Lunardi S-curve

[dwaderoy2004]

Lunardi released his S-curve on twitter and MU came in at 26.  So, assuming no procedural bumps, they should be a 7 seed in his newest bracket. 

[JTBMU7]

wow, actually went up a few spot!

[slack00]

Lunardi is good at reviewing what's happened in November and not just looking at the results from the last couple weeks.  I'm willing to bet MU moved up because the win vs Wisconsin is now against a definite tourney team as opposed to a bubble team.

[JTBMU7]

if you look at the teams after 30, there's really not much there. i know people have said this all year but more and more this is looking like a very, very soft mid-range/bubble.
The 1 & 2 seeds have separated them selves to this point (IU, KU, Mich, Duke, LVille, Cuse, FL, AZ) barring any huge injuries those should stay pretty much the same. maybe trade out MSU/OSU for IU at some point, and its possible one of the PAC12 teams (UCLA/Oregon) knocks off AZ and gets a 2... but after that it's really wide open, and there's a pretty steep drop off right around 20.
I wouldnt count out MU moving into a 5 or 6 seed with 11-12 wins in conf. there just arent enough teams out there that are in position to win enough games to separate themselves in that range.

[dwaderoy2004]

I agree.

[MUDPT]

28 on Bracket Matrix.

http://bracketproject.50webs.com/matrix.htm  We would play Ole' Miss with TC as the 2 seed.

[LAZER]

if you look at the teams after 30, there's really not much there. i know people have said this all year but more and more this is looking like a very, very soft mid-range/bubble.
The 1 & 2 seeds have separated them selves to this point (IU, KU, Mich, Duke, LVille, Cuse, FL, AZ) barring any huge injuries those should stay pretty much the same. maybe trade out MSU/OSU for IU at some point, and its possible one of the PAC12 teams (UCLA/Oregon) knocks off AZ and gets a 2... but after that it's really wide open, and there's a pretty steep drop off right around 20.
I wouldnt count out MU moving into a 5 or 6 seed with 11-12 wins in conf. there just arent enough teams out there that are in position to win enough games to separate themselves in that range.

We've been hearing about soft bubbles for about the last 4 years now.  For whatever reason, there is a lot more parity in college basketball these days and I think it's probably going to stay this way.  The "soft" bubbles are becoming the norm.

[bilsu]

The NCAA will also consider that we played first semester without Mayo.

[dwaderoy2004]

That's actually a really good point, especially if we end up in the top 4 of the Big East and Mayo keeps producing.  Just keep winning...