Realistic Path to 5th in the BE

[Dr. Blackheart]

He posted that prior to yesterday's game

It was mathematically impossible then too.

[BM1090]

It was mathematically impossible then too.

I don't think this is true.

Creighton could have lost and been 8-8. SHU could have lost and been 8-8. PC could have lost to be 8-8. PC plays X, 8-9 with a loss. SHU plays Nova and loses, 8-9. Creighton beats Depaul but then loses to us, 9-9.

Butler loses @ SJU and to SHU. Both finish 9-9. There was a path to 10-8 and alone in 3rd place, unless . There was also a path to a tie for 3rd place and winning the tiebreaker for the 3 seed.

[Newsdreams]

I don't think this is true.

Creighton could have lost and been 8-8. SHU could have lost and been 8-8. PC could have lost to be 8-8. PC plays X, 8-9 with a loss. SHU plays Nova and loses, 8-9. Creighton beats Depaul but then loses to us, 9-9.

Butler loses @ SJU and to SHU. Both finish 9-9. There was a path to 10-8 and alone in 3rd place, unless . There was also a path to a tie for 3rd place and winning the tiebreaker for the 3 seed.

Yes

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

I still think 6th is a strong possibility. of course MU has to win their last two, and Seton hall needs to lose their last two, but against Nova and Butler, that is very possible(if not likely).

edit.  this is correct.

[Newsdreams]

Creighton destroyed Depaul to get to 10 wins.

[BM1090]

Still a path to 5th. Need SHU and PC to lose out.

[IrwinFletcher]

I wonder if the best path to the tourney is actually to finish 7th and play SJU.  If we win that game, that is considered a road game and would be another Q2 win and another road win.  Also means we face Villanova or X again further strengthening our SOS.

Beat CU and SJU and lose to V or X and we will have a decent shot.

[muguru]

I wonder if the best path to the tourney is actually to finish 7th and play SJU.  If we win that game, that is considered a road game and would be another Q2 win and another road win.  Also means we face Villanova or X again further strengthening our SOS.

Beat CU and SJU and lose to V or X and we will have a decent shot.

I still think it might be better to get the 6 and play Butler, Creighton or PC and add another quadrant 1 win..I think MU's road/neutral wins are good enough

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

I wonder if the best path to the tourney is actually to finish 7th and play SJU.  If we win that game, that is considered a road game and would be another Q2 win and another road win.  Also means we face Villanova or X again further strengthening our SOS.

Beat CU and SJU and lose to V or X and we will have a decent shot.

From an at large perspective, it is.  Getting the 7 seed, beating SJU and then taking a swing at Nova is better for the numbers (even with a loss to Nova).  But it is definitely a harder road to the AQ. 

If SJU wins one of their last 2 games, we're better off with the 6 seed for at large purposes.  A win over Depaul in the 7/10 game does nothing for us. 

If we get the 6 seed, we'll be playing for a bid in that game against the 3 seed.  But the numbers aren't too kind to us if we lose it.