MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: Holly Ellenson is my Mom on March 09, 2020, 05:45:58 PM

Title: Visualization of Wojo's Win % by Month
Post by: Holly Ellenson is my Mom on March 09, 2020, 05:45:58 PM
I have no idea what compelled me to do this, but I decided to put a little data set together of Wojo's time at MU.  I spent almost no time with it, but put together one viz with wins by month.  Morale of the story, he is consistently worse as the season goes on....

This is through his entire tenure here, and excludes the NIT & Preseason. Win % is for games in that month. Here is the image. 
If anyone would like my dataset, PM me.

EDIT* Forgot color legend
Red=Neutral location
Blue=Away
Orange=Home

Or if you want me to look into something else, let me know. I'm happy to.  I'm sure I'll dig in a little further...but my dataset is a little limited.  I don't have info other than game w/l.  So I couldn't look at rebounds, etc.
Title: Re: Visualization of Wojo's Win % by Month
Post by: BallBoy on March 09, 2020, 06:03:18 PM
Interesting, how does that compare to other coaches? 

My first thought is most teams play cupcakes so their wins should be higher in November and December. They should play tougher schedule in Jan and Feb while playing in conference. 

March just has fewer games so it likely would be the worst when looking at just total wins.

So interesting but doesn't prove your conclusion.

To draw any conclusion, I would think you would need some benchmark like average win by D-1 or P6 coaches.
Title: Re: Visualization of Wojo's Win % by Month
Post by: curbina on March 09, 2020, 06:04:15 PM
I like it, great job!

Title: Re: Visualization of Wojo's Win % by Month
Post by: GooooMarquette on March 09, 2020, 06:22:49 PM
Quote from: BallBoy on March 09, 2020, 06:03:18 PM

To draw any conclusion, I would think you would need some benchmark like average win by D-1 or P6 coaches.


Agree - a comparison to other P6 coaches would help. Along a similar line, I think it would also help to somehow tie the # of wins to SOS based on that month's opponents.
Title: Re: Visualization of Wojo's Win % by Month
Post by: 5DollarPitcher on March 09, 2020, 06:37:09 PM
Quote from: BallBoy on March 09, 2020, 06:03:18 PM
To draw any conclusion, I would think you would need some benchmark like average win by D-1 or P6 coaches.
Maybe I'm not understanding but wouldn't average win by D1 be .500?  Since everybody is playing another team and every game ends in a W or L?  Same should hold relatively true within the P6?

If I am, indeed thinking of that correctly, Wojo is a below average coach in February and March and a well below average coach in March, particularly.  The same theorem would not necessarily hold true for December (i.e. Wojo wouldn't necessarily be a well above average coach in December) because, as another poster has already mentioned, the majority of P6 teams are playing Middle Illinois Tech.
Title: Re: Visualization of Wojo's Win % by Month
Post by: Lennys Tap on March 09, 2020, 06:41:32 PM
Quote from: 5DollarPitcher on March 09, 2020, 06:37:09 PM
Maybe I'm not understanding but wouldn't average win by D1 be .500?  Since everybody is playing another team and every game ends in a W or L?  Same should hold relatively true within the P6?

Once conference play starts, .500 is correct. Preseason (November and December, which includes "cupcakes") not so much.
Title: Re: Visualization of Wojo's Win % by Month
Post by: 5DollarPitcher on March 09, 2020, 06:42:32 PM
Quote from: Lennys Tap on March 09, 2020, 06:41:32 PM
Once conference play starts, .500 is correct. Preseason (November and December, which includes "cupcakes") not so much.
Yup, I edited my post to reflect that fact pattern.  Good catch.
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