MU NCAA Seed/Site/Opponent Prediction

[Dr. Blackheart]

6 seed in Tulsa versus Ohio State.

[muguru]

6 seed vs TCU in San Jose

[21rooster]

8 seed against Minnesota in des moines

[BM1090]

8 seed against Minnesota in des moines

Absolutely not gonna happen but I'd actually take this provided Duke wasn't the 1 seed.

[brewcity77]

Lots of bid stealers on the 12 line, per Bracket Matrix.  They can't go to Dayton.  I think the play-ins will both be 11s.

Agreed, unless they move a play-in down a line for bracketing purposes. I now have autobids all the way to the 11-line (Oregon is the last 11) & 3 teams on the 10-line are "first four byes." At least no more bids can be stolen (I already have St Louis penciled in).

[Billy Hoyle]

5 seed v. SLU/St. Bona winner in Hartford

[Benny B]

Absolutely not gonna happen but I'd actually take this provided Duke wasn't the 1 seed.

Duke isn't going to Des Moines.  Why do you think the NCAA always has a first round site in N or S Carolina?

[1SE]

6 seed. Don't see how site can be any more than a random guess? Also pretty random on opponent, but let's say ASU. Play somewhere in the south. 

[Benny B]

6 seed. Don't see how site can be any more than a random guess? Also pretty random on opponent, but let's say ASU. Play somewhere in the south.

You can eliminate Columbus and Columbia as those two sites will be hosting the four 1-pods.  Des Moines can also probably be eliminated as a site for two 2-pods.

5 seeds play in the 4-pod, 6 seeds in the 3-pod. 

So still random, but not a 1 in 8 guess by any stretch. 

[1SE]

You can eliminate Columbus and Columbia as those two sites will be hosting the four 1-pods.  Des Moines can also probably be eliminated as a site for two 2-pods.

5 seeds play in the 4-pod, 6 seeds in the 3-pod. 

So still random, but not a 1 in 8 guess by any stretch.

So which are the potential 6 seed sites? Hartford, SLC, Jacksonville, Tulsa, San Jose?

[SaveOD238]

5 seed v. SLU/St. Bona winner in Hartford

Yeah I have to imagine the committee has SLU and St Bona pencilled in to the same spot.  They're not going to upset the bracket in the final hours by making a contingency plan for whoever wins that game.

Same probably true for the Ivy winner.

Michigan-MSU probably doesn't matter for seeding.  They'll both be 2s. 

I don't think Auburn will slide up a line from 5 with a win, but I guess they could flip places with a 4 in their bracket.  Same with Tennessee.  The 1s are set.

Cincinnati with a win could move from 7 to 6.  I think that's maybe the only game with real bracket implications (and it could affect us, so go Houston).

[PGsHeroes32]

8 seed against Minnesota in des moines

This is the dumbest guess possible on like 5 levels

[CountryRoads]

Yeah I have to imagine the committee has SLU and St Bona pencilled in to the same spot.  They're not going to upset the bracket in the final hours by making a contingency plan for whoever wins that game.

Same probably true for the Ivy winner.

Michigan-MSU probably doesn't matter for seeding.  They'll both be 2s. 

I don't think Auburn will slide up a line from 5 with a win, but I guess they could flip places with a 4 in their bracket.  Same with Tennessee.  The 1s are set.

Cincinnati with a win could move from 7 to 6.  I think that's maybe the only game with real bracket implications (and it could affect us, so go Houston).

I think you're right about the IVY game and the SLU game but I highly doubt that the committee messes up the bracket with the remaining games. In other words, I think they're pretty meaningless.

[Silkk the Shaka]

6 seed vs ASU with 3 seed Purdue waiting for us. Headed out west.

I would sign up for that with zero hesitation. In fact, anyone know a committee member I could bribe to make this happen?

I do think if ASU makes the cut there's a good chance we could be matched up for the "former K protege" narrative

[Cheeks]

This is the dumbest guess possible on like 5 levels

He explained earlier he is using Net Rankings and said a 29 = 8 seed.  Not sure I agree, but there can see how someone got there with that data.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Lots of bid stealers on the 12 line, per Bracket Matrix.  They can't go to Dayton.  I think the play-ins will both be 11s.

I'm not convinced the bid stealers are actually on the 12 line. I'm also not convinced that St. Mary's was a bid stealer. I think this will be a historically inaccurate year for the bracket matrix given the NET.

[WhiteTrash]

8 seed against Minnesota in des moines

Better chance we're a 16 seed. 

[warriorfred]

This is the dumbest guess possible on like 5 levels

An 8 seed is possible.  Marquette is historically under-seeded, so take what you think is a reasonable seed (5 or 6) and drop it by a seed or two.  I think Marquette is a 5 seed, so I dropped them two lines to a 7 seed.

[GooooMarquette]

8 seed against Minnesota in des moines

That would make for some pretty expensive first round tickets.....

[Pakuni]

Feeling irrationally optimistic today, so:
5 seed vs New Mexico State in Salt Lake City.

[BM1090]

An 8 seed is possible.  Marquette is historically under-seeded, so take what you think is a reasonable seed (5 or 6) and drop it by a seed or two.  I think Marquette is a 5 seed, so I dropped them two lines to a 7 seed.

No they aren't.

[TallTitan34]

West coast against a school located near the site.

[21rooster]

I'll admit that I wasn't thinking that they'd never put a one seed against those two teams in their back yard, but otherwise don't think it's crazy.  They wouldn't be ranked as of today, so that puts them on the 7 line on that basis.  RPI is 32.  I already addressed NET and the eye test over recent weeks. Maybe I'm convincing myself so I'm not disappointed, but there are a lot of reasons to say six isn't the base case. 

[muguru]

Wherever they go...unless it's Des Moines(highly unlikely)...Give me a Friday/Sunday site with a later(ish) start time. That way we have one full day or more to enjoy the tourney before worrying about MU.

[PGsHeroes32]

He explained earlier he is using Net Rankings and said a 29 = 8 seed.  Not sure I agree, but there can see how someone got there with that data.

It's not just the fact we are an 8.

It's us being an 8.
Des Moines being a 1 seed pod
Them putting Marquette and Minny in such a prime location relative to whoever the 1 seed is.

The combination was of all 3 things makes it basically an impossible scenario.