MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: jimmybutlerfanatic on January 17, 2022, 03:15:31 AM

Title: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: jimmybutlerfanatic on January 17, 2022, 03:15:31 AM
Next 6 games huge for this team and trajectory of the program.

3 - 3 would be an overachieving miracle IMHO.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: WarriorFan on January 17, 2022, 08:41:17 AM
I predict 2 home wins.

With a lot of luck, steal one away at UCONN.

But probably 2-4.

Nova is only .500 in Milwaukee since 2007...
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Scoop Snoop on January 17, 2022, 09:05:14 AM
I went with 3-3. With two road games facing opponents out for blood after losing their first matchup with us plus Nova in Philly, it's a tall order for our guys to win one of those but a Providence road win is not out of the question. Of course neither are the other two games, but I think we lose them. I'm really hoping for a W in our home game vs. Nova. I think we beat Xavier. UCONN is one BE team I simply cannot get a feel for. The other such team is St. Johns, and yeah- I know. they are not in the next six.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: wisblue on January 17, 2022, 09:30:15 AM
I’m stuck between 1-5 and 2-4, so I went with 1-5.

MU will be somewhere between slight and solid underdogs in all of these games. Winning on the road is tough against anyone, but especially against teams in the top half of the league.

I expect MU to play teams tough, but I’m not very confident in their ability to close out close games on the road.

If you told me now they could go 2-4 without playing the games I would take it. 3-3 would be a significant accomplishment and put them in great position to pin down an NCAA bid by winning some games they should win down the stretch.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: CountryRoads on January 17, 2022, 09:35:10 AM
3 - 3 would be an overachieving miracle IMHO.

Marquette will be in a good place going 3-3 in the next 6 games, but I’d hardly call that an “overachieving miracle.” We have a big time coach now who is proven to be successful at this level and I’m confident we’ll be better the second time we face these teams.

There doesn’t necessarily need to be that inevitable head scratching clunker that happened every other game in conference the past 7 years. Consistency over a long stretch of games is actually possible at this level. I know that’s become hard to believe as an MU fan.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Elonsmusk on January 17, 2022, 09:59:44 AM
2-4  I feel that would be a solid/good outcome, despite greedily wanting more wins, it's a tough slate of games with only 2 of the 6 at home.  I think we beat Xavier at home, and Providence on the road.  Tight games in the other 4 but not sure I can see us winning on the road at UConn or Seton Hall.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: MU82 on January 17, 2022, 10:15:55 AM
I said 6-0 ... because somebody had to!
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: TheREALwrk on January 17, 2022, 10:16:08 AM

There doesn’t necessarily need to be that inevitable head scratching clunker that happened every other game in conference the past 7 years. Consistency over a long stretch of games is actually possible at this level. I know that’s become hard to believe as an MU fan.

I am expecting a head-scratching clunker among the next 6 games and I look forward to this board imploding... lol.

2-4 among the next 6 gets us to 6-7 in the league. After that, you win 5 of the next 7 against the bottom of the league to bring us 11-9 overall - we've all gotta be ecstatic about that.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Scoop Snoop on January 17, 2022, 10:20:27 AM
I said 6-0 ... because somebody had to!

I KNEW it was you! I knew it!
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Goose on January 17, 2022, 10:23:12 AM
For the first time in a long time, I am only looking one game at time. The upcoming schedule is very tough and knowing how guys respond to good or bad games is tough to predict. This team has shown they are tough mentally and they are going to need all of that toughness over next three weeks. They are playing well, look confident and I hope that carries over during this stretch.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: tower912 on January 17, 2022, 10:26:56 AM
I am expecting a head-scratching clunker among the next 6 games and I look forward to this board imploding... lol.

2-4 among the next 6 gets us to 6-7 in the league. After that, you win 5 of the next 7 against the bottom of the league to bring us 11-9 overall - we've all gotta be ecstatic about that.
Unless they reschedule SJU, MU will only play 19 conference games this season.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Scoop Snoop on January 17, 2022, 10:28:33 AM
For the first time in a long time, I am only looking one game at time. The upcoming schedule is very tough and knowing how guys respond to good or bad games is tough to predict. This team has shown they are tough mentally and they are going to need all of that toughness over next three weeks. They are playing well, look confident and I hope that carries over during this stretch.

