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Author Topic: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...  (Read 4964 times)

GooooMarquette

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CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« on: July 25, 2017, 12:49:06 PM »
I know the NFL is a money machine and many kids see it as their way out...but it seems the price is pretty high....

http://www.cnn.com/2017/07/25/health/cte-nfl-players-brains-study/index.html

Jockey

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2017, 01:33:02 PM »
Not a perfect study since the guys who they studied were already thought to have suffered from the disease.

However, this is more evidence of the dangers of football. Not a surprise to anyone. Simple common sense says that if you keep bashing your head into a wall, things inside your head will not react well..

Benny B

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #2 on: July 25, 2017, 02:21:03 PM »
Certainly the bias needs to be considered for the former NFL and college players, but I'm wondering just how applicable is bias to the high school players?  I didn't go through all of the appendices, but I'm mostly curious as to what the median age at death was of the former HS players and when their symptoms first arose.

Though too small of a sample size to start sounding alarms, I would still think 3 of 14 is something worthy of further research/investigation.
Wow, I'm very concerned for Benny.  Being able to mimic Myron Medcalf's writing so closely implies an oncoming case of dementia.

tower912

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #3 on: July 25, 2017, 02:33:22 PM »
The reason I am not letting my 10 year old play football. 
Luke 6:45   ...A good man produces goodness from the good in his heart; an evil man produces evil out of his store of evil.   Each man speaks from his heart's abundance...

It is better to be fearless and cheerful than cheerless and fearful.

Frenns Liquor Depot

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #4 on: July 25, 2017, 06:57:40 PM »
Dave Duerson has forever changed my enjoyment of football.

MerrittsMustache

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2017, 04:28:16 PM »
Before we jump to too many conclusions about football, shouldn't similar studies be done on brains of people who did not play football at any level? CTE is not necessarily specific to football or other contact sports. Unfortunately, that research simply hasn't been done yet and football has been labeled "the bad guy" without a complete study.

GGGG

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #6 on: July 26, 2017, 04:35:54 PM »
Before we jump to too many conclusions about football, shouldn't similar studies be done on brains of people who did not play football at any level? CTE is not necessarily specific to football or other contact sports. Unfortunately, that research simply hasn't been done yet and football has been labeled "the bad guy" without a complete study.


From the NYT article on the study:

"About 1,300 former players have died since the B.U. group began examining brains. So even if every one of the other 1,200 players had tested negative — which even the heartiest skeptics would agree could not possibly be the case — the minimum C.T.E. prevalence would be close to 9 percent, vastly higher than in the general population."

Pakuni

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #7 on: July 26, 2017, 05:07:41 PM »
I don't think it should alarm or surprise anyone that men who receive literally thousands of blows to the head in their lifetimes suffer some level of brain damage as a consequence.
What I'm more interested in knowing - and what I haven't seen in any significant way - is whether and to what degree all those who are afflicted display symptoms.

In other words, of these 110 former players' brains that showed signs of CTE, how many of them showed signs of it, and how?
Is CTE something one can have asymptomatically? Is there a wide variation of the symptoms ... i.e. one guys becomes suffers horribly while the next gets an occasional headache or is a little more forgetful?
It appears those who play in the NFL are likely to suffer some braim impacts, but obviously not every former player becomes Dave Duerson or Junior Seau or Mike Wagner. Why, and what, if anything short of turning the NFL into a two-hand touch league, can be done to prevent it from happening.
Hopefully that's the next frontier scientists tackle (no pun intended) with this disease.

GooooMarquette

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #8 on: July 26, 2017, 06:50:14 PM »
I don't think it should alarm or surprise anyone that men who receive literally thousands of blows to the head in their lifetimes suffer some level of brain damage as a consequence.
What I'm more interested in knowing - and what I haven't seen in any significant way - is whether and to what degree all those who are afflicted display symptoms.

In other words, of these 110 former players' brains that showed signs of CTE, how many of them showed signs of it, and how?
Is CTE something one can have asymptomatically? Is there a wide variation of the symptoms ... i.e. one guys becomes suffers horribly while the next gets an occasional headache or is a little more forgetful?
It appears those who play in the NFL are likely to suffer some braim impacts, but obviously not every former player becomes Dave Duerson or Junior Seau or Mike Wagner. Why, and what, if anything short of turning the NFL into a two-hand touch league, can be done to prevent it from happening.
Hopefully that's the next frontier scientists tackle (no pun intended) with this disease.

