Nine games left. No more "yeah but" losses.
Hold serve at home (Butler, Providence, St. Johns, Creighton)
Win three on the road (Hall, St. Johns, Creighton, DePaul, Georgetown)
rots of ruck,season more than half over, lots of losses
This was a winnable game. Get even B- Markus we win. Couldn't get the arch he needed in his shot after the first 3. Missed and 1 critical. Ugh.
Not blaiming this game in the reffing, but definitely a couple calls late in that game that a team like Nova gets on their home court. Not sure it makes he difference, but definitely would have been nice to know. Unfortunate.
5-4 is needed. 6-3 to not be a little nervous. Gonna be tough.
Quote from: Wojos Blueprint on January 28, 2018, 02:21:53 PM
rots of ruck,season more than half over, lots of losses
Yeah but it's a tough schedule. 7-2 down the stretch and they are in no problem.
Just get 6. 4 at home and 2 on the road or 3 and 3.
Quote from: Vander Blue Man Group on January 28, 2018, 02:27:30 PM
Just get 6. 4 at home and 2 on the road or 3 and 3.
Yeah that'll work too. Really hard to do if you don't win the next two.
Hauser took 6 shots and MH took a lot more, he looked tired and had no lift to his shot
Quote from: #bansultan on January 28, 2018, 02:30:26 PM
Yeah that'll work too. Really hard to do if you don't win the next two.
Agreed. I'm driving up from Chicago for Providence so we really need a big effort against Butler.
It's halfway through the conference season. We are 4-5 and have six of our arguably seven toughest games out of the way (@Nova, @X, Nova, X @Providence, @Butler). I don't think any other Big East team has had to play X and Nova 4 times yet. Most difficult game left is @Seton Hall. Every other game is very winnable. Go 5-4 and we have a good shot at making the the dance. Go 6-3 and we are in. I like our odds.
Howard and Rowsey must stay out of foul trouble in order to get it done. The two St. Johns games without Lovett should be wins, along with Depaul. The others at this point are toss ups.
Quote from: TAMU Eagle on January 28, 2018, 02:50:47 PM
It's halfway through the conference season. We are 4-5 and have six of our arguably seven toughest games out of the way (@Nova, @X, Nova, X @Providence, @Butler). I don't think any other Big East team has had to play X and Nova 4 times yet. Most difficult game left is @Seton Hall. Every other game is very winnable. Go 5-4 and we have a good shot at making the the dance. Go 6-3 and we are in. I like our odds.
6-3 gets you to 19. We need 20 I think to feel comfortable
Quote from: Marquette4life on January 28, 2018, 03:06:24 PM
6-3 gets you to 19. We need 20 I think to feel comfortable
19-12 (with losses at Hall, Creighton, Georgetown and first round of BET v. Butler) gets MU to an RPI of 46.
That's much better than its RPI last year when they made it as an at large. (61)
Just win Wednesday.
Quote from: Marquette4life on January 28, 2018, 03:06:24 PM
6-3 gets you to 19. We need 20 I think to feel comfortable
Total wins no matta. They never matta. All about computer numbers.
6-3: Definitely In
5-4: Good shot to get in. Need to avoid bad loss in BET and too many bracketbusters
4-5: Probably in. Would need to at least make it to BET semis and probably the championship game to feel safe
Quote from: TAMU Eagle on January 28, 2018, 03:26:10 PM
Total wins no matta. They never matta. All about computer numbers.
6-3: Definitely In
5-4: Good shot to get in. Need to avoid bad loss in BET and too many bracketbusters
4-5: Probably in. Would need to at least make it to BET semis and probably the championship game to feel safe
You think 8-10 in BE gets them in?
Team did well against the number one team in the country. We just have to keep battling hard each possession the rest of the way.
Quote from: UNC Eagle on January 28, 2018, 03:32:18 PM
Still confident we will finish 3rd in the Big East and make it to second weekend of tournament. When the Big 3 are performing well we are hard to beat.
Team did well against the number one team in the country. We just have to keep battling hard each possession the rest of the way.
The problem with this, though, is that the big 3 have not been performing well together in conference play much. Sam disappears too often, and Howard and Rowsey seem to trade off playing poorly. We are far too inconsistent to have the outcome you're predicting.
Play like they did today and they will beat anyone left on the schedule. Next two games are key. No reason to lose at home the rest of the way. Then I have to think they can get a road win versus DePaul, St. John's or Georgetown. Get two and they are relaxing on Selection Sunday.
Quote from: nyg on January 28, 2018, 03:29:45 PM
You think 8-10 in BE gets them in?
No. But 8-10 with wins over a team like St. John's and a team like Xavier in the tournament makes it possible but still not likely. Add in a win against a team like Seton Hall and a loss to Villanova in the championship and I think that will do it.
Quote from: TAMU Eagle on January 28, 2018, 02:50:47 PM
It's halfway through the conference season. We are 4-5 and have six of our arguably seven toughest games out of the way (@Nova, @X, Nova, X @Providence, @Butler). I don't think any other Big East team has had to play X and Nova 4 times yet. Most difficult game left is @Seton Hall. Every other game is very winnable. Go 5-4 and we have a good shot at making the the dance. Go 6-3 and we are in. I like our odds.
