Way Too Early Amateur Bracketology 14-15

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

I did one of these last year. I have my own method for projecting how teams are going to preform. It's amateur statistics at its worst but its fun. Last season I ended up at 78% accurate.

Here's what I got for this year:

SOUTH:
1. DUKE
16. ALABAMA STATE/COASTAL CAROLINA

8. Baylor
9. Stanford

5. Michigan
12. St. John's/UMass

4. WICHITA STATE
13. LOUISIANA TECH

6. SAN DIEGO STATE
11. Cincinnati

3. Texas
14. AMERICAN UNIVERSITY

7. Nebraska
10. Arkansas

2. Virginia
15. ROBERT MORRIS

EAST:
1. KENTUCKY
16. NORTHEASTERN/WOFFORD

8. Pittsburgh
9. West Virginia

5. UCLA
12. UC IRVINE

4. Ohio State
13. NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

6. Connecticut
11. Dayton

3. North Carolina
14. MURRAY STATE

7. Michigan State
10. Brigham Young

2. VILLANOVA
15. VERMONT

WEST:
1. ARIZONA
16. WEBER STATE

8.Georgetown
9. HARVARD

5. Oklahoma
12. George Washington/UNLV

4. SOUTHERN METHODIST
13. NEW MEXICO STATE

6. Iowa
11. Georgia

3. KANSAS
14. STEPHEN F. AUSTIN

7. Utah
10. Florida State

2. GONZAGA
15. DENVER

MIDWEST
1. WISCONSIN
16. FLORIDA GULF COAST

8. Syracuse
9. Colorado

5. Iowa State
12. GEORGIA STATE

4. VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
13. IONA

6. Kansas State
11. Northern Iowa

3. Florida
14. UW GREEN BAY

7. Illinois
10. Memphis

2. Louisville
15. TOLEDO

Last Four Byes:
Georgia
Northern Iowa
Cincinnati
Dayton

Last Four In:
George Washington
St. John's
UMass
UNLV

First Four Out:
Maryland
Oklahoma State
Minnesota
Oregon

Next Four Out:
Ole Miss
Indiana
NC State
Clemson

In the Hunt:
Alabama
Arizona State
Boise State
Butler
California
Columbia
Creighton
Fresno State
LSU
Marquette
Miami (FL)
Missouri
New Mexico
Notre Dame
Penn State
Providence
Rhode Island
San Francisco
Seton Hall
St. Joseph's
St. Mary's
Tennessee
Tulsa
Vanderbilt
Xavier

Would love thoughts, comments, concerns

[hoyasincebirth]

You're way too down on the BE. only 3 bids including an 8 and a 12? Georgetown will be much better than an 8 seed.

[LAMUfan]

I did one of these last year. I have my own method for projecting how teams are going to preform. It's amateur statistics at its worst but its fun. Last season I ended up at 78% accurate.

So you're saying we have a chance

[slack00]

Virginia wouldn't be the #2 in the same region as #1 Duke.  There might be other "rules" broken but I didn't look too hard for them.  At this point of the year, you're probably better off just making the 1 to 68 S-curve.

[wadesworld]

You're way too down on the BE. only 3 bids including an 8 and a 12? Georgetown will be much better than an 8 seed.

Yeah way too few BE teams, we'd never get only 3 in the NCAA Tourney.

Oh wait...

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

You're way too down on the BE. only 3 bids including an 8 and a 12? Georgetown will be much better than an 8 seed.

Too much parity in the BEast. The bottom got better and the top got worse (except for Nova). We'll eat each other alive. I've got Georgetown as second in the BEast, but I'm not sold that they are a top 25 team.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

So you're saying we have a chance

Well last year we were one of the 22% that I got wrong...

[MU82]

My only complaint is that you don't have Marquette winning the national title.

Fix that and we're good.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Too much parity in the BEast. The bottom got better and the top got worse (except for Nova). We'll eat each other alive. I've got Georgetown as second in the BEast, but I'm not sold that they are a top 25 team.

The BE is going to need a great non-conference.  Fingers crossed. 

[Shark]

So far Wojo has given us every reason to believe in him. I don't expect a ton out of this team this season but I also didn't expect him to recruit this well. So we will see. If Wojo can coach this team to the bubble Id be ecstatic.

[hoyasincebirth]

Yeah way too few BE teams, we'd never get only 3 in the NCAA Tourney.

Oh wait...

We got 4 last year.

[hoyasincebirth]

Too much parity in the BEast. The bottom got better and the top got worse (except for Nova). We'll eat each other alive. I've got Georgetown as second in the BEast, but I'm not sold that they are a top 25 team.

I think there's a clear division between the top 5 and the bottom 4. I think this year's Georgetown will be better than last year's Creighton. I think the BE will do much better OOC this year and will have multiple top 25 teams. I'm very high on all the young talent in the league.

[Atticus]

Where are the regional locations this year?

[GGGG]

Cleveland, LA, Syracuse, Houston.

[manny31]

Warriors sneak in as a 12 seed, win 2 games. Bang, the dynasty  begins!

[wadesworld]

I think there's a clear division between the top 5 and the bottom 4. I think this year's Georgetown will be better than last year's Creighton. I think the BE will do much better OOC this year and will have multiple top 25 teams. I'm very high on all the young talent in the league.

I could not possibly disagree more on this.

[Johnny B]

I could not possibly disagree more on this.