C'mon Goose! Let's hear your guess.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: TheREALwrk on January 17, 2022, 10:31:55 AM
Unless they reschedule SJU, MU will only play 19 conference games this season.

Good point. Haven't read much about that - are they planning on rescheduling? Or only if necessary?
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Goose on January 17, 2022, 10:32:42 AM
Scoop

In addition to taking it one game at time, I am nervous for the first time in nearly a decade. The boys have their tourney hopes at their fingertips and we will see if they deliver the goods. My gut tells me that they will continue to surprise on the upside, what that means over next six is up for debate. That said, 2-4 would be disappointing to me.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: jfp61 on January 17, 2022, 10:40:10 AM
Were projected to win 1.83 games over this stretch. so the correct answer is 2-4.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: JakeBarnes on January 17, 2022, 10:42:09 AM
Scoop

In addition to taking it one game at time, I am nervous for the first time in nearly a decade. The boys have their tourney hopes at their fingertips and we will see if they deliver the goods. My gut tells me that they will continue to surprise on the upside, what that means over next six is up for debate. That said, 2-4 would be disappointing to me.

Beat Nova on Wednesday. Have an oddly good feeling about it like I did the Illini game.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Ardmore Mug on January 17, 2022, 10:43:21 AM
I went 4-2 ! ! !  Because in the Early season poll, I said 20 wins ! ! !   8-)  GO WARRIORS ! ! !
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Scoop Snoop on January 17, 2022, 11:17:38 AM
Good point. Haven't read much about that - are they planning on rescheduling? Or only if necessary?

To repeat what I said in another thread- I hope the game is not rescheduled. St. Johns at Carnesecca is scary. If they beat us and end up maybe #9 in the BE, it's not a good look. I hope that we get out of a rescheduled game and play a team like VCU in Milwaukee in lieu of St. Johns in NY.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: cheebs09 on January 17, 2022, 11:20:56 AM
To repeat what I said in another thread- I hope the game is not rescheduled. St. Johns at Carnesecca is scary. If they beat us and end up maybe #9 in the BE, it's not a good look. I hope that we get out of a rescheduled game and play a team like VCU in Milwaukee in lieu of St. Johns in NY.

And risk our big men transferring to VCU and Richmond?

In all seriousness, are any other BE teams adding non-conference games? This far into the season and with a few teams with multiple games to make up, I have to think decisions need to be made soon. MU has actually been pretty lucky in postponed games so far.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: NCMUFan on January 17, 2022, 11:31:31 AM
Luck or by being careful, I am thankful MU has not had to cancel any games on account of themselves.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: cheebs09 on January 17, 2022, 11:34:02 AM
Luck or by being careful, I am thankful MU has not had to cancel any games on account of themselves.

Yea, I meant more from other teams. I think Shaka and the team should be applauded for having everyone vaccinated and boosted so quickly.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: User Name #251 on January 17, 2022, 11:34:56 AM
Luck or by being careful, I am thankful MU has not had to cancel any games on account of themselves.


They are also fully vaccinated which means they are tested only when symptomatic.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: MU82 on January 17, 2022, 06:47:06 PM
For the first time in a long time, I am only looking one game at time. The upcoming schedule is very tough and knowing how guys respond to good or bad games is tough to predict. This team has shown they are tough mentally and they are going to need all of that toughness over next three weeks. They are playing well, look confident and I hope that carries over during this stretch.

The fun thing about being fans is that we don't have to take it one game at a time. If we take it 3 or 5 or 7 games at a time, it doesn't affect anything! But I do get what you are saying.

Were projected to win 1.83 games over this stretch. so the correct answer is 2-4.

Thankfully, such projections mean squat.

I KNEW it was you! I knew it!

If I've gotta be serious, I'll go with at least 3-3. I'd be more surprised by 1-5 than I would by 5-1. I'm really liking this team's chutzpah!
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on January 17, 2022, 06:50:45 PM
I'm pretty set on the fact that it will be 2-4. And im guessing 2 of the 4 losses will be competitive if not completely down to the wire. I think at Nova and one of the other road games we mostly get crushed.

