Ken Pom gives MU 52.5% chance to win

[ChicosBailBonds]

Pom likes us.

ESPN Predictor only gives us a 41% chance to won, however.


XU shoots the 3 ball at only 33% which is good for us since we defend it so poorly.

I feel pretty good about the match up

[MUfan12]

The log5 numbers are interesting. I like it, because unlike other simulations it actually shows a couple of upsets in the numbers.

Also had Gonzaga beating SJU, who has proven to be the toughest team from the conference for me to predict.

[CTWarrior]

The ESPN simulation has us winning 41% of the time.

I think we're evenly matched but I think Xavier has the edge due to slight home court advantage and, more importantly, a better recent tournament history.  Seems they win the games they can and we haven't won a game where we weren't a very solid favorite since the Final 4 run.

[NersEllenson]

The log5 numbers are interesting. I like it, because unlike other simulations it actually shows a couple of upsets in the numbers.

Also had Gonzaga beating SJU, who has proven to be the toughest team from the conference for me to predict.

Losing DJ Kennedy is a pretty big blow to SJU.  Really feel for the kid as a senior..

[NYWarrior]

Pom likes us.

ESPN Predictor only gives us a 41% chance to won, however.

XU shoots the 3 ball at only 33% which is good for us since we defend it so poorly.

I feel pretty good about the match up

Essentially a tossup game, it seems .... Pom like MU w/ 52% probability of winning while Nate Silver give MU only a 48% probability of the same.

[MUMac]

Essentially a tossup game, it seems .... Pom like MU w/ 52% probability of winning while Nate Silver give MU only a 48% probability of the same.

The real question is what does Kenosha Warrior think of MU's chances? (I kid, I kid)

The game really is a good 1st round match-up.  Worthy of those 5/12 match-ups they love so much.  MU has a good chance to win this game, as does Xavier.  I like our position, if the team that played Providence and WVU shows up.  I don't like our position if the team that played UL shows up.

Looking forward to Friday and hopefully Sunday.