MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: MUFlutieEffect on December 05, 2017, 08:07:43 PM

Title: 2017-18 MU Scoop Pre-Season Poll RESULTS
Post by: MUFlutieEffect on December 05, 2017, 08:07:43 PM
Big thanks to the ~120 of you who took the poll, and an even bigger thanks to those who gave the thread a bump and got us a few extra responses.  Excel spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cgtwJ5tQ86XNkkaHyY_BFS-YqsrzzVkq5pp6Mhpk0WU/edit?usp=sharing (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cgtwJ5tQ86XNkkaHyY_BFS-YqsrzzVkq5pp6Mhpk0WU/edit?usp=sharing)

Brief game-by-game synopsis of Scoopers' predictions:

WIN PCT   OPPONENT
100.00%   Mount St. Mary's
100.00%   Eastern Illinois
100.00%   Chicago State
100.00%   Northern Illinois
100.00%   American
100.00%   DePaul
97.52%   Georgetown
97.52%   St. John's
95.87%   @ DePaul
92.56%   @ Georgetown
90.91%   Creighton
89.26%   Providence
88.43%   Butler
84.30%   VCU (Neutral: Maui)
84.30%   Georgia
57.02%   Seton Hall
57.02%   @ St. John's
50.41%   TBD: ND/CHAM/MICH/LSU (Neutral: Maui)
46.28%   @ Creighton
43.80%   Xavier
39.67%   TBD: Wichita St./California (Neutral: Maui)
38.84%   @ Wisconsin
36.36%   @ Butler
25.62%   @ Providence
24.79%   Purdue
11.57%   @ Xavier
11.57%   @ Seton Hall
9.92%   Villanova
0.83%   @ Villanova

Big East & Post-Season Expectations:

   BE Reg. Season
2nd   3.31%
3rd   9.09%
4th   32.23%
5th   31.40%
6th   11.57%
7th   9.92%
8th   2.48%
   
   BE Tourney
Runner-Up (Lose in the Championship Game)   1.67%
Tie for Third Place (Lose in the Semifinals)   35.83%
Lose in the Quarterfinals   49.17%
Lose in the First Round   13.33%
   
   Post Season
NCAA   73.55%
NIT   21.49%
None   4.96%

Compared to last year's Pre-Season Poll:

                   2016   2017
H: DePaul           99%   100%
H: Georgetown   85%   98%
H: St. John's   99%   98%
A: DePaul           97%   96%
A: Georgetown   26%   93%
H: Creighton   85%   91%
H: Providence   96%   89%
H: Butler           79%   88%
H: Seton Hall   77%   57%
A: St. John's   80%   57%
A: Creighton   20%   46%
H: Xavier           39%   44%
A: Butler           28%   36%
A: Providence   64%   26%
A: Xavier           4%   12%
A: Seton Hall   16%   12%
H: Villanova   23%   10%
A: Villanova   0%   1%
      
Georgia   A: 57%   H: 84%
Wisconsin   H: 33%   A: 39%

   Post Season   
   2016   2017
NCAA   54.01%   73.55%
NIT           34.31%   21.49%
None    11.68%   4.96%
Title: Re: 2017-18 MU Scoop Pre-Season Poll RESULTS
Post by: #UnleashSean on December 05, 2017, 08:16:22 PM
ClamCrowder is an awesome name
Title: Re: 2017-18 MU Scoop Pre-Season Poll RESULTS
Post by: rocky_warrior on December 05, 2017, 10:04:46 PM
No predictions on Vermont?
Title: Re: 2017-18 MU Scoop Pre-Season Poll RESULTS
Post by: mu_hilltopper on December 05, 2017, 10:27:07 PM
Flutie .. could you make row 2 taller and word wrap the row .. can't see the name of the opponent. 
Title: Re: 2017-18 MU Scoop Pre-Season Poll RESULTS
Post by: MUFlutieEffect on December 08, 2017, 08:49:36 AM
Quote from: rocky_warrior on December 05, 2017, 10:04:46 PM
No predictions on Vermont?

Sorry, Rocky - missed Vermont when setting up the poll.  Someone pointed it out in the thread, but only after >50 people had responded, so opted to leave it off.
Title: Re: 2017-18 MU Scoop Pre-Season Poll RESULTS
Post by: MUFlutieEffect on March 03, 2018, 08:51:36 PM
Scoopers finish the regular season 20-9 (presumably 21-9, had Vermont not been accidentally left off the survey).  Difficult to overstate how bad that DePaul loss was, and it proved the difference between finishing in the bottom half of the conference as opposed to the 4th or 5th place Big East finish Scoopers had predicted.

'Correct' Predictions
WIN PCT   OPPONENT
100.00%   Mount St. Mary's
100.00%   Eastern Illinois
100.00%   Chicago State
100.00%   Northern Illinois
100.00%   American
100.00%   DePaul
97.52%   Georgetown
97.52%   St. John's
92.56%   @ Georgetown
90.91%   Creighton
84.30%   VCU (Neutral: Maui)
57.02%   Seton Hall
50.41%   TBD: ND/CHAM/MICH/LSU (Neutral: Maui)
43.80%   Xavier
39.67%   TBD: Wichita St./California (Neutral: Maui)
36.36%   @ Butler
24.79%   Purdue
11.57%   @ Xavier
9.92%   Villanova
0.83%   @ Villanova

'Incorrect' Predictions
WIN PCT   OPPONENT
95.87%   @ DePaul
89.26%   Providence
88.43%   Butler
84.30%   Georgia
57.02%   @ St. John's
46.28%   @ Creighton
38.84%   @ Wisconsin
25.62%   @ Providence
11.57%   @ Seton Hall
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