MUScoop
MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: PaintTouches on October 10, 2023, 11:32:52 AM
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We're starting to get a trickle of 2024 projections come through, just enough to get a taste.
https://painttouches.com/2023/10/10/previewing-big-east-preview-season/ (https://painttouches.com/2023/10/10/previewing-big-east-preview-season/)
(https://painttouches.files.wordpress.com/2023/10/image-5.png)
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I know it doesn't mean much, but it will be interesting to see where MU is ranked with the first AP poll coming Monday, Oct 16th.
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I know it doesn't mean much, but it will be interesting to see where MU is ranked with the first AP poll coming Monday, Oct 16th.
I would guess higher than these metrics have them ranked. Bill Self said they'd be #1 right before OMax left.
Minus Omax
Plus Zaide, Tre, Al
I'll say 6 or 7.
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I would guess higher than these metrics have them ranked. Bill Self said they'd be #1 right before OMax left.
Minus Omax
Plus Zaide, Tre, Al
I'll say 6 or 7.
12, third in Big East.
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12, third in Big East.
But a final 4 or natty. :D
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I think these UConn projections are wild. Borderline absurd.
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How do the computer systems account for freshman? Is it based on composite recruiting rankings or is some human analyst providing input?
I agree that UConn’s numbers are ridiculous for a team that lost its three best players. They’ll go as far as Castle will take them (I’m not buying that Clingan is the next Edey), but I don’t know how you project that before the kid plays a college basketball game.
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Newton is very, very good.
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Newton is very, very good.
Newton did well as the fourth or fifth option on a team with three NBA players surrounding him. But he was less efficient as the lead option at ECU. This is a totally different role for him.
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How do the computer systems account for freshman? Is it based on composite recruiting rankings or is some human analyst providing input?
Each model has a way to account for assumed freshman production, but Torvik uses a blend of RSCI ranking and team needs, adjusting for the top 10. "1) I tweaked the recruiting points to make them even more top heavy, but also discounted them less. What this means is that top 10ish recruits are more important, 10-20 about the same, below that less important."
So for this season he sees Castle playing in 64% of minutes with an ORtg of 108 on 21% usage, for a line of 9.3pts, 4.4 rebs, 1.5 asts per game. https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Connecticut&year=2024 (https://barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Connecticut&year=2024)
Hoop Explorer has him at 21 mpg, and the 4th best player on the team with a net impact of 5.1.