Which RPI top 25 team do you believe we will beat

[Jay Bee]

RPIforcast is an awesome website, there are already posts regarding Kenpom and sagarin.  I wanted to use the current RPI not a projection of what maybe at the end of the season.

The whole premise of your original post was MU's tourney resume relative to top 25 RPI wins... why would you not want to consider a projection of RPI at year end? Makes no sense

[rocket surgeon]

well, butler ain't gonna be top 25 for long if they keep playing like they did last night (loss to st. johnnies) and then pee'd their panties on the flight home

[GWSwarrior]

The whole premise of your original post was MU's tourney resume relative to top 25 RPI wins... why would you not want to consider a projection of RPI at year end? Makes no sense

you can always ask your own poll 

[rocket surgeon]

come on, go for the gusto man-'nova!  almost embarassed to say this, but study the depaul-'nova game tape from the other night=chicken dinner, 'ey?

[brewcity77]

RPIforcast is an awesome website, there are already posts regarding Kenpom and sagarin.  I wanted to use the current RPI not a projection of what maybe at the end of the season.

But if you're talking top-25 RPI, current numbers really don't matter. As of right now, we already have a top-25 RPI win over #22 Georgia (using the ESPN predictor that you cited). But using that predictor, UNC-Wilmington, UT-Arlington, and Middle Tennessee are all top-50 teams. Right now, Nicholls State, Omaha, and Houston Baptist are all top-100 teams despite having losing records.

If you're talking about resume, it's not meaningful unless you are talking about season ending numbers. That's why all the support for RPIForecast that shows four Big East teams projecting to be top-20 teams ('Nova, Xavier, Creighton, Butler).

Even still, I would exercise caution using that, as my experiment last year found their predictions to be reliably accurate to a +/- of 10, and when you have a 20 point swing (factoring both directions) that's a significant margin of error.

I don't think anyone disagrees with the validity of the topic, but if we're talking about what will be meaningful resume building numbers come Selection Sunday, the ESPN site probably isn't your best friend.