MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: jmayer1 on December 01, 2006, 01:05:29 PM

Title: Pomeroy MU Prediction
Post by: jmayer1 on December 01, 2006, 01:05:29 PM: Don't know if anybody has posted this before but Pomeroy has us going 27-3 or 28-2 depending on how you look at, with only an 11% chance of losing to UW. Man, I can't wait for that game!!!!!

http://kenpom.com/sked.php?y=2007&team=Marquette&t=p (http://kenpom.com/sked.php?y=2007&team=Marquette&t=p)
Title: Re: Pomeroy MU Prediction
Post by: spiral97 on December 01, 2006, 01:17:42 PM: wow.. and the two losses are REALLY close:
first loss predicted is at UConn (67-65). A DJ three could fix that :)
second loss predicted is at Pitt (70-69). A lazar alley oop could fix that :)
Title: Re: Pomeroy MU Prediction
Post by: jmayer1 on December 01, 2006, 01:23:17 PM: A perfect home record would be fine with me...I believe the last time we did that was 01-02...DWade's first year (actually playing)...and coincidentally, mine as well
Title: Re: Pomeroy MU Prediction
Post by: WashDCWarrior on December 01, 2006, 01:46:13 PM: He also gives us a 98% chance of beating Louisville at home and 92% on the road. ???

Does that mean I can get 49:1 and 11.5:1 odds betting on Louisville. Ok Pomeroy, here's my dollar.
Title: Re: Pomeroy MU Prediction
Post by: spiral97 on December 01, 2006, 01:48:09 PM: Quote from: WashDCWarrior on December 01, 2006, 01:46:13 PM
He also gives us a 98% chance of beating Louisville at home and 92% on the road. ???

Does that mean I can get 49:1 and 11.5:1 odds betting on Louisville. Ok Pomeroy, here's my dollar.

hmm.. I could use a new laptop.. but I'd have to bet against my team.. sorry.. I'll stick with my clunker :)
Title: Re: Pomeroy MU Prediction
Post by: WashDCWarrior on December 01, 2006, 01:49:37 PM: I promise Spiral - the money would go straight into the MUScoop Scholarship fund. ;)
Title: Re: Pomeroy MU Prediction
Post by: spiral97 on December 01, 2006, 01:51:53 PM: I didn't realize bar patronization was even an official major at MU let alone eligible for scholarship sponsors.
Title: Re: Pomeroy MU Prediction
Post by: WashDCWarrior on December 01, 2006, 01:52:57 PM: You didn't????
Title: Re: Pomeroy MU Prediction
Post by: jmayer1 on December 01, 2006, 01:53:33 PM: Quote from: WashDCWarrior on December 01, 2006, 01:46:13 PM
He also gives us a 98% chance of beating Louisville at home and 92% on the road. ???

Does that mean I can get 49:1 and 11.5:1 odds betting on Louisville. Ok Pomeroy, here's my dollar.

I was thinking the same thing as I was going through the schedule--how can I get these odds?

Of course, I would rather have my thumbs cut off, forcing me to hit the space bar with my forefinger every time, than bet against the Warriors.
Title: Re: Pomeroy MU Prediction
Post by: jmayer1 on December 01, 2006, 02:01:00 PM: Obviously I don't put too much stock in these predictions as they are just churned out of one guy's computer but just for the sake of it here are some of his other predictions:

MU   27-3 (13-3)
UW    21-10 (10-6)
UWM   7-22 (5-11)
Pitt   25-5 (12-4)
G-Town   13-16 (5-11)
Louisville   14-17 (5-12)
UConn    26-4 (13-3)
Syracuse   20-10 (8-8)
Villanova   25-5 (13-3)
ND   23-6 (12-4)
Title: Re: Pomeroy MU Prediction
Post by: WashDCWarrior on December 01, 2006, 02:38:38 PM: G'Town 13-16 (5-11)
ND 23-6 (12-4)

This guys obviosly some sort of magical basketball wizard. He must be so nervous about someone stealing his mystical prediction formula.

QUACK!!
Title: Re: Pomeroy MU Prediction
Post by: jmayer1 on December 01, 2006, 02:59:54 PM: Yeah as I said, its just one guy using some formula he made up, its just cool to see someone predict MU to do so well.
Title: Re: Pomeroy MU Prediction
Post by: WashDCWarrior on December 01, 2006, 03:06:34 PM: Quote from: jmayer1 on December 01, 2006, 02:59:54 PM
Yeah as I said, its just one guy using some formula he made up, its just cool to see someone predict MU to do so well.

I agree, just saying I don't put a lot of stock in what he's saying. I hope I'm wrong.
Title: Re: Pomeroy MU Prediction
Post by: dwaderoy2004 on December 01, 2006, 03:11:53 PM: It's like any other early season computer rankings like the RPI. with a limited sample size, it tends to produce some goofy results. Check back in about a month and i bet its predictions are a lot more reasonable. regardless, it means nothing...as the saying goes, that's why they play the games.
Title: Re: Pomeroy MU Prediction
Post by: mu_hilltopper on December 01, 2006, 03:24:18 PM: Clearly, we should be awarded the National Championship right now. The season is merely a formality.