http://www.basketballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=67 (http://www.basketballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=67)
But if you want to cut to the chase. PS - That's Ken Pomeroy and John Gasaway (formerly of Big Ten Wonk).
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John: Well, I'm more than a little shaky about predicting that Wisconsin will finish in a tie for first in the Big Ten. The paradigm-shifting thing about the Badgers' loss to Marquette on Saturday wasn't that it happened in the Kohl Center, where Wisconsin never loses. It was that the Badgers were beaten, and beaten badly, on their defensive glass, where Wisconsin never loses. Also note that against top-25 competition this season (Duke and Marquette), UW has turned the ball over quite frequently. Too few defensive rebounds and too many turnovers from a Bo Ryan team. I can't believe I just formed those words.
Ken: Alright, I think I've had enough ego-bruising for now. Let's talk about some of the things we've done right. Hey, I'll even give you a pass on the Badgers. Calling Marquette and Duke "top-25 competition" is like calling North Carolina an "at-large quality team." I think one thing we both did well was give the Golden Eagles and the Blue Devils a realistic shot to win their conferences. OK, maybe I didn't give Duke that much of a shot to win the ACC, but they seemed like a safe bet for second, and based on the early returns it would be shocking if they did any worse than that. What do you like about that other team from Wisconsin?
John: In my Big East preview I pretty much said there was a lot to like about Marquette, except for their shooting. Now they're shooting well. Look out.