[Cracked Sidewalks] Updated Rankings: Dunn would be 3rd Nationally Without Missed Games; MU Must Finish in top 6 for any chance

[CrackedSidewalks]

Updated Rankings: Dunn would be 3rd Nationally Without Missed Games; MU Must Finish in top 6 for any chance

It may be surprising that Luke Fischer and Henry Ellenson stayed pretty close to their overall national rankings after two Big East games (they are now at 106th and 347th). Basically, Value Add measures for the level of each opponent - and in essence viewed really good numbers against some very bad teams as being roughly the same performance as bad numbers against much stronger opponents.

The big problem right now is that the tiny chance of an at large bid being even lower at this point - it would likely take a Big East tournament win to make March Madness. The hard part is MU really must finish at least 6th to avoid a "play-in" game - three upsets in three nights while playing teams equally as tired is hard much trying to win four games in four days is near impossible (see performances against Seton Hall and then Villanova a few hours later from last year).

Anyway, not pretty, but here are the top 20 Value Add teams and where all Big East teams rank if you subtract all the players defense from offense (that's a lot of good teams to pass) followed by the Top 25 Value Add players in the conference and all Marquette's players.

Rnk	Team	Off	Def	Off-Def
1	Virginia	37.21	-9.83	47.05
2	Kansas	35.61	-11.11	46.73
3	Villanova	36.31	-9.42	45.74
4	Louisville	32.61	-12.25	44.86
5	Oklahoma	34.41	-10.24	44.65
6	Michigan St.	34.01	-10.03	44.05
7	Duke	37.01	-6.09	43.10
8	Xavier	31.71	-11.14	42.86
9	Miami FL	33.41	-8.69	42.10
10	Purdue	26.41	-15.68	42.09
11	West Virginia	28.81	-12.55	41.37
12	North Carolina	36.61	-4.56	41.17
13	SMU	36.51	-4.59	41.10
14	Maryland	32.21	-7.90	40.12
15	Arizona	29.71	-9.96	39.67
16	Kentucky	30.61	-8.77	39.39
17	Iowa	33.81	-5.36	39.17
18	Iowa St.	34.01	-4.71	38.73
19	Pittsburgh	33.71	-4.77	38.48
20	Saint Mary's	33.51	-4.22	37.74
33	Butler	34.51	-0.15	34.66
35	Providence	28.21	-6.15	34.36
45	Seton Hall	24.91	-6.81	31.72
59	Creighton	29.61	-0.58	30.19
71	Georgetown	25.71	-3.57	29.28
102	Marquette	20.00	-5.59	25.59
159	DePaul	21.01	0.01	21.00
302	St. John's	5.24	-1.93	7.17

As for Kris Dunn, he would rank third in the country if not for the three games in which he had the flu (he had a negative rating for the Boston University 15 minutes he played with the flu, and a 0.0 for the two games he missed).

Rnk	Rank among 4000+ Players	Team	Ht	Yr	Offense	Defense	Total Value
17	Hart, Josh 3	Villanova	6' 5"	Jr	7.95	-2.65	11.82
22	Dunn, Kris 3	Providence	6' 4"	Jr	6.42	-3.80	11.43
51	Bentil, Ben 0	Providence	6' 9"	So	7.48	-1.67	10.33
63	Arcidiacono, Ryan 15	Villanova	6' 3"	Sr	7.44	-1.28	9.89
72	Ochefu, Daniel 23	Villanova	6' 11"	Sr	5.29	-3.17	9.63
90	Rodriguez, Desi 20	Seton Hall	6' 6"	So	6.45	-1.76	9.21
94	Farr, James 2	Xavier	6' 10"	Sr	5.05	-2.97	9.18
106	Fischer, Luke 40	Marquette	6' 11"	Jr	6.85	-1.03	9.04
113	Smith-Rivera, D'Vauntes 4	Georgetown	6' 3"	Sr	6.81	-0.96	8.93
117	Garrett, Billy 5	DePaul	6' 6"	Jr	7.74	0.04	8.85
131	Jones, Roosevelt 21	Butler	6' 4"	Sr	6.35	-1.08	8.58
132	Henry, Myke 4	DePaul	6' 6"	Sr	6.18	-1.24	8.57
174	Groselle, Geoffrey 41	Creighton	7' 0	Sr	6.04	-0.84	8.02
179	Bullock, Rodney 5	Providence	6' 8"	So	4.95	-1.90	7.99
200	Bluiett, Trevon 5	Xavier	6' 6"	So	4.75	-1.80	7.69
220	Chrabascz, Andrew 45	Butler	6' 7"	Jr	6.21	-0.05	7.39
259	Carrington, Khadeen 0	Seton Hall	6' 3"	So	4.54	-1.52	7.06
264	Reynolds, Jalen 1	Xavier	6' 10"	Jr	3.39	-2.50	7.01
271	Davis, Myles 15	Xavier	6' 2"	Jr	5.27	-0.56	6.95
289	Brunson, Jalen 1	Villanova	6' 2"	Fr	5.29	-0.38	6.78
306	Wideman, Tyler 4	Butler	6' 8"	So	4.20	-1.38	6.69
347	Ellenson, Henry 13	Marquette	6' 10"	Fr	3.39	-1.95	6.44
352	Martin, Kelan 30	Butler	6' 6"	So	4.59	-0.70	6.39
357	Zierden, Isaiah 21	Creighton	6' 3"	Jr	5.16	-0.22	6.38
358	Delgado, Angel 31	Seton Hall	6' 9"	So	3.00	-2.25	6.35
452	Cohen, Sandy 5	Marquette	6' 6"	So	3.93	-0.80	5.73
790	Wilson, Duane 1	Marquette	6' 2"	So	2.54	-0.51	4.05
1015	Johnson, JaJuan 23	Marquette	6' 5"	Jr	1.26	-0.97	3.22
1129	Cheatham, Haanif 25	Marquette	6' 5"	Fr	1.77	-0.05	2.82
1547	Carter, Traci 21	Marquette	6' 0	Fr	0.00	-0.67	1.68
1585	Ellenson, Wally 22	Marquette	6' 6"	Jr	0.24	-0.37	1.62
1936	Anim, Sacar 2	Marquette	6' 5"	Fr	0.02	0.37	1.01
1963	Heldt, Matt 12	Marquette	6' 10"	Fr	0.00	0.38	1.00

Source: Updated Rankings: Dunn would be 3rd Nationally Without Missed Games; MU Must Finish in top 6 for any chance