What this guy said.
6-3 is dancing and the only question is the seed. 5-4 is nail biting time. 7-2 and MU ends up in the top half of the bracket.
Quote from: #bansultan on January 28, 2018, 02:20:14 PM
Nine games left. No more "yeah but" losses.
Hold serve at home (Butler, Providence, St. Johns, Creighton)
Win three on the road (Hall, St. Johns, Creighton, DePaul, Georgetown)
7-2? No way. Would love to see it, but IMO this team will not go 7-2.
5-4 more likely.
Quote from: wadesworld on January 28, 2018, 03:24:03 PM
Just win Wednesday.
I love this time of year when Wades feels compelled to rain on every thread that's looking ahead to what it takes to make The Dance.
Quote from: g0lden3agle on January 28, 2018, 04:18:25 PM
I love this time of year when Wades feels compelled to rain on every thread that's looking ahead to what it takes to make The Dance.
Me too.
Biggest game of the year Wednesday.
Quote from: g0lden3agle on January 28, 2018, 04:18:25 PM
I love this time of year when Wades feels compelled to rain on every thread that's looking ahead to what it takes to make The Dance.
Went 4-5 against the hardest schedule so far in the Big East. Go 6-3, the rest of the way and we are fine.
According to T-rank, we have the easiest Big East schedule left.
Quote from: Wojos Blueprint on January 28, 2018, 02:31:05 PM
Hauser took 6 shots and MH took a lot more, he looked tired and had no lift to his shot
Agree - Markus couldn't get it over the front of the rim - that front end of the one and one he missed barely got to the rim.
Quote from: JamilJaeJamailJrJuan on January 28, 2018, 02:26:25 PM
This was a winnable game. Get even B- Markus we win.
A "D" from Markus gives us a win. Unfortunate time for an "F", but he'll bounce back.
By next Saturday night, we will know if we are definitely OUT of the Dance. It may take a month before we are definitely IN.
Quote from: Marquette4life on January 28, 2018, 03:06:24 PM
6-3 gets you to 19. We need 20 I think to feel comfortable
20 wins no matta any longer that is not how it works.
Quote from: Lennys Tap on January 28, 2018, 04:33:57 PM
A "D" from Markus gives us a win. Unfortunate time for an "F", but he'll bounce back.
Truth. Would have liked to see Markus nailed to the bench permanently after the 4th foul. He didn't have it today. Forced too much, shooting way too early in shot clock, didn't involve teammates, and killed the momentum in each of the halves after he was brought back in while the lineup of Rowsey, Cain, Sacar, Sam, Froling/Heldt rallied us back into the lead/tie.
Sometimes a coach has to recognize even superstars have off nights, and keep them on the bench (especially when playing selfishly.)
Quote from: Dr. Blackheart on January 28, 2018, 04:41:01 PM
By next Saturday night, we will know if we are definitely OUT of the Dance. It may take a month before we are definitely IN.
Nope
Quote from: WE R FINAL FOUR on January 28, 2018, 04:12:25 PM
7-2? No way. Would love to see it, but IMO this team will not go 7-2.
5-4 more likely.
So total wins do matter.....
Never said anything to the contrary there Panda.
Quote from: Dr. Blackheart on January 28, 2018, 08:07:50 PM
We lose the next two at home, we are toast.
I quoted the wrong post. Sorry! I changed it.
Quote from: TAMU Eagle on January 28, 2018, 03:26:10 PM
Total wins no matta. They never matta. All about computer numbers.
6-3: Definitely In
5-4: Good shot to get in. Need to avoid bad loss in BET and too many bracketbusters
4-5: Probably in. Would need to at least make it to BET semis and probably the championship game to feel safe
So total wins do matter...
Quote from: panda on January 28, 2018, 08:13:44 PM
So total wins do matter...
Not the way he was using them. The committee doesn't look at a team with a top 50 RPI and top 30 SOS and say "Well their computer numbers make them a no brainer but they didn't get 20 wins... "
Quote from: TAMU Eagle on January 28, 2018, 08:46:53 PM
Not the way he was using them. The committee doesn't look at a team with a top 50 RPI and top 30 SOS and say "Well their computer numbers make them a no brainer but they didn't get 20 wins... "
Right. Or take a look at Nebraska. 20 wins gives them a projected RPI of 77, SOS 104.
Marquette 18 wins> Nebraska 20 wins
From Jan. 28 to Feb. 11 last year, we went 1-4, including home losses to Butler and Providence. Dropped us to 6-7 in the conference. Seemed like we were "toast." Lots of gloom and doom in ScoopLand.
Then we won 4 of 5 and, despite losing our first (and only) game in the BET, we ended up making the NCAAs with room to spare.
We played a tougher non-conference schedule this season, and have better RPI and kenpom to show for it.
So pardon me if I reject the "If we lost to Butler on Wednesday our season is over" thesis.
Quote from: Dr. Blackheart on January 28, 2018, 08:07:50 PM
We lose the next two at home, we are toast.
Realistically, yeah. Mathematically, no.
We are 4-1 against everyone else but Nova and X. I'd like to think that continues.