 I would be pretty surprised if someone isn't already planning that type of study. If family members gave consent for autopsies to test for CTE, I'm guessing they would give interviews and allow reviews of the players' medical records for signs of the illness.

MerrittsMustache

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #9 on: July 26, 2017, 09:37:11 PM »

From the NYT article on the study:

"About 1,300 former players have died since the B.U. group began examining brains. So even if every one of the other 1,200 players had tested negative — which even the heartiest skeptics would agree could not possibly be the case — the minimum C.T.E. prevalence would be close to 9 percent, vastly higher than in the general population."

What's the prevalence among the general population?

GGGG

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #10 on: July 26, 2017, 09:39:19 PM »
What's the prevalence among the general population?


No idea.

Benny B

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #11 on: July 27, 2017, 09:09:29 AM »
What's the prevalence among the general population?

8% is was the general population percentage Guskiewicz was using in his earlier work, however, in that case, general population simply excluded professional football players, i.e. that 8% would have included former college and high school players who never played professionally.

Taken from a NIH article in 2014 (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4255271/):

Quote
As CTE research has a particular ability to be misunderstood by the lay public and sensationalized in the media, caution needs to be exercised when discussing results of scientific studies and generalizing the results to the population as a whole. Many individuals have some history of head impacts incurred through sports participation or other activities [53]. However, the pathophysiological mechanism linking this initial trauma, whether concussive or subconcussive, to later-life CTE pathology has yet to be elucidated. Furthermore, without a more complete understanding of the incidence, prevalence, and possible risk factors that lead to the development of CTE, it is impossible for the general population to accurately assess their risk of CTE. Unfortunately the popular media, which has reported on CTE because of its association with professional athletics, often does not present findings with the same accuracy, caution, or contextualization as the original peer-reviewed scientific publications. In order to avoid causing undue panic in individuals who have a history of concussions or other traumatic brain injuries, the scientific community and the media need to clearly address the considerable gaps that exist in our understanding of CTE [54].

In other words, it's nearly impossible to benchmark CTE in the general public because it's not a condition that's fully understood by the medical community and therefore not easily recognized by patients, their families, friends or physicians.  We need to do more elucidating on the matter.

Wow, I'm very concerned for Benny.  Being able to mimic Myron Medcalf's writing so closely implies an oncoming case of dementia.

MerrittsMustache

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #12 on: July 27, 2017, 09:12:06 AM »
8% is was the general population percentage Guskiewicz was using in his earlier work, however, in that case, general population simply excluded professional football players, i.e. that 8% would have included former college and high school players who never played professionally.

Taken from a NIH article in 2014 (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4255271/):

In other words, it's nearly impossible to benchmark CTE in the general public because it's not a condition that's fully understood by the medical community and therefore not easily recognized by patients, their families, friends or physicians.  We need to do more elucidating on the matter.

Thanks, Benny!


Pakuni

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #13 on: July 27, 2017, 09:42:54 AM »
In other words, it's nearly impossible to benchmark CTE in the general public because it's not a condition that's fully understood by the medical community and therefore not easily recognized by patients, their families, friends or physicians.  We need to do more elucidating on the matter.

Also, the only known way to test for CTE is postmortem, and in vast majority of deaths there's no autopsy, much less an autopsy that specifically looks for evidence of CTE.

Jockey

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #14 on: July 27, 2017, 10:45:24 AM »
I don't think it should alarm or surprise anyone that men who receive literally thousands of blows to the head in their lifetimes suffer some level of brain damage as a consequence.
What I'm more interested in knowing - and what I haven't seen in any significant way - is whether and to what degree all those who are afflicted display symptoms.

In other words, of these 110 former players' brains that showed signs of CTE, how many of them showed signs of it, and how?
Is CTE something one can have asymptomatically? Is there a wide variation of the symptoms ... i.e. one guys becomes suffers horribly while the next gets an occasional headache or is a little more forgetful?
It appears those who play in the NFL are likely to suffer some braim impacts, but obviously not every former player becomes Dave Duerson or Junior Seau or Mike Wagner. Why, and what, if anything short of turning the NFL into a two-hand touch league, can be done to prevent it from happening.
Hopefully that's the next frontier scientists tackle (no pun intended) with this disease.