Maybe

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Virginia wouldn't be the #2 in the same region as #1 Duke.  There might be other "rules" broken but I didn't look too hard for them.  At this point of the year, you're probably better off just making the 1 to 68 S-curve.

I didn't follow all of the seeding rules. I basically did a 68 team S curve. Putting a bracket was just for fun.

[PGsHeroes32]

Gophers not in it???


and behind Maryland to boot???


That right there will be among the 22%.

Pretty nice overall though. Agree with others that Gtown is better than an 8.

[THRILLHO]

I think there's a clear division between the top 5 and the bottom 4. I think this year's Georgetown will be better than last year's Creighton. I think the BE will do much better OOC this year and will have multiple top 25 teams. I'm very high on all the young talent in the league.

I'll have what he's having!

[hoyasincebirth]

Cleveland, LA, Syracuse, Houston.

Ugh why the Hell would they put a regional in that god forsaken crap hole. Who wants to go to Syracuse ever much less when it's still winter.

[We R Final Four]

Ugh why the Hell would they put a regional in that god forsaken crap hole. Who wants to go to Syracuse ever much less when it's still winter.

30,000 + don't seem to mind all that much.

[WellsstreetWanderer]

30,000 + don't seem to mind all that much.

  Yeah, if you are driving in from Buffalo and Plattsburg for  Winter  Break

[Tums Festival]

You're way too down on the BE. only 3 bids including an 8 and a 12? Georgetown will be much better than an 8 seed.

Georgetown has some good, young talent. The conference needs Georgetown to be good.

[Johnny B]

Georgetown has some good, young talent. The conference needs Georgetown to be good.

Ye we do.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Gophers not in it???

I initially had the gophers in. They ended up getting squeezed out because of how tough the top of the B1G will be. I really think they are the 9th best team in their conference. And some of the teams below them are no slouches.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

I think there's a clear division between the top 5 and the bottom 4. I think this year's Georgetown will be better than last year's Creighton. I think the BE will do much better OOC this year and will have multiple top 25 teams. I'm very high on all the young talent in the league.

Sorry, but I see in no way, shape, or form that Georgetown is better than last year's Creighton. Way too many new faces. And a big ? at PG. I don't think Smith-Rivera would excel in the PG role and I doubt Campbell will be truly ready to be a starting Big East point guard.

I think people underestimate how high and 8 seed is. Being an eight seed means that you are between 29-32 on the S-Curve. Do you really think Georgetown is a top 25 team? Don't get me wrong, I hope you are. But I don't see it.

[ChicosBailBonds]

Yeah way too few BE teams, we'd never get only 3 in the NCAA Tourney.

Oh wait...

We got 4 last year......

[willie warrior]

I think there's a clear division between the top 5 and the bottom 4. I think this year's Georgetown will be better than last year's Creighton. I think the BE will do much better OOC this year and will have multiple top 25 teams. I'm very high on all the young talent in the league.

Since we are in the bottom 4, you are saying that we are clearly divided from the upper echelon?
Thank you again, Bert.

[wadesworld]

We got 4 last year......

My bad, forgot we had a play in game loser in there......   

[hoyasincebirth]

Sorry, but I see in no way, shape, or form that Georgetown is better than last year's Creighton. Way too many new faces. And a big ? at PG. I don't think Smith-Rivera would excel in the PG role and I doubt Campbell will be truly ready to be a starting Big East point guard.

I think people underestimate how high and 8 seed is. Being an eight seed means that you are between 29-32 on the S-Curve. Do you really think Georgetown is a top 25 team? Don't get me wrong, I hope you are. But I don't see it.

Yes Georgetown is a top 25 team and will crack the top 10 after a productive OOC schedule. The Hoyas are going to be scary good this year.

[Galway Eagle]

Yes Georgetown is a top 25 team and will crack the top 10 after a productive OOC schedule. The Hoyas are going to be scary good this year.

Are we talking good enough to win two games in the NCAA tournament or is that asking too much of gtown since your last Final four

[hoyasincebirth]

Are we talking good enough to win two games in the NCAA tournament or is that asking too much of gtown since your last Final four

Luck is bound to turn around at some point. We've clearly just been saving up karma so we can win a national title.

[Galway Eagle]

Luck is bound to turn around at some point. We've clearly just been saving up karma so we can win a national title.

Haha I approve of this answer

[PGsHeroes32]

Yes Georgetown is a top 25 team and will crack the top 10 after a productive OOC schedule. The Hoyas are going to be scary good this year.

Gtown is going to be solid definitely better than last year but they will not be top 10

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Yes Georgetown is a top 25 team and will crack the top 10 after a productive OOC schedule. The Hoyas are going to be scary good this year.

Who's your point guard? Is Campbell really ready? Or is DSR gonna try his hand at it? The pg question is what makes me hesitant

[hoyasincebirth]

Who's your point guard? Is Campbell really ready? Or is DSR gonna try his hand at it? The pg question is what makes me hesitant

I think DSR will start at PG. He's been working very hard this offseason and the Offense doesn't require a true PG in the first place, so I think we'll be more than fine. Campbell I think is more ready than I expected and could definitely contribute, but I expect DSR, Trawick, and Peak to get the majority of minutes at the 1 and the 2, with Campbell being about 5-10 minutes a game, but who knows, that's part of the excitement of the preseason, all I know is we have enough pieces that I'm not worried.