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Author Topic: [Cracked Sidewalks] CS Bracket Feb 17 (updated)  (Read 996 times)

CrackedSidewalksSays

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[Cracked Sidewalks] CS Bracket Feb 17 (updated)
« on: February 14, 2012, 12:00:04 AM »
CS Bracket Feb 13

Written by: noreply@blogger.com (Alan Bykowski)

The bracket is starting to solidify itself as we are less than a month away from Selection Sunday. Kentucky and Syracuse both seem like near-locks for 1-seeds. Missouri has moved up to the 1-line as well. While they have a weak non-conference SOS, wins over Baylor and Kansas while only suffering 2 losses make the Tigers impossible to ignore, though it may be to their detriment, as the last 1-seed will almost certainly play out West, which prevents Mizzou from a near-home game in St. Louis. Ohio State is the last team on the top line.






In terms of bids, the Big Ten leads the way with 9 bids, as Northwestern moves into the field. Again the Big East is one back with 8 bids. The SEC and Big 12 both have 5, the A-10, Mountain West, and ACC have 4 apiece, the West Coast and C-USA each get 3, and the Missouri Valley has 2.

The last 4 byes went to Purdue, Xavier, Illinois, and Dayton. The last 4 teams in the field are Minnesota, Colorado State, Iowa State, and UCF. The lowest RPI for an at-large team is Dayton at 71 while the lowest Pomeroy rating is Colorado State at 109.

The first four teams out are Miami, Mississippi, Wyoming, and Texas. The next four teams out are NC State, Arizona, Mississippi, and Cincinnati. The highest RPI snub is St. Joseph's at 48. The highest Pomeroy snub is Texas at 23.

For Marquette, I think this is the best bracket so far. While VCU may have magic left in those slippers, the real hope is for Marquette to either expose Murray State or reacquaint themselves with Rick Majerus in the second round. While the expected marquee match-up in the Southeast would be Kentucky v Duke, Marquette could crash that party. While it may not be the easiest path (that goes to Syracuse's paved road to the Final Four) it would be a road Marquette could successfully travel.

And at the bottom...it's a very soft bubble again. I look at teams like Iowa State, Colorado State, UCF, Texas, and Miami and there's very little difference, except that all of them look more like NIT teams than they do NCAA teams. For that matter, I'm not overly impressed with some of the higher seeds, as Seton Hall looks nothing like a 10-seed, West Virginia's 10 losses are too many to be in the field right now (yet they were an easy inclusion), and it baffles me how the slumps of teams like Xavier, Illinois, and Dayton haven't cost them bids yet.

I will be continuing to update this periodically in the thread at MUScoop. I still plan to do a weekly bracket, but for mid-week updates, check out the thread on the Scoop.

http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2012/02/cs-bracket-feb-13.html
« Last Edit: February 17, 2012, 11:00:27 AM by mu_hilltopper »

brewcity77

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CS Bracket Update: Feb 17
« Reply #1 on: February 17, 2012, 10:23:25 AM »
Before another Saturday gives us mass chaos, I have a new bracket updated for the games of this week. Not many changes, but here it is:



Biggest moves up: Temple & New Mexico are now 5 seeds, previously 7 seeds
Biggest move down: St. Mary's is now a 7 seeds, previously a 5 seed

New to the field: Iowa State, LSU
Out of the field: Illinois, Colorado State

Last Four Byes: Xavier, Northwestern, Dayton, UCF
Last Four In: Minnesota, Iowa State, Texas, LSU

Last Four Out: Illinois, Cincinnati, Arizona, Colorado State
Next Four Out: Miami, NC State, Mississippi, Arkansas

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What's different for Marquette

Not too much. The first round opponent is Drexel instead of VCU, as the Dragons have won 21 of 22 since a 2-4 start en route to taking the lead in the CAA. A Sweet 16 run could mean a meeting with Purdue instead of Cal, though both would take upsets. The biggest changes in the Southeast came in the top-half of the bracket, where Gonzaga moves up to St. Mary's 5-seed while UNLV drops to a 4-seed, replacing Wichita State.
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