Luckily, this is finally being studied. As recently as 10 years ago, less that 50 cases of CTE had ever been studied pathologically and published in medical literature. The NFL contributed to this lack of study by denying that repeated concussions could cause CTE (don't wanna slow down the money train to keep your employees alive). That is changing now as several studies are going on.
.

Jockey

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #15 on: July 27, 2017, 11:03:38 AM »
8% is was the general population percentage Guskiewicz was using in his earlier work, however, in that case, general population simply excluded professional football players, i.e. that 8% would have included former college and high school players who never played professionally.

Taken from a NIH article in 2014 (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4255271/):

In other words, it's nearly impossible to benchmark CTE in the general public because it's not a condition that's fully understood by the medical community and therefore not easily recognized by patients, their families, friends or physicians.  We need to do more elucidating on the matter.


If it is nearly impossible to benchmark in the general public, then where does an 8% figure come from? My guess it is probably from a group seeking funding. Also it is not something the general public needs to be worried about.

The name of the disease is Chronic traumatic encephalopathy - in other words, repeated blows to the head. The vast majority of cases are athletes - the general public does not generally get hit in the head hundreds of times a year so there is no way 8% of people suffer from this. It is very limited in scope.

Benny B

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #16 on: July 27, 2017, 11:38:40 AM »

If it is nearly impossible to benchmark in the general public, then where does an 8% figure come from? My guess it is probably from a group seeking funding. Also it is not something the general public needs to be worried about.

The name of the disease is Chronic traumatic encephalopathy - in other words, repeated blows to the head. The vast majority of cases are athletes - the general public does not generally get hit in the head hundreds of times a year so there is no way 8% of people suffer from this. It is very limited in scope.

Keep in mind the 8% would also include boxers, soccer players, wrestlers, mountain bikers, snowboarders, and Nicolas Cage.  I didn't dive into how that number was pegged, but I'm pretty sure they're being generous.  It's most likely less than 8%, but until they start digging into the brains of the general pop like they are with the NFL players, it's hard to say for sure.
Wow, I'm very concerned for Benny.  Being able to mimic Myron Medcalf's writing so closely implies an oncoming case of dementia.

Pakuni

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #17 on: July 27, 2017, 11:49:23 AM »

If it is nearly impossible to benchmark in the general public, then where does an 8% figure come from? My guess it is probably from a group seeking funding. Also it is not something the general public needs to be worried about.

The name of the disease is Chronic traumatic encephalopathy - in other words, repeated blows to the head. The vast majority of cases are athletes - the general public does not generally get hit in the head hundreds of times a year so there is no way 8% of people suffer from this. It is very limited in scope.

From Harvard Medical School:

CTE has been observed in non-athletes who have experienced repetitive brain trauma, including people with epilepsy, developmentally disabled individuals with head banging, and victims of domestic violence or other physical abuse. More recently, CTE has been confirmed at autopsy in soldiers with histories of repetitive brain trauma returning from Iraq and Afghanistan.

Again, it's pretty much impossible to determine how much this occurs in the general public, because members of the general public typically aren't autopsied, and when they are, your typical pathologist isn't looking for - and really isn't trained to find - signs of CTE.

Also, the issue really shouldn't be whether CTE is present, but whether, when and how it's symptomatic.
« Last Edit: July 27, 2017, 11:52:44 AM by Pakuni »

GooooMarquette

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MerrittsMustache

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #19 on: July 28, 2017, 08:19:31 AM »
Interesting career alternative....

http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/20170808/baltimore-ravens-offensive-lineman-john-urschel-retires-abruptly

Good for him. If you can make a lucrative career out of something you love and it doesn't involve the risk of bodily harm, go for it! He's 26, made $1.5M in salary and (IIRC) he played 3 years so he's vested in the NFL's pension plan. I don't think he's going to end up being strapped for cash but he's got a good starting point.

Jockey

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #20 on: July 28, 2017, 12:59:40 PM »
Considering that his brain is requirement #1 for his next job, this was a pretty wise decision.

Galway Eagle

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #21 on: July 28, 2017, 02:47:36 PM »
I would be curious to see this study done in comparison to other high impact sports. Obviously sports like mama and boxing it's likely as prevalent or even more so but what about lacrosse or rugby or hockey?
Maigh Eo for Sam

tower912

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #22 on: July 28, 2017, 03:06:57 PM »
I would be curious to see this study done in comparison to other high impact sports. Obviously sports like mama and boxing it's likely as prevalent or even more so but what about lacrosse or rugby or hockey?
Did not realize there was so many impacts to the head in mothering.
Luke 6:45   ...A good man produces goodness from the good in his heart; an evil man produces evil out of his store of evil.   Each man speaks from his heart's abundance...

