I came into this writeup without having an idea what the numbers would actually look like, but the results legitimately shocked me.
You can see the parameters in the article, but teams that "limped" into the tournament since 2017 have exceeded their expected their collective win totals based on seed by 400%. Not a guarantee MU will win on Thursday, but interesting nonetheless.
https://painttouches.com/2022/03/15/is-momentum-a-thing-going-into-the-ncaa-tournament/ (https://painttouches.com/2022/03/15/is-momentum-a-thing-going-into-the-ncaa-tournament/)
Quote from: pux90mex on March 15, 2022, 10:51:45 PM
I came into this writeup without having an idea what the numbers would actually look like, but the results legitimately shocked me.
You can see the parameters in the article, but teams that "limped" into the tournament since 2017 have exceeded their expected their collective win totals based on seed by 400%. Not a guarantee MU will win on Thursday, but interesting nonetheless.
https://painttouches.com/2022/03/15/is-momentum-a-thing-going-into-the-ncaa-tournament/ (https://painttouches.com/2022/03/15/is-momentum-a-thing-going-into-the-ncaa-tournament/)
Well fuggin A boss. You convinced me to drop $50 on the good guys straight up. We are.
Hm, interesting. But of the 18 teams, only 9 won the first game "against their seed"/as an underdog. So, another sign pointing to a coinflip (aside from he 8/9 seeding).
I'm certainly not one that thinks MU has no hope, but I'm not sure this convinces me that I should be more optimistic!
It's a crapshoot I have been told.
If Only Wojo had read this to the 2019 team
Quote from: Galway Eagle on March 16, 2022, 08:05:54 AM
If Only Wojo had read this to the 2019 team
I am glad Al did.
We got this.
Seriously...awesome research
Maybe Wojo had a strategy after all, he just overshot the "limped into the tourney" part a bit too much...
#bigmomattas