MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: Jay Bee on March 05, 2025, 11:59:27 AM

Title: Minutes Continuity in 2025-26
Post by: Jay Bee on March 05, 2025, 11:59:27 AM
This season, Marquette's Minutes Continuity is 65.8%, good for #13 in the nation.. nationally, the average has dipped to just 33.7%, whereas up until a few years ago it tended to be around 50%. Next year, what will be average nationally? Tough call. We'll have some long-time players finally exhausting eligibility, but I also think there's in offset in that there seems to be a lot of transfers who are playing with a new team this season but could return next year.

Nonetheless, I think if you're a team around 54% next year, which is where I'd project MU to be, you're likely at least a top 50-75 team in Minutes Continuity.. that said, we are going to have a solid continuity profile next year assuming no transfers out / weird pro decisions / injuries.

Yes, we're losing three senior starters who log a lot of minutes.. but, we'll be returning a bunch.

Minutes Continuity, by the way, is defined here as same guy, same minutes -- that is, if you play 30% of the minutes this season, but grow that to 70% next season, the continuity credit is capped at 30%.

Now, in addition to being a team that I project to eclipse 50% in Minutes Continuity, we also have some asterisks that are noteworthy... in both returners who may see additional minutes, which is helpful... and also the redshirts. How much will the centers who are sitting play? Not sure. Hopefully we'll get good minutes from Sean... who will be a guy with multiple years in the program, but zero help to the Minutes Continuity calc... so, even at 54%, it may feel even 'better' than that.

We're losing a lot. But our continuity will again strong as compared to other teams. I'll still be trying to hold back tears on senior day.

Hopefully 13 months from now, Shaka will also be able to scream, '2 rings, baldy!!'.

PS - some are a little anxious based on the team's play of late.. I like to look at the season on the whole at times to get a feel for what I think is possible... and how well we're performed.. I had us at 8-3 in nonconf.. we were 1 game better. I had us at 14-6 in BEast play.. we sit at 13-5 with two challenging games to play.. feels pretty much in line with what I expected record-wise.

Offensively, I had a summer post re: four factors.. I hoped for a mid-30's AdjOE, but thought into the 40s was more likely. Despite crappy 3-point shooting, the turnover % has been insane and helped us greatly. Very impressive. This morning, we sit at #31 in AdjOE. This team still has elements that make me believe a magical run is possible.

Pray.
Title: Re: Minutes Continuity in 2025-26
Post by: The Sultan on March 05, 2025, 01:42:26 PM
Where does the Owen Freeman transfer fit into this?

All kidding aside, this is solid stuff JB.
Title: Re: Minutes Continuity in 2025-26
Post by: Newsdreams on March 05, 2025, 02:13:11 PM
Quote from: Jay Bee on March 05, 2025, 11:59:27 AMThis season, Marquette's Minutes Continuity is 65.8%, good for #13 in the nation.. nationally, the average has dipped to just 33.7%, whereas up until a few years ago it tended to be around 50%. Next year, what will be average nationally? Tough call. We'll have some long-time players finally exhausting eligibility, but I also think there's in offset in that there seems to be a lot of transfers who are playing with a new team this season but could return next year.

Nonetheless, I think if you're a team around 54% next year, which is where I'd project MU to be, you're likely at least a top 50-75 team in Minutes Continuity.. that said, we are going to have a solid continuity profile next year assuming no transfers out / weird pro decisions / injuries.

Yes, we're losing three senior starters who log a lot of minutes.. but, we'll be returning a bunch.

Minutes Continuity, by the way, is defined here as same guy, same minutes -- that is, if you play 30% of the minutes this season, but grow that to 70% next season, the continuity credit is capped at 30%.

Now, in addition to being a team that I project to eclipse 50% in Minutes Continuity, we also have some asterisks that are noteworthy... in both returners who may see additional minutes, which is helpful... and also the redshirts. How much will the centers who are sitting play? Not sure. Hopefully we'll get good minutes from Sean... who will be a guy with multiple years in the program, but zero help to the Minutes Continuity calc... so, even at 54%, it may feel even 'better' than that.

We're losing a lot. But our continuity will again strong as compared to other teams. I'll still be trying to hold back tears on senior day.

Hopefully 13 months from now, Shaka will also be able to scream, '2 rings, baldy!!'.

PS - some are a little anxious based on the team's play of late.. I like to look at the season on the whole at times to get a feel for what I think is possible... and how well we're performed.. I had us at 8-3 in nonconf.. we were 1 game better. I had us at 14-6 in BEast play.. we sit at 13-5 with two challenging games to play.. feels pretty much in line with what I expected record-wise.

Offensively, I had a summer post re: four factors.. I hoped for a mid-30's AdjOE, but thought into the 40s was more likely. Despite crappy 3-point shooting, the turnover % has been insane and helped us greatly. Very impressive. This morning, we sit at #31 in AdjOE. This team still has elements that make me believe a magical run is possible.

Pray.
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