It is better to be fearless and cheerful than cheerless and fearful.

MerrittsMustache

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #23 on: July 28, 2017, 03:10:49 PM »
I would be curious to see this study done in comparison to other high impact sports. Obviously sports like mama and boxing it's likely as prevalent or even more so but what about lacrosse or rugby or hockey?

There was a study a few years ago that found the second-highest concussion rate in high school sports was in girl's soccer (football was obviously first). I don't recall where any other sports fell on the list.


Galway Eagle

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #24 on: July 28, 2017, 03:32:28 PM »
Did not realize there was so many impacts to the head in mothering.

I'm glad I'm able to spread the word

But more seriously I never thought I'd fall victim to autocorrect
Maigh Eo for Sam

Jockey

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #25 on: July 28, 2017, 03:36:08 PM »
There was a study a few years ago that found the second-highest concussion rate in high school sports was in girl's soccer (football was obviously first). I don't recall where any other sports fell on the list.

There is a huge difference, however, between sustaining a single concussion and getting repeated blows to the head on a daily basis.

There is absolutely no evidence that sustaining a concussion leads to CTE. As the name says - the blows must be traumatic AND chronic.

Spotcheck Billy

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #26 on: July 29, 2017, 08:29:47 AM »
NFL ending partnership with the National Institute of Health on concussion study
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-ending-partnership-with-the-national-institute-of-health-on-concussion-study/

GooooMarquette

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #27 on: July 29, 2017, 07:00:23 PM »
NFL ending partnership with the National Institute of Health on concussion study
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-ending-partnership-with-the-national-institute-of-health-on-concussion-study/

Disappointing.  A reminder that the NFL exists to make money, and the players are just props....

Herman Cain

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #28 on: July 29, 2017, 09:22:50 PM »
Joey Hauser has had a couple of concussions.  I hope the Medical Staff keeps a close eye on his circumstances at MU.
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Jockey

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #29 on: July 30, 2017, 03:42:39 PM »
Joey Hauser has had a couple of concussions.  I hope the Medical Staff keeps a close eye on his circumstances at MU.

Why? There has never been a case that I have heard of where a basketball player gets CTE.

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #30 on: July 30, 2017, 09:25:26 PM »
Why? There has never been a case that I have heard of where a basketball player gets CTE.

Bad look, Brand, bad look

Jay Bee

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #31 on: July 30, 2017, 09:29:37 PM »
ZFB got CTE from giving brain

Some pretty extrapolations going on to date

But, to think playing football for years isn't good for your dome piece? Yeah... kind of makes sense, ai'nal?
Thanks for ruining summer, Canada.

Benny B

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #32 on: August 01, 2017, 12:05:04 PM »
Disappointing.  A reminder that the NFL exists to make money, and the players are just props....

Might actually be a good thing from an independent research POV.  Nothing says skepticism like favorable results from a study funded by the primary benefactor of said results.  And now NIH doesn't have the NFL's checkbook hanging over their heads (whether it had any influence or not).
Wow, I'm very concerned for Benny.  Being able to mimic Myron Medcalf's writing so closely implies an oncoming case of dementia.

Jockey

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #33 on: August 01, 2017, 12:20:34 PM »
Might actually be a good thing from an independent research POV.  Nothing says skepticism like favorable results from a study funded by the primary benefactor of said results.  And now NIH doesn't have the NFL's checkbook hanging over their heads (whether it had any influence or not).

Always better to not have an interested party involved in a study.

Otherwise you are just Exxon studying climate change and then issuing a public report that contradicts what you actually found.

GooooMarquette

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Re: CTE in 99% of former NFL players studied...
« Reply #34 on: August 01, 2017, 01:37:34 PM »
Might actually be a good thing from an independent research POV.  Nothing says skepticism like favorable results from a study funded by the primary benefactor of said results.  And now NIH doesn't have the NFL's checkbook hanging over their heads (whether it had any influence or not).

Agree that there is a clear conflict, but funneling the money through NIH results in requirements for public disclosure of results.  It's a lot more sketchy when when a private entity hands money directly to non-government entities.  And it kinda smells funny that the NFL pulled its $$$ just after publication of an article that looks bad for the league.


 

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