Potential for Marquette

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

I certainly don't know this, but if we go into the tournament at 24-9 (which would include a BET final loss to, presumably, Nova, and a 2nd place finish in the BE regular season, because nobody is finishing with less than 5 losses other than Nova), I'm thinking that's more of a 4 seed than a 6 seed in the NCAA Tournament the way this season is going in college basketball as a whole.  There are a lot of losses still to happen for teams between 15 and 50 in the NCAA this year (just look at last week).  If we go 10-2 from now until the start of the NCAA Tournament we're jumping up big time I think, and right now it appears we're in the 8-9 seed range.

Out of curiosity, I ran RPI Wizard. I gave us all wins except a loss at Xavier. Then I gave us wins over Seton Hall and Butler in the BEast before losing to Villanova. That gets us to 24-9 with an RPI of 25 and an SOS of 36. My gut would tell me that's a 5 seed resume. Maybe a 4.

Purely academic of course. I think the BEast is too chaotic for us to finish 8-1.

[tower912]

Out of curiosity, I ran RPI Wizard. I gave us all wins except a loss at Xavier. Then I gave us wins over Seton Hall and Butler in the BEast before losing to Villanova. That gets us to 24-9 with an RPI of 25 and an SOS of 36. My gut would tell me that's a 5 seed resume. Maybe a 4.

Purely academic of course. I think the BEast is too chaotic for us to finish 8-1.

That would be awesome, but it isn't realistic.   There are going to be nights that the shots aren't falling and MU's defense simply isn't good enough to win games.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

That would be awesome, but it isn't realistic.   There are going to be nights that the shots aren't falling and MU's defense simply isn't good enough to win games.

Agree completely. It was an entirely academic exercise.

[Lennys Tap]

I think "not in the Tournament" is still included in our possibilities.

So do I.

[wadesworld]

So do I.

Got it.  I read it as somewhere in the tournament but not national champion.

[MerrittsMustache]

Out of curiosity, I ran RPI Wizard. I gave us all wins except a loss at Xavier. Then I gave us wins over Seton Hall and Butler in the BEast before losing to Villanova. That gets us to 24-9 with an RPI of 25 and an SOS of 36. My gut would tell me that's a 5 seed resume. Maybe a 4.

Purely academic of course. I think the BEast is too chaotic for us to finish 8-1.

Just for comparison...

Last season Iowa went 21-10, had an RPI of 28, a SOS of 32, 4 top 25 W's and got a 7-seed.

The year before, West Virginia went 23-9, had an RPI of 24, a SOS of 39, 2 top 25 W's and got a 5-seed.

In 2013-14, UConn went 26-8, had an RPI of 23 and a SOS of 34, 3 top 25 W's and got a 7-seed (and won the NC).

In 2012-13, VCU  went 26-8, had an RPI of 24, a SOS of 33, 3 top 25 W's and got a 5-seed.

In 2011-12, Florida went 23-10, had an RPI of 24, a SOS of 24, 2 top 25 W's and got a 7-seed.


Given the pattern, it looks like MU would be a 5-seed with that resume 

[Benny B]

I certainly don't know this, but if we go into the tournament at 24-9 (which would include a BET final loss to, presumably, Nova, and a 2nd place finish in the BE regular season, because nobody is finishing with less than 5 losses other than Nova), I'm thinking that's more of a 4 seed than a 6 seed in the NCAA Tournament the way this season is going in college basketball as a whole.  There are a lot of losses still to happen for teams between 15 and 50 in the NCAA this year (just look at last week).  If we go 10-2 from now until the start of the NCAA Tournament we're jumping up big time I think, and right now it appears we're in the 8-9 seed range.

Hell... a mid 20's RPI with a handful of quality W's (and no bad losses) might get you a 3 or 4 seed this year.

[KampusFoods]

Got it.  I read it as somewhere in the tournament but not national champion.

You read it right, he wrote it wrong.