big East Tourney too.    ;D
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Ardmore Mug

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #320 on: February 18, 2020, 12:53:10 PM »
Im sticking with my pick of 12-6 reg season..... oh yea,  and Win tonite +11 ! ! !     8-)

Uncle Rico

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #321 on: February 18, 2020, 12:53:43 PM »
Losing a college basketball game has never been and never will be a disaster
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BM1090

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #322 on: February 18, 2020, 01:22:05 PM »
3-3?? Who in the hell are you seeing three losses against?? That would be an unmitigated disaster given who is left on their schedule after tonight. If they win tonight, I honestly think there's a better chance they win out then to go 3-3. 3-3 would mean losing to one of...@ PC, @ SJU, @ DuhPaul, Georgetown at home, and that's assuming you feel like they will lose to Hall and Creighton...If they lose one of those other remaining games...you're god damn right it would be inexcusable.

If we win tonight, I'd agree. But tonight is a toss up. At PC is a toss up. SH is a toss up. @ SJU is a toss up. I'd assume we win 2/4 toss ups plus GT and @ DePaul. So give me 4-2, but 3-3 would not surprise at all.

🏀

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #323 on: February 18, 2020, 01:22:34 PM »
Losing a college basketball game has never been and never will be a disaster

What about losing the eye test though?

Uncle Rico

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Re: Bracketology 2019-2020
« Reply #324 on: February 18, 2020, 01:26:18 PM »
What about losing the eye test though?

I’m too young to understand the eye test
“This is bar none atrocious.  Mitchell cannot shoot either.  What a pile of dung”

 

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