[Cracked Sidewalks] The Rest of the Big East, Part I

[CrackedSidewalksSays]

The Rest of the Big East, Part I

Written by: noreply@blogger.com (Alan Bykowski)

College basketball season is almost here. In less than three weeks, most of us will either be at the Bradley Center, watching on TV, or at least listening on ESPN 540 as Marquette takes on Mount St. Mary's. We're anxious to see DJO trying to live up to First-Team All-Big East honors, learn what Jamil Wilson can do as he finally hits the court, find out if Vander Blue can start making good on all his potential, and watch as Buzz tries to build on a Sweet 16 year.

But what about the rest of the Big East? Can UConn repeat? Who will challenge for the league title? How many of Notre Dame's seniors actually left? Can DePaul claw their way up the Big East standings, maybe rising as high as 15th by year's end? Over the summer, I took a look at our various non-conference opponents, now it's time to look at the ones we're familiar with. Over the next week (or so) I'll provide capsules on all of the Big East teams. Here are the first five:

Cincinnati
Who's Back: Yancy Gates, Cashmere Wright, Dion Dixon
Who's New: Cheikh Mbodj, Ge'Lawn Guyn
Coaches / Media Predictions: 5th / 6th
The Skinny: Gates, Wright, and Dixon are a three-headed monster. Joining them in the starting lineup should be JUCO PF Mbodj and Sean Kilpatrick, who has bulked up after his All-Big East Rookie campaign last year. The first two off the bench should be senior forward Justin Jackson and junior wing JaQuon Parker, with the speedy freshman Guyn getting time at both guard slots. The Bearcats play a soft non-con schedule again, so we won't know how good they really are until the end of January, after they've played some competition. They will have dreams of cracking the top four, but will likely be in next tier when the season is done.

Connecticut
Who's Back: Jeremy Lamb, Alex Oriakhi, Shabazz Napier, Roscoe Smith, Tyler Olander
Who's New: Andre Drummond, DeAndre Daniels, Ryan Boatright
Coaches / Media Predictions: 1st / 2nd
The Skinny: Despite losing their best player, UConn should be better than their title-winning team last year. Lamb received first-team All-Big East honors from the coaches, Oriakhi second-team, and both Napier and Drummond were honorable mention. Lost in the shuffle is five-star Daniels, who should contribute right away. But don't forget, this team only went 9-9 in league play last year. Someone has to lead them. As much talent as they have, there are knocks. Lamb has never had to be the man before. Napier and Smith had a lot of growing pains last year that need to be put behind them. And despite all his physical gifts, Drummond has virtually no back-to-the-basket game and not much range. If UConn puts it all together, they could be one of the best teams in the country. But while they might have supplanted Kemba's talent, the loss of his on-court leadership might be underrated. They should be in the top four, but I'm not sold that they're going to jump from 9th to 1st.

DePaul
Who's Back: Cleveland Melvin, Brandon Young, Jeremiah Kelly, Krys Faber
Who's New: Donnavan Kirk, Charles McKinney, Worrel Clahar
Coaches / Media Predictions: 16th / 15th
The Skinny: It's hard not to feel sorry for DePaul. First, top recruit Shane Larkin withdrew his commitment and headed to Miami. Then expected starter Tony Freeland suffered a season-ending injury while the NCAA ruled three-star freshman Macari Brooks ineligible. To top it off, freshman forward Montray Clemons also suffered a season-ending injury. That will mean Oliver Purnell needs more from his newcomers. JUCO transfer Clahar will get time from day one, and freshman wing McKinney will likely also be asked to contribute right away. Transfer Kirk will likely be needed as soon as he's eligible in December. It's a good thing they have a soft non-conference, because they'll need it. The good news is that Melvin and Young were among the best freshmen in the conference last year. This team is still a couple years away. They may not be quite as bad they were the past two seasons, but finishing as high as 14th in the league would be a significant accomplishment.

Georgetown
Who's Back: Hollis Thompson, Jason Clark, Nate Lubick
Who's New: Otto Porter, Mikael Hopkins, Jabril Trawick
Coaches / Media Predictions: 10th / 10th
The Skinny: This team is a shell of itself without Austin Freeman, Chris Wright, and Julian Vaughn. For the Hoyas to succeed, Thompson and Clark have to go from role-players to stars, and they'll likely need Otto Porter to contribute heavy minutes from the get-go. This team is very inexperienced. As much upside as they have, there are too many freshman in and seniors out for them to contend this year. They may challenge for a berth in the NCAAs, but if they do, it will be as one of the last teams in the Big East.

Louisville
Who's Back: Peyton Siva, Kyle Kuric, Gorgui Dieng, Rakeem Buckles, Chris Smith
Who's New: Chane Behanan, Wayne Blackshear, Zach Price
Coaches / Media Predictions: 3rd / 3rd
The Skinny: Leading scorer Preston Knowles left as did Terrence Jennings, which would signify a drop-off for most teams. Don't expect that from the Cardinals. This team is incredibly deep. They return 8 guys that averaged double-digit minutes last year and add two McDonald's All-Americans in Behanan and Blackshear. Buckles and Blackshear will miss the start of the season with injury, but Louisville has the depth to offset those losses. While the pundits have the Big East as a two-horse race between Syracuse and Connecticut, Louisville finished ahead of both last year and return virtually everyone. Pitino's team will challenge for the Big East title, and definitely have the ability to win it.

That's all for now, I'll be back later in the week with five more Big East capsules as we get ready for the season to start.

http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2011/10/rest-of-big-east-part-i.html

[Dr. Blackheart]

Great preview Brew. Looking forward to the rest.

I totally agree on UCONN about the questions. Consider this: Walker was #1 in the BE in ORating with at least 28% of possessions (166.7), % of possessions (31.4%), % of minutes (92.4%), % of shots (32.9%), and fouls drawn (6.3 per 40 minutes). He was still # 13 in % of assists even though Napier was getting a lot of PG minutes. He was #2 in PPG and steal %, #3 in FTM/FTA, and #10 in steals, and #2 in fouls committed per 40 on defense. He also created for Lamb (#9 in eFG% for a freshman) and Oriakhi was in #1 in OReb. rate, and the rest. Yes, they will miss him greatly as he made everyone better on that team--he isn't a plug and play talent.

Is the remaining and incoming sum greater despite the # of stars next to their name? Their high recruits overlap where they already have depth, and not to replace Walker.

[77ncaachamps]

Never underestimate a JTIII coached team, but this year's roster will create a challenge to succeed he hasn't seen in a long time while at Gtown.

DePaul - Unless the Chitown recruits try to resurrect a once proud hometown program much like QRich and Ronnie Fields tried to do, this program is going to be the root cause of Purnell's migraines this season.

[brewcity77]

Thanks, Dr. Blackheart  If it all breaks right for UConn, they can challenge for the title, but if there are growing pains, they'll be scrapping with the likes of Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, and Marquette to get into the top four.

As far as Georgetown, they've got some talent coming in and I think JTIII will get them back to the top, but I just can't see it this year. It shouldn't take long, however, their freshman class is stacked and within two years I think Georgetown will be back in the Big East title race.

Over the summer, I thought DePaul might be able to scrap their way into the top 12. A backcourt of Larkin and Young, Melvin as the star up front with some solid but underrated guys like Faber and Freeland, and a few lunchbox type recruits that would fit in on a Buzz Williams team. But as summer progressed, they got brutalized. They effectively lost four guys, and my guess is two would have started. Like the Cubs, they're waiting for next year before this year even starts.