I think I remember seeing something like this last year but this site calculates each Big East team's odds of making it to each round of the Big East Tournament. Not bad being the 5 seed and having a 30% shot at making the finals.
Our Odds Are:
Quarterfinals: 84.05%
Semifinals: 49.59%
Finals: 27.48%
Champs: 14.91%
http://www.teamrankings.com/ncbt/conference_tournaments.php?conf=bigeast (http://www.teamrankings.com/ncbt/conference_tournaments.php?conf=bigeast)
Interesting that they give us a better chance of making it to the semis through DePaul and UConn than they give UConn who would only have to win that 1 game.
Quote from: TallTitan34 on February 26, 2008, 06:35:08 PM
I think I remember seeing something like this last year but this site calculates each Big East team's odds of making it to each round of the Big East Tournament. Not bad being the 5 seed and having a 30% shot at making the finals.
Our Odds Are:
Quarterfinals: 84.05%
Semifinals: 49.59%
Finals: 27.48%
Champs: 14.91%
http://www.teamrankings.com/ncbt/conference_tournaments.php?conf=bigeast (http://www.teamrankings.com/ncbt/conference_tournaments.php?conf=bigeast)
15%? I don't know about that. Seems to me the odds are more around 1 in 6.
Quote from: drewm88 on February 26, 2008, 06:53:05 PM
Interesting that they give us a better chance of making it to the semis through DePaul and UConn than they give UConn who would only have to win that 1 game.
Their models have us rated slightly better than UConn.
Our better chance of reaching the finals is based on the mathematical fact that it's more likely that MU will beat two teams below them than UConn will beat one team above them.