I'd actually be pretty pretty surprised both ways(worse than 2-4 or better).

Would absolutely love getting 3 wins though. Man that would put us in good shape.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Goose on January 17, 2022, 07:52:10 PM
82

My only reason for going one at time is because a lot has changed in two weeks. I would not be surprised if they are in better position a week from now. I said I would be disappointed at 2-4.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: MU82 on January 17, 2022, 09:42:17 PM
82

My only reason for going one at time is because a lot has changed in two weeks. I would not be surprised if they are in better position a week from now. I said I would be disappointed at 2-4.

Reasonable, Goose. Thanks.

For me, the level of "disappointment" in losses will directly correlate with how a loss occurred. If the team plays extremely hard, executes, plays good D, etc, but the ball's just not going through the hoop ... and/or if the other team is just making shots out their rumps, I will be much less disappointed than if we give one away via turnovers, missed bunnies, silly decisions, etc.

So I guess in that respect I'll be taking 'em one at a time, too.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: DoctorV on January 17, 2022, 11:00:53 PM
Likely underdogs in every game, 161 votes and ZERO 0-6 votes.

Who woulda thought MUScoop is such an optimistic place.

Also, over 80% voted 2 or more wins.

I went with 2-4, and Id be pretty happy with that. If MU wins on Wednesday I’d say 3-3 is a good possibility but still wouldn’t be disappointed with 2-4.

I think 4 or more wins is a pipe dream, but pressure can either bust pipes or build diamonds.
That would probably mean a top 3/4 conference finish and pretty solid tourney seed.

Fwiw I do not think this Wednesdays game is impossible, I actually don’t have a terrible feeling about it. If I had to rank from most to least difficult based on gut feeling I’d go with
@ UConn
@ Nova
@ Providence
V Nova
V Xavier
@ SH

I really like the idea of sweeping SH this season. They have a home and home on Saturday and Monday versus StJ, who runs like hell, and then get MU Wednesday at 4PM.

Xavier on a Sunday afternoon should hopefully draw a really nice crowd (packers play Sat night so hopefully they win and fans come fired up on sunday).

Wednesday night 9PM v Nova and they get UConn on Saturday at 11AM, maybe a bit of a trap game for most teams but it’s Jay Wright.

Don’t like playing at the Dunkin Donuts Center at 330 on a Saturday and Cooley will have his dudes fired up, but they have cancellations and make up games so that might help MU.

No logic behind calling @UConn tougher than @Nova, but that game is sandwiched between road games at Villanova and at Xavier for them so they will likely want a win badly.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Scoop Snoop on January 18, 2022, 08:33:43 AM
Interesting post Dr. V. You surprised me by listing SH at the bottom of your list but I get your logic. Teams that have to sandwich in make up games may be at a disadvantage and yeah, St. Johns will definitely make them run.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: MU82 on January 18, 2022, 10:02:55 AM
Likely underdogs in every game

How many times have we been underdogs to this point? What is our record in those games?

I am NOT being snarky. I don't track this kind of stuff and I'm legit curious after you and others have pointed this out in regards to the stretch that began Saturday.

Is it possible our team is better than kenpom and torvik and NET and whateverwhatever.com say we are?
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: brewcity77 on January 18, 2022, 10:18:52 AM
I went 3-3. I agree with Dr. V's assessment of the SHU game (that's a lot of up-tempo games in a 5-day stretch), think we catch Xavier at home (we almost caught them in Cincy before they took over late), and think we're a matchup problem for Providence.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: JakeBarnes on January 18, 2022, 10:55:57 AM
I went 3-3 but don't hate it if we are at 2-4.

Agree with brew that we seem to be a bad matchup for Providence and we hung with X on the road--that's 2 of the wins.

Honestly don't know where the third comes from--heart says we steal one from Nova tomorrow, but my mind says it's probably SHU.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: JamilJaeJamailJrJuan on January 18, 2022, 11:03:22 AM
Anything 2-4 or better we're in great shape.  Winning the last three was enormous, and frankly necessary. 
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: fjm on January 18, 2022, 12:36:09 PM
It’s wild. Before this 7 game stretch started I hoped for 2-5.

Now with the SHU win I can see 2-4 happening.

