MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: DoctorV on January 27, 2023, 09:48:15 PM

Title: -9.5;152.5
Post by: DoctorV on January 27, 2023, 09:48:15 PM
The line and OU against DePaul.

These have been fruitful of late so I figured let’s get some thoughts.

From my end I’ve got nothing really.

MU is 2-3 at Wintrust and I’ve been to like 3-4 Marquette road losses versus DePaul in the last decade (one at Rosemont) so I’m jaded, can’t think clearly.

I’m hopefully certain we’ve got this, but have no feel on how it’ll go down.

Thoughts?



Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: brewcity77 on January 27, 2023, 09:55:28 PM
-9.5 feels like a lot. I could see us covering, but that's right around where I'd put the line so I can't really endorse either side by much. As far as the points, both teams play fast on offense and slow you down on defense, both protect the ball well. I would slightly lean under, but again tough to say.

If there's anything I'd really like, it would be live betting Marquette on the second half spread, especially if the first half is at all tight. We're a better second half team and I could see us really coming out and laying down a marker to start the second.
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 27, 2023, 10:43:06 PM
I follow Brew’s philosophy when it comes to betting MU games, I openly want them to be down around 6ish or more near the ten minute mark of the first half.

MU, outside of obviously me being a fan, has been one of the best teams to live bet on and get better value on mid game as opposed to pregame.
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: 5DollarPitcher on January 27, 2023, 10:52:26 PM
The over easily
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: Tyler COLEk on January 27, 2023, 11:01:57 PM
Anything over -8 is hard for me to play in NCAAB. Marquette could control the game wire-to-wire and still not cover.
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: JamilJaeJamailJrJuan on January 27, 2023, 11:32:23 PM
Heading to Vegas first thing in the am. Will not be betting MU -9.5.
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: Ellenson Guerrero on January 27, 2023, 11:49:04 PM
Hammer the over on this one.
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: brewcity77 on January 28, 2023, 07:04:58 AM
My worry about the over is DePaul is a bad offensive team. They've only been over a 152.5 total once in January and they have been playing at a slower pace of late month. They were at 72.1 possessions in their first 15 games, just 68.2 in their last 6. It's a small sample size, but really leads me toward an 80-65 type result for Marquette.
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: MuggsyB on January 28, 2023, 07:08:15 AM
DId anyone watch the DePaul win over X?  What do we need to eliminate?  Ty.
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: brewcity77 on January 28, 2023, 07:15:05 AM
DId anyone watch the DePaul win over X?  What do we need to eliminate?  Ty.

Souley Boum was atrocious shooting the ball. 1/12 from the field and just 4 points from the guy who's probably now favorite for Big East Player of the Year. Xavier just didn't make their threes. Went 4/20 overall from deep. They beat DePaul on the glass on both ends, won the turnover rate battle, and outscored them from the line, but X couldn't overcome their cold shooting.

Keep the ball moving, find the hot hand, I think we win going away. This feels like an O-Max game. Not sure DePaul has anyone on the wing with the size, strength, and speed to stick with him.
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: MuggsyB on January 28, 2023, 07:23:28 AM
Souley Boum was atrocious shooting the ball. 1/12 from the field and just 4 points from the guy who's probably now favorite for Big East Player of the Year. Xavier just didn't make their threes. Went 4/20 overall from deep. They beat DePaul on the glass on both ends, won the turnover rate battle, and outscored them from the line, but X couldn't overcome their cold shooting.

Keep the ball moving, find the hot hand, I think we win going away. This feels like an O-Max game. Not sure DePaul has anyone on the wing with the size, strength, and speed to stick with him.

So essentially if they'd do what I have suggested every game there shouldn't be any anxiety?  :)
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: panda on January 28, 2023, 07:37:02 AM
Hammer MU -9.5. Home game. We’ll be up 6-10 points the entire game and DePaul will foul at the end to chase the game against a “rival.” Free throws will matter here folks.
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: tower912 on January 28, 2023, 07:41:09 AM
DId anyone watch the DePaul win over X?  What do we need to eliminate?  Ty.
Make shots.  Not only was Boum bad, Xavier missed double digit point blank shots.
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: BLWarrior91 on January 28, 2023, 08:24:21 AM
Make shots.  Not only was Boum bad, Xavier missed double digit point blank shots.

