That's a lot of points!
You're right that is the line, but that is one of the fishiest lines I've seen this year. Power ratings with 3.5 for home court have Nova at -9.5.
Something weird going on here.
Take the over*
*for points scored. I think we have too many good shooters to lose by 16. Either we're shooting well and competitive or we're shooting 3s against lax defensive to play catchup.
MU covers 16. We have a thin chance at an upset.
Quote from: MUBigDance on January 05, 2018, 10:46:49 PM
MU covers 16. We have a thin chance at an upset.
My rent gets/doesn't get paid based on the outcome. #$100
This doesnt make sense
Quote from: Jay Bee on January 05, 2018, 11:04:46 PM
My rent gets/doesn't get paid based on the outcome. #$100
Sweat not, the polar vortex is almost over.
Edit nm
Pre Badger game I predicted MU in a laugher. Unfortunately, today I believe we lose in a laugher. Many gaps in the MU lineup and I believe a little too much excitement over the play of the freshmen. Hope I am wrong, but I only think MU covers if some late buckets in mop up time.
My biggest concerns are turnovers, fouls on 'Nova's home court, our defense, rebounding and no open shots due to their tight D. Having said that, we did win last year. Let's hope for the best but be realistic in our chances.
Quote from: Goose on January 06, 2018, 03:57:17 AM
Pre Badger game I predicted MU in a laugher. Unfortunately, today I believe we lose in a laugher. Many gaps in the MU lineup and I believe a little too much excitement over the play of the freshmen. Hope I am wrong, but I only think MU covers if some late buckets in mop up time.
Disagree. This Warrior team has a lot of depth and fire power. If the stars line up, we will win again.
I don't see a way to victory here. Moral victory is the best we can hope for, but I am not feeling that, either. Take Nova, give the points, and bet the over. 95-70 Hope nobody gets hurt.
Quote from: Goose on January 06, 2018, 03:57:17 AM
Pre Badger game I predicted MU in a laugher. Unfortunately, today I believe we lose in a laugher. Many gaps in the MU lineup and I believe a little too much excitement over the play of the freshmen. Hope I am wrong, but I only think MU covers if some late buckets in mop up time.
I'm afraid you may be right and Vegas is right on this one. I believe Nova has a history of kicking the snot out of teams after a loss and we're that team.
Let's face it, Nova is a better team with a better coach and at home. If we can keep it within 10 I'd be very happy.
The 16 point line is big but justified. It's hard to command respect when it takes a player to score 52 points to beat a marginal team without their best player in overtime. The reality is our interior defense and rebounding has been brutal. Were young, will get better.
KPom says Nova by 15 with a 9% chance of MU winning me $100. Much better payout odds than the Powerball.
Quote from: Goose on January 06, 2018, 03:57:17 AM
Pre Badger game I predicted MU in a laugher. Unfortunately, today I believe we lose in a laugher. Many gaps in the MU lineup and I believe a little too much excitement over the play of the freshmen. Hope I am wrong, but I only think MU covers if some late buckets in mop up time.
Agree. If Nova comes to play we they will cover the spread. Villanova is simply a better team than we are.
Quote from: mufvr on January 06, 2018, 08:41:49 AM
The 16 point line is big but justified. It's hard to command respect when it takes a player to score 52 points to beat a marginal team without their best player in overtime. The reality is our interior defense and rebounding has been brutal. Were young, will get better.
Are we sticking to the idea that Providence is a "marginal team" or...?
Marginal within the limits of the power b-ball conferences.
Quote from: mufvr on January 06, 2018, 08:41:49 AM
The 16 point line is big but justified. It's hard to command respect when it takes a player to score 52 points to beat a marginal team without their best player in overtime. The reality is our interior defense and rebounding has been brutal. Were young, will get better.
A marginal team who beat a Top 10 today.
Quote from: Jockey on January 06, 2018, 03:31:09 PM
A marginal team who beat a Top 10 today.
X is overrated.
Re the game today - if you think MU will score 73 points, take them and over. If we get to 73, worse you'll do is lose juice.
Quote from: Lennys Tap on January 06, 2018, 04:01:30 PM
X is overrated.
Re the game today - if you think MU will score 73 points, take them and over. If we get to 73, worse you'll do is lose juice.
X is not overrated.
Lenny
I think X is awfully good. They are going to be a very tough out in March. As for tonight's game, I do not think we score 73 tonight. Hope I am wrong.
Quote from: JamilJaeJamailJrJuan on January 06, 2018, 04:04:36 PM
X is not overrated.
Depends what you mean by that
They are definitely not the 5th best basketball team in the country.
They are very good tho
Quote from: PGsHeroes32 on January 06, 2018, 04:16:48 PM
Depends what you mean by that
They are definitely not the 5th best basketball team in the country.
They are very good tho
Give your top 10 teams. If they're not too 5, they're top 6, IMO.
Nervous for tonight yet? Odds obviously well in your favor, but can't feeling great today.
This thread is deja vu....all over again.
Quote from: Jockey on January 06, 2018, 03:31:09 PM
A marginal team who beat a Top 10 today.
Providence only beats the easy Top 10 teams
Quote from: JamilJaeJamailJrJuan on January 06, 2018, 04:19:07 PM
Give your top 10 teams. If they're not too 5, they're top 6, IMO.
Nervous for tonight yet? Odds obviously well in your favor, but can't feeling great today.
In no order but teams I think are better then X forsure
Nova, Duke, MSU, Virginia, West Virginia, Oklahoma.
Then there's a lot you can make cases for.
ASU obviously won the head to head. WSU and Texas A&M when they get full rosters. Purdue. The other 3 big 12 teams. Kentucky, Zona.
X is very good. But this year a lot of these teams are close and there's going to keep being turnover.
Quote from: JamilJaeJamailJrJuan on January 06, 2018, 04:19:07 PM
Give your top 10 teams. If they're not too 5, they're top 6, IMO.
Nervous for tonight yet? Odds obviously well in your favor, but can't feeling great today.
Nah not nervous.
I really don't even think the game will be close.
No shame in it. Nova is in my opinion the best team in the country so getting smacked on their home floor doesn't mean much negatively for us
Quote from: PGsHeroes32 on January 06, 2018, 05:36:58 PM
In no order but teams I think are better then X forsure
Nova, Duke, MSU, Virginia, West Virginia, Oklahoma.
Then there's a lot you can make cases for.
ASU obviously won the head to head. WSU and Texas A&M when they get full rosters. Purdue. The other 3 big 12 teams. Kentucky, Zona.
X is very good. But this year a lot of these teams are close and there's going to keep being turnover.
Fair.
My current top 10 would be:
1. Duke
2. Villanova
3. Michigan St.
4. Oklahoma
5. WV
6. Xavier
7. Purdue
8. Kentucky
9. Wich St.
10. AZ St.
I have UVA 11.
I think X is really 4, but West Virginia and Oklahoma have better resumes at the moment.
Not too far off.
Quote from: Lennys Tap on January 06, 2018, 04:01:30 PM
Re the game today - if you think MU will score 73 points, take them and over. If we get to 73, worse you'll do is lose juice.
Bump
Quote from: Lennys Tap on January 06, 2018, 09:41:19 PM
Bump
I took the over and MU +16. Felt good the whole time
It seems extremely rare if MU gets blown out by 20'or more. I recall Buzz's teams were much more prone to it however.
Speaking of buzz, didn't they get blown out by Virginia by 25 the other day?
Nice call, Lenny. Yesterday is perfect example of why I do no bet on games anymore. Happy for anyone that pulled the trigger and played the game.