If you would have told me at the start of the 7 game gauntlet that 3-4 was possible I woulda shat happy bricks
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: jimmybutlerfanatic on January 19, 2022, 09:20:16 PM
1 - 0 so far!

Great start!
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: JakeBarnes on January 19, 2022, 11:13:57 PM
Beat Nova on Wednesday. Have an oddly good feeling about it like I did the Illini game.

My feeling became reality! I still know nothing though
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: DoctorV on January 19, 2022, 11:19:03 PM
My feeling became reality! I still know nothing though

Nice gut!

“I went with 2-4, and Id be pretty happy with that. If MU wins on Wednesday I’d say 3-3 is a good possibility but still wouldn’t be disappointed with 2-4.

I think 4 or more wins is a pipe dream, but pressure can either bust pipes or build diamonds.
That would probably mean a top 3/4 conference finish and pretty solid tourney seed.

Fwiw I do not think this Wednesdays game is impossible, I actually don’t have a terrible feeling about it. If I had to rank from most to least difficult based on gut feeling I’d go with
@ UConn
@ Nova
@ Providence
V Nova
V Xavier
@ SH


Best part about the above is that I have my 2 “easiest” rated games coming up next.
As I said I hope the home crowd caries Marquette on Sunday, I think the team needs every bit of it as X isn’t a great matchup for us and is tough as nails.

Then I like what goes into that SH game on the road and I like the idea of sweeping them this season.

Odds are both won’t happen but lets get Sunday and see what happens in Joisey
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: warriorchick on January 23, 2022, 03:48:06 PM
Is it too late to change my vote?
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: 1SE on January 23, 2022, 03:49:15 PM
Exceeding expectations
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on January 23, 2022, 03:49:44 PM
Well, I lost aready
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: DoctorV on January 23, 2022, 03:50:54 PM
Well, I lost aready

118 voters already lost, including the both of us 😂
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: dgies9156 on January 23, 2022, 03:51:12 PM
I was one of the 11 who voted 4-2.

I’m feeling I may be wrong — it could be better!
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: cheebs09 on January 23, 2022, 03:51:45 PM
It’s wild. Before this 7 game stretch started I hoped for 2-5.

Now with the SHU win I can see 2-4 happening.

If you would have told me at the start of the 7 game gauntlet that 3-4 was possible I woulda shat happy bricks

How we feelin?
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: NCMUFan on January 23, 2022, 03:53:38 PM
I said 6-0 for no other reason than "why not".
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: CountryRoads on January 23, 2022, 03:57:55 PM
Feeling good about the 5-1 I picked. We have as good of a team and as a good of coach (maybe other than Wright) as any in this conference.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: #Unleash? on January 23, 2022, 05:41:26 PM
I was one of the 11 who voted 4-2.

I’m feeling I may be wrong — it could be better!

Hello friend
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: mileskishnish72 on January 23, 2022, 06:22:36 PM
Well, they've already met my mark. Now if they don't double it I'm going to be depressed.

The Hall will be a tough out at the Rock. I would LOVE a win @PC . Beat VU again at home and go to Hartford on a huge roll. This year has already exceeded my expectations, but God, I love gravy.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: JakeBarnes on January 23, 2022, 06:24:24 PM
Well, they've already met my mark. Now if they don't double it I'm going to be depressed.

The Hall will be a tough out at the Rock. I would LOVE a win @PC . Beat VU again at home and go to Hartford on a huge roll. This year has already exceeded my expectations, but God, I love gravy.

Here for the gravy as well. Think we could have a big week here. Aiken may be out and I just think we match well against Providence
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 23, 2022, 06:28:17 PM
Still haven’t reached my optimistic pick of 3-3. Now I’m hoping that I underestimated these guys.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: DoctorV on January 23, 2022, 06:39:39 PM
Here for the gravy as well. Think we could have a big week here. Aiken may be out and I just think we match well against Providence

IF you are right and Marquette wins both road games this week we are no longer talking about making the dance.

We are no longer talking about BECOY because coach smart would have almost damn near clinched it.

We are then talking about BE titles and protected top 5 seeds. We are talking about a top 15 team in all the land.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on January 23, 2022, 06:48:12 PM
Here for the gravy as well. Think we could have a big week here. Aiken may be out and I just think we match well against Providence

Might need our boys to read the SHU board.

