Marquette 63.22% of the time wins this game

[ChicosBailBonds]

Per Bracket Caster

http://www.sportingnews.com/ncaa/basketball/bracket_caster/

[Daniel]

I hope that is our field goal shooting percentage for the game

[Mayor McCheese]

thats not even correct, they have the Badgers as a 2

[MUEng92]

Why does mine say we are playing Arizona?

[Daniel]

yeah - seems to be all screwed up

[Brew City]

Looks like it is based off of projected seeds and has not been updated to reflect actual seedings yet.

However, I've run it twice, and both times, Marquette defeated Xavier for the NC.  Hmmmm....

[MUCam]

Marquette ousted by Duke in my simulation run. That was a final four match-up, by the way, after wins over the likes of Tennessee and Kansas.

I'll take it...despite the faulty brackets.

[ChicosBailBonds]

The bracket caster was done BEFORE the teams were announced, but put in the teams you want head to head to get a result

[Pardner]

There is an odds page that you can refer to.  To summarize MU's odds:

Round 2:  61.1%
Sweet 16: 31.25%
Elite 8:  13.76%
F4:  5.19%
Finals:  2.00%
Champion: 0.7%

[Big Papi]

Espn.com also has a simulation based on Accuscore bracketcaster. It only took six tries to get MU to the Final Four bowing out to of all teams West Virginia who than upset Tennessee.  Kind of fun if you have some time to kill.