Sounds similar to how we lost to X. 
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: pbiflyer on January 28, 2023, 08:32:24 AM
Even ESPN considers this a home game for Marquette. ;D
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: MuggsyB on January 28, 2023, 08:39:24 AM
Even ESPN considers this a home game for Marquette. ;D

I really hope we smother them early pbiflyer.  I don't see any issues assuming we play our game and share the ball. 
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: Goose on January 28, 2023, 08:44:56 AM
I think MU covers and the game goes under. That said, I would not play the game or the under unless willing to sweat it out. I think MU will cover a nice portion of the game, but you never know in the last few minutes on who will be on the court or silly fouls. MU is 10+ better team than DePaul regardless of the home team.
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: MU82 on January 28, 2023, 09:08:42 AM
Agree with those who say that's a lot of points, and that we could control the whole game (and dominate lots of it) and still not end up covering. I think I'd be nervous the whole game with a line like that.

Dr. V: Not that it's necessary, but it wouldn't hurt to fix the subject line to show -9.5 (instead of -9,5), as it was a little confusing at first. Also, what happened in past MU-DePaul games matters 0.00% as to what will happen today.
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: Uncle Rico on January 28, 2023, 09:13:39 AM
The only thing you all are gambling with is your life of eternal damnation
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: RushmoreAcademy on January 28, 2023, 09:19:43 AM
The only thing you all are gambling with is your life of eternal damnation

It’s called deathbed repentance.
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: Uncle Rico on January 28, 2023, 09:25:19 AM
It’s called deathbed repentance.

It really is a great out
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: DoctorV on January 28, 2023, 09:29:12 AM
Agree with those who say that's a lot of points, and that we could control the whole game (and dominate lots of it) and still not end up covering. I think I'd be nervous the whole game with a line like that.

Dr. V: Not that it's necessary, but it wouldn't hurt to fix the subject line to show -9.5 (instead of -9,5), as it was a little confusing at first. Also, what happened in past MU-DePaul games matters 0.00% as to what will happen today.

I’m of European decent, so using the commas instead of the decimal point has become a habit.
Changed it because this isn’t a European thread, this is America!

I know the past won’t matter, but I’d be willing to bet that Shaka uses last years putrid trip to Wintrust as motivation today.

That game was horrendous, it was pure pain.
I specifically remember sitting in those seats thinking to myself “I don’t know where the magic has gone, and I don’t think this team can get it back.”
Up to that point I was expecting Marquette to figure it out and finish strong.

That was then, this is now.
Fu*k ‘Em!
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: Dr. Blackheart on January 28, 2023, 09:32:40 AM
Fu*k ,Em!

FIFY but that may confuse 82
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: Goose on January 28, 2023, 09:34:52 AM
Doctor

I 100% believe last year’s swoon is going to be a catalyst to a strong finish to the season. Starting with the post game presser after UNC last year, when Shaka had two returning guys at the presser vs. Lewis and Morsell, it stood out that they were already looking ahead.

Last year they likely were not good enough for a run, but the swoon take away any chance of it happening. This year’s team is far better equipped to finish off the regular season and go from there.
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: avid1010 on January 28, 2023, 09:35:28 AM
I’m of European decent, so using the commas instead of the decimal point has become a habit.
Changed it because this isn’t a European thread, this is America!

Great...can you explain how to bet soccer...because half the time I'm provided with soccer picks I can't figure out wtf they mean.
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: Milkshakes on January 28, 2023, 09:51:13 AM
Creighton -5.5 vs X. What do y’all think of that one?
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: Goose on January 28, 2023, 09:54:42 AM
I like Creighton
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: DoctorV on January 28, 2023, 09:57:48 AM
Great...can you explain how to bet soccer...because half the time I'm provided with soccer picks I can't figure out wtf they mean.

Honestly no I can’t, it’s like the biggest mystery in the history of the world.

I’ve only ever bet soccer in big tournaments like the Euro or World Cup at a live betting place in Greece, and I had a lot of success a few summers.

My cousin likes to do the HT/FT double result bet where you pick a draw at half or one team winning, then the opposite team flipping it and winning in final time.
It’s a pretty big long shot but I hit that a few times and it was fun.