Few of their posters think we basically suck and are a total fluke. Justin and Daryl being our only good players
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Goose on January 23, 2022, 06:56:04 PM
DoctorV

Somebody has to win the BE and be a top five seed, why not the good guys? We have a tough stretch and need to stay sharp, and let’s see what happens. I would not be surprised if we were in a better position in three weeks.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: jimmybutlerfanatic on January 23, 2022, 09:03:10 PM
1 - 0 so far!

Great start!


2 - 0
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Ardmore Mug on January 23, 2022, 09:06:42 PM
WELLLLLL !!!!!
2022, 10:43:21 AM »
QuoteModify
I went 4-2 ! ! !  Because in the Early season poll, I said 20 wins ! ! !   8-)  GO WARRIORS ! ! !
No changes from me !!!!   WELLL   we shall see ! ! !
  8-)
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: VanderBlueFanClub on January 23, 2022, 09:08:26 PM
I think we go 5-1, I think we drop Seton Hall, but that's it.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: GooooMarquette on January 23, 2022, 11:06:15 PM
6-0, because why the hell not?
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: CountryRoads on January 23, 2022, 11:13:40 PM
Assuming the St Johns game is not made up, I’d say our magic number is 4 to lock up a bid. I find it hard to believe we’d be left out at 18-13 (10-9), assuming a first round exit in BET.

That’s a 4-7 finish even with this good run. Many on here predicted 2-4 in this stretch. That would have put much more pressure on a really strong finish.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: 1SE on January 24, 2022, 02:39:00 AM
Assuming the St Johns game is not made up, I’d say our magic number is 4 to lock up a bid. I find it hard to believe we’d be left out at 18-13 (10-9), assuming a first round exit in BET.

That’s a 4-7 finish even with this good run. Many on here predicted 2-4 in this stretch. That would have put much more pressure on a really strong finish.

Yeah, 18 is for real a mortal lock now with the wins we have. If we don't get there considering we the wins we have  that would be a major melt down considering we have 5 games left against the bottom feeders.

I think the more meaningful conversation now is seed. I don't know if Brew,'s magic machine can do all the permutations, but it seems like a 21-10 record should be about a 6 seed which would be great to get out of the 7-10 range which makes the second weekend much tricker. We've already beaten a few teams of 3-seed caliber.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: 1SE on January 24, 2022, 06:27:30 AM
That said, as of right now four I-A games in a row coming up - out of the fire into the frying pan.

But about an 80% chance we win at least one. 40% chance we win 2 or more. 1.2% chance we win em all...
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: lawdog77 on January 24, 2022, 06:48:29 AM
Not sure where to ask this, so I'll put it here.
Why do sites list us in 5th, when we are a game out of first, but Creighton and Uconn are listed ahead, when they are 1.5 out of first?
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on January 24, 2022, 06:56:08 AM
Not sure where to ask this, so I'll put it here.
Why do sites list us in 5th, when we are a game out of first, but Creighton and Uconn are listed ahead, when they are 1.5 out of first?

Those sites are wrong. We all have the same win %. But we have played 3 more games, its supposed to go to us.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: wadesworld on January 24, 2022, 08:47:41 AM
Those sites are wrong. We all have the same win %. But we have played 3 more games, its supposed to go to us.

Creighton and UCONN both have the head to head tiebreaker on us.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: brewcity77 on January 24, 2022, 08:49:28 AM
Yeah, 18 is for real a mortal lock now with the wins we have. If we don't get there considering we the wins we have  that would be a major melt down considering we have 5 games left against the bottom feeders.

I think the more meaningful conversation now is seed. I don't know if Brew,'s magic machine can do all the permutations, but it seems like a 21-10 record should be about a 6 seed which would be great to get out of the 7-10 range which makes the second weekend much tricker. We've already beaten a few teams of 3-seed caliber.

