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Author Topic: [Cracked Sidewalks]Value Add projects MU 93rd; Burton 36% chance at NBA  (Read 33164 times)

NersEllenson

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Re: [Cracked Sidewalks]Value Add projects MU 93rd; Burton 36% chance at NBA
« Reply #75 on: August 21, 2014, 08:38:31 AM »
Ners -first, an apology. When Sultan published his "Pudner Projections" for the 2013-14 I assumed they were correct. Evidently they were not. So, my mistake - mea culpa. I'm still unclear as to where John had us projected last year - maybe he can clear that up for all of us.

Second, a warning. You have acquired a new ally, one who used to be Chico's Distorter in Chief. Be careful.

No worries Lenny - Not sure where you are confused on where John's preseason data had us projected - a Value Add of 21.52 - on normal growth/progression of players.  Eventual league champion Villanova only came in with a pre-season value add of 19.87...though they exceeded that by finishing year at 20.65.  Additionally, Nova kicked our a$$ in the contribution of their freshman 4.86 to 1.96 - pretty amazing that their freshman were able to contribute that much value add when even their vets were performing at expected/high level - whereas our vets were performing incredibly below their expectation.

This in and of itself was my whole frustration with Buzz - the vets weren't getting it done in any way, shape or form (outside of perhaps Davante, Mayo, Jamil) so why not play your highly touted/talented freshman more?  Especially when the losses were racking up in the nonconference?

"I'm not sure Cadougan would fix the problems on this team. I'm not even convinced he would be better for this team than DeWil is."

BrewCity77, December 8, 2013