Predicting the 2013 men's NCAA tournament

[radome]

http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/bracketology

Obviously, very early, but no Marquette.

[Silkk the Shaka]

Palm is the worst.

[MU82]

1. It's silly to pay any attention to anything like this in December.

2. It's hardly outrageous for anybody to predict that we will fall short of the tournament. I love Marquette, and I'm thinking we're a bubble team that will need a break or three -- and probably some BE tourney wins -- to get in.

[🏀]

Just glancing...Palm is using a current RPI to fill this bracket. Not a projected RPI bracket.

[Silkk the Shaka]

Just glancing...Palm is using a current RPI to fill this bracket. Not a projected RPI bracket.

Which make this EVEN MORE IRRELEVANT than any other bracket at this time.  Pre-conference RPI #s are so completely skewed as to be almost entirely meaningless; anyone using them to design a bracket at this point is a complete joke.

[The Equalizer]

Just glancing...Palm is using a current RPI to fill this bracket. Not a projected RPI bracket.

If he was, Colorado (currently 4th in the RPI) wouldn't be projected a 6 seed.  And Notre Dame (currently 76th RPI) wouldn't be in the bracket at all (instead, they're in as an 8 seed).

I think he's using some projection--probably something similar to what Pomeroy uses to project W/L records in conference.  

[🏀]

If he was, Colorado (currently 4th in the RPI) wouldn't be projected a 6 seed.  And Notre Dame (currently 76th RPI) wouldn't be in the bracket at all (instead, they're in as an 8 seed).

I think he's using some projection--probably something similar to what Pomeroy uses to project W/L records in conference.  

I think you're right.

[ChicosBailBonds]

As others have said, too early.

But, if that is what people want to do, Lunardi might have us out right now also.  On December 11th he had us as a 10 seed and trending down.  Since then, we've lost to UWGB and beat LSU and Savannah State.  Bracket Project has 21 bracket predictors right now, we make the tournament in 16 of them.


Palm, isn't the worst...not close.  He's rated ahead of Lunardi in the Paymon scoring used to evaluate who has done best.   The best in the last three years is Eric Prisbell of the Washington Post followed by Patrick Stevens of the Washington Times.  Their averages have been very good. 

Several good sites that analyze the accuracy of projections.


http://unclepopov.wordpress.com/tag/bracketville/

http://bracketville.wordpress.com/

http://bracketproject.50webs.com/rankings.html

[madtownwarrior]

and who gives a crap about bracket projections in December?   win games in conference or it really does not matter