I haven't rescrubbed yet, but I think (including a BET loss) 18-13 gives us a chance, 19-12 makes us a lock, 20+ gets us into single digit seed territory. 21-10 would probably have us in the 6-8 range depending on what other teams do. FWIW, Dave Ommen has us as a 4-seed as of this morning. He's typically one of the best in the business. I'm not sure I agree with him yet, but we are starting to fly pretty high.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: tower912 on January 24, 2022, 09:24:24 AM
Brew, recalibrate down to 30.   Unlikely SJU is rescheduled.   31 means first round Big East Loss.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Herman Cain on January 24, 2022, 09:58:28 AM
I was in 3-3 camp when the poll came out.

Hoping we can out perform that.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Galway Eagle on January 24, 2022, 10:06:06 AM
I was in 3-3 camp when the poll came out.

Hoping we can out perform that.

Same, 1 more W to go.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: brewcity77 on January 24, 2022, 10:09:19 AM
Brew, recalibrate down to 30.   Unlikely SJU is rescheduled.   31 means first round Big East Loss.

My original post factored in a first-round BET loss:

I haven't rescrubbed yet, but I think (including a BET loss) 18-13 gives us a chance, 19-12 makes us a lock, 20+ gets us into single digit seed territory.

I know some are optimistic about 18-13 being enough, but consider what that means. Only 4 wins in our last 10, which means taking at least one bad loss, most likely DePaul or Butler on the road. And 10-9 in the Big East probably puts us into 6th or 7th place in the league, so assuming a BET first round loss means losing on Wednesday to either Georgetown or Butler.

We're in good shape now, but I'm not sure we're in good enough shape that 18-13 with two bad losses and no more quality wins added makes us a lock even for Dayton. 19 wins is a better target, even if one is just avoiding a bad loss by beating Georgetown or Butler on Wednesday.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: rocky_warrior on January 24, 2022, 10:16:51 AM
We're in good shape now, but I'm not sure we're in good enough shape that 18-13 with two bad losses and no more quality wins added makes us a lock even for Dayton. 19 wins is a better target, even if one is just avoiding a bad loss by beating Georgetown or Butler on Wednesday.

Agreed.  But keep playing as well as the last 6 games, and we don't even have to worry about it :)
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: brewcity77 on January 24, 2022, 10:19:10 AM
Agreed.  But keep playing as well as the last 6 games, and we don't even have to worry about it :)

Keep playing as well as we have been and we'll be looking at a protected seed and griping about how we can't play in our home arena.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: mug644 on January 24, 2022, 10:27:36 AM
Not sure where to ask this, so I'll put it here.
Why do sites list us in 5th, when we are a game out of first, but Creighton and Uconn are listed ahead, when they are 1.5 out of first?

Those sites are wrong. We all have the same win %. But we have played 3 more games, its supposed to go to us.

Creighton and UCONN both have the head to head tiebreaker on us.

Is that right, that the tiebreaker when winning percentage is the same goes immediately to head to head matchups? That does seem to be what's going on with MU listed in 5th.

I would've guess that the number of wins would come first as a tiebreaker following winning percentage, putting MU ahead of both UConn and Creighton. I guess you can see it as sort of penalizing teams that don't play as many games, but you might just as easily want to acknowledge when a team can maintain the same percentage over more games.

Oh, well. Just keep winning!
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: rocky_warrior on January 24, 2022, 10:30:17 AM
I'm not sure who's right or wrong, BE has us listed 3rd.
https://www.bigeast.com/standings.aspx?path=mbball
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: brewcity77 on January 24, 2022, 10:36:09 AM
I'm not sure who's right or wrong, BE has us listed 3rd.
https://www.bigeast.com/standings.aspx?path=mbball

We're likely listed third due to win quantity, but if those were the season ending standings, we'd be the 5-seed in the BET. Because of the tie in winning percentage, it would go to the "mini-conference" looking at record in games between those three teams. Both UConn and Creighton are 1-0 while we are 0-2, so we're out. They haven't played, so the next tiebreaker is win over the highest ranked team in league. Neither has beaten Providence (too bad we're eliminated before it gets to that tiebreaker) so the highest win would be Creighton's win at home over #2 Villanova. So standings would be...

