Is this a good thing, bad thing, or analytics run amok.
========
https://marquettewire.org/4003584/sports/mens-basketball-relies-on-howard-offensively-at-historic-rate/ (https://marquettewire.org/4003584/sports/mens-basketball-relies-on-howard-offensively-at-historic-rate/)
By John Steppe, Executive Sports Editor
Markus Howard drew plenty of praise after his 45-point performance against No. 12 Kansas State last Saturday, one of the top defensive teams in the country.
This reliance on Howard, who accounted for 54 percent of Marquette's points, is no new phenomenon for the Golden Eagles. Marquette's offense has relied on Howard at almost unprecedented rates this season.
Head coach Steve Wojciechowski's offense uses Howard in 30.5 percent of possessions, per KenPom, a prominent college basketball analytics site. To be "used" in a possession, the player's actions must result in the end of the possession.
"We want Markus to be aggressive," Wojciechowski said. "That's who he is when he's at his best. That can't change while he's learning and growing in other parts of the game."
No other Marquette player in the five-year Wojciechowski era has been used at that high of a rate. Former guard Andrew Rowsey was the only other player to be used on at least 30 percent of possessions in the last 10 years.
"(His teammates) give (Howard) the ball," Kansas State head coach Bruce Weber said. "The other guys swallow their ego, let him make the plays and get him open."
The last Marquette player who maintained that level of possessions throughout a season as high as Howard's was Jerel McNeal in 2006-'07. The only other players in the last 15 seasons were Travis Diener in 2004-'05 and Dwyane Wade in 2002-'03.
His high-scoring volume has resulted in teams defending Howard more aggressively. In 2017-'18, Howard drew 4.2 fouls per 40 minutes. After eight games this season, he is drawing 6.5 fouls per 40 minutes.
Howard is at pace to attempt 253 free throws this season. The program record is 279 free throws attempted, which dates back to the 1969-'70 season.
Howard and teammate Sam Hauser are the only Marquette players to start in every game this season. Hauser has not been needed offensively as much as Howard but has been crucial to Marquette's improved defense. The duo combined to start 67 games last season.
"(Howard) and Sam on our team have an incredible responsibility," Wojciechowski said. "They have to steer the ship while these other guys are figuring out where they're supposed to sit on the ship."
That responsibility included holding Kansas State star Dean Wade to 11 points on 3-for-7 shooting Saturday. Wade has averaged 15.4 points per game this season on 55-percent shooting.
"Sam was on Wade quite a bit," Wojciechowski said.
There's reason to believe that rate might subside to a more sustainable level, however. Newcomers like freshman Brendan Bailey and redshirt junior Ed Morrow have shown more confidence with the ball.
"Brendan and Ed are starting to find their footing," Wojciechowski said. "The comfortableness on the court seems to be there at a higher level than it was earlier in the season, which is certainly good to see."
Morrow played at least 15 minutes for the second and third time this season last week against Charleston Southern and Kansas State. Bailey was a minute short of a season high Tuesday, playing 21 minutes against Charleston Southern. Bailey played 12 minutes against a veteran-laden Kansas State team, though.
In the meantime, other coaches have been in awe of Howard's high-volume scoring.
"He definitely had a special night (Saturday)," Weber said. "You have to give him credit."
I mean, it's not a good thing to be so reliant on one player.
But it *is* a good thing that we have such a good player. I think Markus gets killed a little too much on this board.
Howard's usage is exactly the same as Rowsey's a year ago. Meh
Based on roster composition, it makes sense. Only other guy who is a potentially high usage player in a good way is Joey.
Quote from: Jay Bee on December 05, 2018, 09:02:02 AM
Howard's usage is exactly the same as Rowsey's a year ago. Meh
Based on roster composition, it makes sense. Only other guy who is a potentially high usage player in a good way is Joey.
I'm cool with that analysis.
Quote from: Sultan of South Wayne on December 05, 2018, 08:46:30 AMBut it *is* a good thing that we have such a good player. I think Markus gets killed a little too much on this board.
I agree completely. You want to be able to distribute the load more widely, but to date, Markus is probably the second most gifted scorer in Marquette history. Wade had more through two years, but Markus (if healthy) will likely pass George Thompson this year and could even overtake Jerel McNeal with a year of eligibility left.
I'd also be remiss if I didn't mention that every point Howard scored as a freshman and sophomore was at a younger age than Thompson was when he scored his first point for Marquette in December 1966.
Now that his defense is passable, he's getting to All American level. Does he have flaws? Sure. But he's going to go down as an all time legend at Marquette, so nothing wrong with letting him play like an all timer.
His contribution numbers will go down some when everyone starts playing consistently better.
I find it interesting that there is a lot of room for improvement by Markus and the entire team. Sure he had KSU-45. But the entire body of work, Markus could be much better...and pretty much everyone else has a lot higher ceiling than we're seeing now. (except Matt who is always Matt).
So the issue is not "too much Markus" but really everyone filling the gap between "where they are" and "where they can be".
Quote from: MUBigDance on December 05, 2018, 10:29:13 AM
His contribution numbers will go down some when everyone starts playing consistently better.
I find it interesting that there is a lot of room for improvement by Markus and the entire team. Sure he had KSU-45. But the entire body of work, Markus could be much better...and pretty much everyone else has a lot higher ceiling than we're seeing now. (except Matt who is always Matt).
So the issue is not "too much Markus" but really everyone filling the gap between "where they are" and "where they can be".
Nicely stated.