MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: Jay Bee on March 17, 2018, 10:36:43 AM

Title: MU's Winning Percentage is Higher When...
Post by: Jay Bee on March 17, 2018, 10:36:43 AM
...they shoot a worse FT% than their opponent as compared to when they shoot a better FT% than their opponent. #FTsNoMatta #201718Facts

Four Factor Breakdowns through the Harvard game:
eFG%:
1-9 when shooting worse
19-4 better

TO%:
4-7 worse
1-1 even
15-5 better

OR%:
10-8 worse
10-5 better

FTR:
12-11 worse
8-2 better
-------------------

Obviously eFG% reigns supreme... quick look at the unusual eFG% outcomes:

One win while shooting worse = at Creighton (-1.0%). MU had a surprising 44.8% to 23.1% OR% advantage. In the rematch, MU only managed a 20.0% OR%. The at Creighton game mark of 44.8% was a season high... and zero MU players had more than 2 offensive rebounds..

Four losses while shooting better =
vs. X (+0.6%).. Xavier with a big FTrate adv (39% to 20%)
vs. Nova (+4.8%).. Nova with a big FTrate adv (40% to 20%)
vs. Providence (+5.7%).. Prov with a big FTrate adv (70% to 49%); OR% adv (24% to 11%); TO% adv (14% to 19%)
at DePaul (+7.7%).. DPU with a big FTrate adv (54% to 15%); OR% adv (44% to 17%)
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