1) Providence
2) Villanova
3) Creighton
4) UConn
5) Marquette

We would play UConn on Thursday as it stands.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: mug644 on January 24, 2022, 10:43:32 AM
Thanks for the details, Brew. Interesting that most listings I've seen has MU 5th, but, as Rocky points out, on the Big East website, MU is 3rd. You'd think that would be the ONE platform that would apply the seeding criteria for their own conference to the standings calculations!
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: BM1090 on January 24, 2022, 04:39:03 PM
Agree with Brew. 19 wins pre-BET and we should be a lock. 18 is very dicey. Torvik projects an 18-12 MU team as one of the last four teams in prior to the BET. It would be close.

Get to 19-11 (11-8) and we jump up thirteen places to the best 9 seed. 20-10 (12-7) moves us to the top 7 seed.

The good news is that with 5 games left against Butler, DePaul, SJU and Georgetown, we shouldn't have trouble getting to 19 wins unless we fall off a cliff.

Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Goose on January 24, 2022, 04:55:14 PM
I forgot about getting 18 or 19 wins about nine months ago. Take care of business and there is no anxiety come BE tourney. If they do not win 20+ I will be disappointed.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Dr. Blackheart on January 24, 2022, 05:35:53 PM
I forgot about getting 18 or 19 wins about nine months ago. Take care of business and there is no anxiety come BE tourney. If they do not win 20+ I will be disappointed.

We are half through our toughest conference stretch. Let's just win the conference.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Goose on January 24, 2022, 06:47:14 PM
Dr. B

Someone is going to win it, why the hell not  us?
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Dr. Blackheart on January 24, 2022, 06:51:06 PM
Dr. B

Someone is going to win it, why the hell not  us?

Nova owes us one after we gifted 2019 to them.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Miss Katie’s on January 24, 2022, 06:57:59 PM
https://getyarn.io/yarn-clip/766e58d0-8f67-4e4e-aa0a-64172c4bb36e
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: warriorchick on January 24, 2022, 07:35:04 PM
https://getyarn.io/yarn-clip/766e58d0-8f67-4e4e-aa0a-64172c4bb36e

(https://y.yarn.co/766e58d0-8f67-4e4e-aa0a-64172c4bb36e_text.gif)

FIFY
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: MU82 on January 24, 2022, 09:53:28 PM
Dr. B

Someone is going to win it, why the hell not  us?

You and Dr. B got that right, Goose!
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: The Lens on January 25, 2022, 11:58:13 AM
We are half through our toughest conference stretch. Let's just win the conference.

Yep, let's give 'em the Marquette they thought they were getting when they put this thing together.

Old Complaint Box: Marquette ain't holding up their end of the donkey

New Complaint Box: We didn't order the Al McGuire version
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: fjm on January 25, 2022, 12:00:30 PM
How we feelin?

Getting nervous… shatting bricks is definitely going to hurt. ;)
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Miss Katie’s on January 25, 2022, 12:15:43 PM
(https://y.yarn.co/766e58d0-8f67-4e4e-aa0a-64172c4bb36e_text.gif)

FIFY

Thank you!  For whatever reason, I just couldn’t get it to work. 
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: TallTitan34 on January 25, 2022, 01:03:13 PM
(https://y.yarn.co/766e58d0-8f67-4e4e-aa0a-64172c4bb36e_text.gif)

FIFY

(https://www.muscoop.com/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=62799.0;attach=10211;image)

Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Bo Ryan's Massage Therapist on January 26, 2022, 09:16:32 PM
Geezus was I wrong on this.  I thought 3 wins.  This team is HOT!!!
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: jimmybutlerfanatic on January 26, 2022, 09:36:12 PM
3 - 0!

Congrats to 32.2% of the voters who were right!

Let's go another 3 - 0.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: JakeBarnes on January 26, 2022, 10:39:44 PM
I went 3-3 but don't hate it if we are at 2-4.

Agree with brew that we seem to be a bad matchup for Providence and we hung with X on the road--that's 2 of the wins.

Honestly don't know where the third comes from--heart says we steal one from Nova tomorrow, but my mind says it's probably SHU.

*reads the above*

(https://c.tenor.com/4VMRd86DjBkAAAAC/easter-funny-shrek.gif)
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: WarriorFan on January 26, 2022, 11:50:51 PM
I never thought being wrong could make me so happy.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: 1SE on January 27, 2022, 04:35:34 AM
That said, as of right now four I-A games in a row coming up - out of the fire into the frying pan.

