MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: 1SE on January 14, 2019, 02:42:14 PM

Title: Magic Number
Post by: 1SE on January 14, 2019, 02:42:14 PM
Never too soon to start thinking about March. What do we need to put on our dancing shoes?
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: BM1090 on January 14, 2019, 02:44:17 PM
I think we get in with 6 more. But 7 more to be a stone cold lock.
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: jsglow on January 14, 2019, 02:46:09 PM
I'm thinking about tomorrow.
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: TAMU, Knower of Ball on January 14, 2019, 02:54:47 PM
Honestly I think a 6-8 finish would do it, provided wins like Buffalo, Louisville, Wisconsin, and K-State continue to hold up.

That being said, let's just go 14-0 and remove all doubt  ;D
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: brewcity77 on January 14, 2019, 02:55:28 PM
The answer is always against anyone. The "easiest" path would be winning our six non-Nova home games (all 67+% per Pomeroy). If the argument is we need that Nova game for the Q1, that means taking of the others and turning it into a worse loss. Any 6 would do.

But it's irrelevant because we're winning the league  8-)
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: wadesworld on January 14, 2019, 02:59:39 PM
1-0 against Georgetown tomorrow night will keep us on the track we need to be on to win the BE.
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: LoudMouth on January 14, 2019, 03:04:08 PM
If this question upsets me I can't imagine what Guru is thinking. I very much don't want to be thinking what is the minimum amount that we have to do. If we finish 6-8 and make the tournament as 10 seed that would be embarrassing
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: 1SE on January 14, 2019, 03:24:12 PM
If this question upsets me I can't imagine what Guru is thinking. I very much don't want to be thinking what is the minimum amount that we have to do. If we finish 6-8 and make the tournament as 10 seed that would be embarrassing

Just nice to think that we could be playing for "seeding" by mid-February. A nice change from seasons past.
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: LoudMouth on January 14, 2019, 03:29:30 PM
Just nice to think that we could be playing for "seeding" by mid-February. A nice change from seasons past.
(knocks on wood)  Very much agreed. Bubble watch is not enjoyable
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: Benny B on January 14, 2019, 04:32:17 PM
Just nice to think that we could be playing for "seeding" location by mid-February. A nice change from seasons past.

FIFY.  Viva Des Moines.
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: ChitownSpaceForRent on January 14, 2019, 04:43:43 PM
FIFY.  Viva Des Moines.

Never would I have thought that Viva Des Moines would be used in a positive manner with no sarcastic intentions.
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: 🏀 on January 14, 2019, 04:54:37 PM
Never would I have thought that Viva Des Moines would be used in a positive manner with no sarcastic intentions.

Des Moines is unnatural carnal knowledgeing awesome.
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: RushmoreAcademy on January 14, 2019, 04:56:21 PM
I'm thinking about tomorrow.

That only makes a difference if you play for the team.
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: bilsu on January 14, 2019, 05:03:38 PM
7 wins is a lock. 6 depends on bubble.
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: jsglow on January 14, 2019, 05:14:39 PM
That only makes a difference if you play for the team.

How do you know that I don't?   8-)
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: RushmoreAcademy on January 14, 2019, 05:27:15 PM
How do you know that I don't?   8-)

Ahhh.  Touché.
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: Silkk the Shaka on January 14, 2019, 05:46:16 PM
1-0 against Georgetown tomorrow night will keep us on the track we need to be on to win the BE.

Typical beta comment.
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: Herman Cain on January 14, 2019, 05:59:31 PM
I have been pretty consistent on this:
 
12 Big East Wins A Lock
11 Big East Wins Probable
10 Big East Wins starts to Gets Dicey

This is not a year a 9 win team in conference will get in.

Lunardi says these are conference numbers

CONFERENCE   TEAMS
Big Ten         10
ACC                   8
SEC                   7
Big 12           7
Big East           5
American           3
Mountain West   2
Pac-12           2

 
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: brewcity77 on January 14, 2019, 06:09:14 PM
I have been pretty consistent on this:
 
12 Big East Wins A Lock
11 Big East Wins Probable
10 Big East Wins starts to Gets Dicey

This is not a year a 9 win team in conference will get in.

It depends on who the 9 win team is. We would be in with 9. Seton Hall would have a shot. Maybe Nova depending on the bubble. Butler most likely out. Everyone else definitely out.

Look at last year's Pac-12 standings and bids to confirm this. Arizona State got in at 8-10 while USC was left out at 12-6. The heavy lifting we did in November and December gives us more margin for error.
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: MuMark on January 14, 2019, 06:46:08 PM
Why do we have to through this every year?

Last season we were 9-9 .......NIT 2 seed

Butler 9-9 in conference.....10 seed NCAA.....

Full body of work.......conference record isn't a thing.......Nebraska was 13-5 in the Big 10......didn't get a sniff. 5 seed NIT.



Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: wadesworld on January 14, 2019, 09:27:06 PM
Typical beta comment.

I’m going to go crawl into my safe space now.
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: MU82 on January 14, 2019, 10:19:48 PM
Let's get the 7 wins, preferably with #7 coming on National Marquette Day, and then start worrying about seeding.

(Kinda sorta wades like there, I admit.)
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: muguru on January 14, 2019, 10:38:37 PM
I mean barring some sort of monumental disaster...they are playing for seeding right now.
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: MUBigDance on January 14, 2019, 11:16:23 PM
How does this sound?
We Will do great until the last 5 games. 12-1 or 11-2. There are 4 in a row, 3tough roads and CR here, that will set our seed. 4-0 in those we are elite 2 seed. 3-1 3 seed,  2-2 were a 4, 1-3 a 5 seed, 0-4 6 seed.
We’ll win the last one at home regardless. And 1-2 wins in the BET
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: dgies9156 on January 14, 2019, 11:19:00 PM
Des Moines is unnatural carnal knowledgeing awesome.

Viva Des Moines my backside!

Viva Jacksonville and a short drive up I 95!
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: MU82 on January 14, 2019, 11:48:56 PM
Viva Des Moines my backside!

Viva Jacksonville and a short drive up I 95!

I agree with this analysis (except for me it's a not-too-bad drive down I-95!).
Title: Re: Magic Number
Post by: RushmoreAcademy on January 15, 2019, 07:38:01 AM
Oh, I have an idea.  Let's win the conference tournament just to be sure.