I find this to be a quite useful exercise leading up to every year, and a great barometer after the season ends. Full thoughts (and last year's results) at the link.
https://painttouches.com/2025/10/31/marquette-basketball-minutes-projections-for-2026-chase-ross/?utm_source=MUScoop&utm_medium=Forum (https://painttouches.com/2025/10/31/marquette-basketball-minutes-projections-for-2026-chase-ross/?utm_source=MUScoop&utm_medium=Forum)
(https://painttouches.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/image-16.png)
And this year, I also enlisted some thoughts from a few others.
(https://painttouches.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/image-20.png)
I've been on record, and I'll double down, that Chase Ross will play 34/35mpg given health.
His versatility allows him to play at the 1-4 spots. We have 2 capable PGs, and I doubt we go small enough often enough to get him heavy minutes at the 4, but the SJ22 and NJ combo could put him at the 4 and he's handled the ball enough to play the 1 in an emergency.
He's out stud, a super versatile stud that absolutely brings it on the defensive end, and is a Sr in a year with a bunch of unknowns. If several additional studs don't develop fast he will play all the minutes.
34/35 on avg imo.
My guess for the others
-Benny 20, Caedin 12, Clark 4 and Parham 4 mpg there in a "small" lineup at the 5
-SJ22/Nigel I agree with the allocation at the 1
- I think Benny at the 4 is a pipe dream, most of his mins come at the 5, but I'll give him 2 mins at the 4 (22 total). At the 4, Parham gets the lions share with 22ish mpg (26 total). Damarius with 13, Caedin 3 (15 total).
- At the 3 I'll say Zaide with 22 minutes (22 total). Damarius with the 7 (20 total). Chase with 9, Phillips 2
- At the 2 Chase with 25mpg (34 total) Tre with 6, Stevens with 6, Phillips 1, SJ22 with 2 (26 total for him).
Of course Chase and Zaide at the 2/3 are pretty interchangeable.
I think Nigel will be very good, but could see Adrien dipping into his minutes. In that case SJ2 would play more at the 1, Adrien would get more at the 2 and it would trickle down.
Also, if Zaide or Damarius enter stud realm they will obviously get more minutes and would be less for the others, would be a good problem to have