But about an 80% chance we win at least one. 40% chance we win 2 or more. 1.2% chance we win em all...

This team. About a 70% chance we win at least 1 of the next three. 25% chance we win 2 or more. 3.5% chance we win all three.

Why not - the chance of winning the last 7 in a row was like 0.1% - I sure hope one of you gamblors had that on a parlay and are now able to retire.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Skatastrophy on January 27, 2022, 08:19:36 AM
I guessed 4-2, and I feel like I wasn't being optimistic enough at this point.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Ardmore Mug on January 27, 2022, 08:53:45 AM
I guessed 4-2, and I feel like I wasn't being optimistic enough at this point.
Me too ! ! !  I think too many of the naysayers here affected my internal optimism ! ! ! :-\
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Scoop Snoop on January 27, 2022, 08:57:20 AM
Me too ! ! !  I think too many of the naysayers here affected my internal optimism ! ! ! :-\

Damn those nattering nabobs of negativism!
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Pepe Sylvia on January 27, 2022, 02:16:13 PM
I voted 6-0 baby, but that was after the nova win so I was cheating a teensy bit.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: mileskishnish72 on January 28, 2022, 09:27:54 PM
Well, my natural pessimism has rendered me already wrong.

It's interesting that it's likely that the (approximately) 20% who picked 4, 5, or 6 wins will be right.

I have to improve my attitude. I have to adjust to the fact that Wojo is gone. The Shaka era is here and let's go, Warriors!
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: warriorchick on January 29, 2022, 11:48:39 AM
Well, my natural pessimism has rendered me already wrong.

It's interesting that it's likely that the (approximately) 20% who picked 4, 5, or 6 wins will be right.

I have to improve my attitude. I have to adjust to the fact that Wojo is gone. The Shaka era is here and let's go, Warriors!

You aren't a pessimist. You're a realist.

Let's face it. This team has exceeded everyone's expectations, except for perhaps their own.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Goose on January 29, 2022, 01:10:01 PM
Chick

They have not surpassed my expectations. That said, I hope they do over the next eight weeks.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: brewcity77 on January 29, 2022, 01:19:12 PM
Chick

They have not surpassed my expectations. That said, I hope they do over the next eight weeks.

The way things are going, let’s be greedy and hope for nine!
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: jimmybutlerfanatic on February 02, 2022, 11:14:01 PM
4 - 1!

Worst case 4 - 2.

Best case 5 -1. Let's do it!
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: BLWarrior91 on February 02, 2022, 11:50:22 PM
4 - 1!

Worst case 4 - 2.

Best case 5 -1. Let's do it!

Let’s go for 5-1!  After UConn,  we could run the table.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Mu8891 on February 02, 2022, 11:55:18 PM
As some talking head said last week,..

The hottest team in the country other than Auburn ...

Keep it up ... sweet 16 and beyond

Go Warriors!!
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: jimmybutlerfanatic on February 08, 2022, 08:57:52 PM
4 - 2

Congrats to the 23 voters who were correct!

No complaints with this 6 game record. We're on the right path and trajectory.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: Ardmore Mug on February 08, 2022, 09:42:34 PM
YEP, I felt 4-2 would be very doable, and according to my Pre-Season Prognostication, I still feel a 20 win season will happen and along with the NCAAT berth  ! ! !  8-)   GO WARRIORS ! ! !
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: JakeBarnes on February 08, 2022, 10:14:27 PM
Picked 3-3 and felt I was optimistic there. Good work by the team
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: PointWarrior on February 08, 2022, 10:47:58 PM
Picked 3-3 - happy I was undershooting.

O-6 ?   1 poster - I assume it’s our miserable f’ing turd of a poster. 
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: lawdog77 on February 09, 2022, 07:30:00 AM
4 - 2

Congrats to the 23 voters who were correct!

No complaints with this 6 game record. We're on the right path and trajectory.
Its up to 25 voters now.
Title: Re: POLL: Record Over the Next 6 Games
Post by: TAMU Eagle on February 09, 2022, 08:22:04 AM
I said 2-4. Very happy with what Shaka and the guys have put together so far.