Otherwise I would just pick the winner.
Soccer betting is rough because of the 3 outcomes- it’s hard enough to win a coin flip, let alone hitting a bet with three possible outcomes.
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: brewcity77 on January 28, 2023, 09:59:10 AM
Doctor

I 100% believe last year’s swoon is going to be a catalyst to a strong finish to the season. Starting with the post game presser after UNC last year, when Shaka had two returning guys at the presser vs. Lewis and Morsell, it stood out that they were already looking ahead.

Last year they likely were not good enough for a run, but the swoon take away any chance of it happening. This year’s team is far better equipped to finish off the regular season and go from there.

Shaka's comments to Jen Lada this week were great, and listening to the Nevada Smith interview on The Golden Break made it clear the players who they believe led to that breakdown last year are no longer on the team. I'm confident going into February.
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: DoctorV on January 28, 2023, 10:03:25 AM
Shaka's comments to Jen Lada this week were great, and listening to the Nevada Smith interview on The Golden Break made it clear the players who they believe led to that breakdown last year are no longer on the team. I'm confident going into February.

Think I missed that one- which thread was it under?
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: brewcity77 on January 28, 2023, 10:06:22 AM
Think I missed that one- which thread was it under?

Shaka was on the Marquette Basketball Hour.

Nevada was here: https://www.muscoop.com/index.php?topic=64108.0

He mentions a couple now-departed players as guys who were hunting their shots. It's a little between the lines, but not that much between the lines.
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: MU82 on January 28, 2023, 11:08:21 AM
I thought I wanted Creighton to win today but I'm starting to think X winning won't the worst thing for Marquette.

That would more or less knock Creighton right out of the race, and we still have X at home in a couple weeks.

Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: panda on January 28, 2023, 11:55:42 AM
Kansas +2.5
Byu +6.5
Marquette -9.5

Free money folks
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: fjm on January 28, 2023, 12:32:16 PM
Kansas +2.5
Byu +6.5
Marquette -9.5

Free money folks

100% agree on the Kansas bet. Putting $100 on that

I’m also taking bama -5.5 (only getting $20 on this)

Staying away from MU.
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: panda on January 28, 2023, 12:35:01 PM
100% agree on the Kansas bet. Putting $100 on that

I’m also taking bama -5.5 (only getting $20 on this)

Staying away from MU.

I like o 146 in the bama game
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: JakeBarnes on January 28, 2023, 12:52:47 PM
S Jones in cast on wrist
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: fjm on January 28, 2023, 01:38:49 PM
S Jones in cast on wrist

No. Cast is for broken bones.

Wrist splint/sleeve. Likely a sprain at best.
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: fjm on January 28, 2023, 01:39:41 PM
I like o 146 in the bama game

Welp. If I jinxed bama then good F em. But gonna lose a small bit there.
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 28, 2023, 02:15:20 PM
Duquense -2.5 alternate line +100
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 28, 2023, 02:27:24 PM
Took MU -11.5 right before half for +205. I like the way they play in the second half. Hope they can keep it up.
Title: Re: -9,5;152,5
Post by: 5DollarPitcher on January 28, 2023, 02:59:43 PM
The over easily
Bump
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: BLWarrior91 on January 28, 2023, 05:41:03 PM
Took MU -11.5 right before half for +205. I like the way they play in the second half. Hope they can keep it up.

Great call!
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: BM1090 on January 28, 2023, 08:59:51 PM
Hit on this parlay and MU -4.5 today when they went down 29-26. I was hesitant to lay 9 points. Turns out I shouldn’t have been. But all’s well that ends well.
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: dgies9156 on January 28, 2023, 09:03:07 PM

We covered.   8-)
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: panda on January 29, 2023, 12:11:08 PM
Kansas +2.5
Byu +6.5
Marquette -9.5

Free money folks

🔒🔒
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: Elonsmusk on January 29, 2023, 12:14:15 PM
🔒🔒

Good call Panda...did you parlay that action?
Title: Re: -9.5;152.5
Post by: panda on January 29, 2023, 12:15:32 PM
Good call Panda...did you parlay that action?

Always :-)

I like to put in a few slips at one or two units each and then parlay my favorites with a 1/4 or 1/2 unit. Makes it a little sweeter if you have a great day .