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Author Topic: MU +3; O/U 166.5  (Read 1355 times)

avid1010

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MU +3; O/U 166.5
« on: January 14, 2023, 06:06:22 PM »
Actually opened at o/u 167.5 at some books...that is an AMAZING number.  Vegas is predicting X 85 - MU 82...
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Carl

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Re: MU +3; O/U 166.5
« Reply #1 on: January 14, 2023, 06:16:29 PM »
Now +3.5 o/u 165.5. Was really hoping the o/u would be in the 150’s for personal betting purposes. Amazing how closely their opening lines mirror Kenpom.
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avid1010

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Re: MU +3; O/U 166.5
« Reply #2 on: January 14, 2023, 06:26:27 PM »
Quote from: Carl on January 14, 2023, 06:16:29 PM
Now +3.5 o/u 165.5. Was really hoping the o/u would be in the 150’s for personal betting purposes. Amazing how closely their opening lines mirror Kenpom.
They use KenPom's numbers....after getting hammered for 2 straight years.  He broke Vegas when it comes to CBB.
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brewcity77

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Re: MU +3; O/U 166.5
« Reply #3 on: January 14, 2023, 06:54:49 PM »
Marquette money line and the over.
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Carl

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Re: MU +3; O/U 166.5
« Reply #4 on: January 14, 2023, 07:14:59 PM »
That paid handsomely on Wednesday!
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DegenerateDish

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Re: MU +3; O/U 166.5
« Reply #5 on: January 14, 2023, 08:55:52 PM »
Quote from: Carl on January 14, 2023, 06:16:29 PM
Now +3.5 o/u 165.5. Was really hoping the o/u would be in the 150’s for personal betting purposes. Amazing how closely their opening lines mirror Kenpom.

All the books give no $hit about college basketball and are all lazy and just use KenPom to open their numbers with, it’s ridiculous how lazy it is.
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Ellenson Guerrero

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Re: MU +3; O/U 166.5
« Reply #6 on: January 14, 2023, 09:43:23 PM »
Quote from: DegenerateDish on January 14, 2023, 08:55:52 PM
All the books give no $hit about college basketball and are all lazy and just use KenPom to open their numbers with, it’s ridiculous how lazy it is.

I mean, laziness is one word for it, but after a guy shows that his model is the most accurate over several years, isn’t it just logical to follow it? Why try reinventing the wheel?
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DegenerateDish

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Re: MU +3; O/U 166.5
« Reply #7 on: January 14, 2023, 10:08:07 PM »
Quote from: Ellenson Guerrero on January 14, 2023, 09:43:23 PM
I mean, laziness is one word for it, but after a guy shows that his model is the most accurate over several years, isn’t it just logical to follow it? Why try reinventing the wheel?

I’m not complaining, there’s a reason CBB is my most profitable sport. I’m glad they tail KP, god bless CLV.
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Goose

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Re: MU +3; O/U 166.5
« Reply #8 on: January 15, 2023, 10:08:25 AM »
Dish

I have a strong feeling this game goes under and the winning margin will be closer to ten points than 3 points. If MU gets out quickly, I think they will be the winning team. A slow start could mean trouble on the road. MU needs to take the crowd out early and make some noise of their own. Not being a true homer, but I think MU wins by 8-10. Biggest reason for my pick is they are playing with poise and confidence and with good reason.
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DegenerateDish

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Re: MU +3; O/U 166.5
« Reply #9 on: January 15, 2023, 10:15:10 AM »
Quote from: Goose on January 15, 2023, 10:08:25 AM
Dish

I have a strong feeling this game goes under and the winning margin will be closer to ten points than 3 points. If MU gets out quickly, I think they will be the winning team. A slow start could mean trouble on the road. MU needs to take the crowd out early and make some noise of their own. Not being a true homer, but I think MU wins by 8-10. Biggest reason for my pick is they are playing with poise and confidence and with good reason.

I did love the under when it opened, but so did everyone else, as it’s now at 163.

I’m with you though, if one thinks MU is going to win, bet the alternates.

I’ll probably be in on MU -2.5 +180, maybe a sprinkle on MU -4.5 at +240.

The best value will be live, I actually don’t mind if MU is down six-ish the first ten minutes (unless Oso or Prosper are with 2 fouls).
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