MUScoop

MUScoop => Hangin' at the Al => Topic started by: Henry Sugar on November 16, 2015, 04:29:21 PM

Title: College Hoops will be different this year
Post by: Henry Sugar on November 16, 2015, 04:29:21 PM
Scoring is up 7% over the first weekend last season. Pace is up 5% and efficiency is up 2%.

Keep this in mind when looking at improvements for #mubb's offense (or worsening defense) over last year's raw numbers.

The full article is worth reading.

http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/entry/early_hot_take_on_new_rules
Title: Re: College Hoops will be different this year
Post by: MuMark on November 16, 2015, 04:54:26 PM
Rule changes are encouraging early on.
Title: Re: College Hoops will be different this year
Post by: tower912 on November 16, 2015, 05:00:28 PM
I want the timeouts back.  OK with the shot clock and the defensive changes.
Title: Re: College Hoops will be different this year
Post by: brandx on November 16, 2015, 05:07:05 PM
My guess is that most of the scoring increase is due to the new officiating rules rather than the shot clock. As the article says, there are about 4 more fouls per game being called on average than last year.
Title: Re: College Hoops will be different this year
Post by: GooooMarquette on November 16, 2015, 05:34:35 PM
Quote from: tower912 on November 16, 2015, 05:00:28 PM
I want the timeouts back.  OK with the shot clock and the defensive changes.

I actually think that's the best of the changes.  So often, coaches would save them all (except the use-it or lose-it in the first half) until the final two minutes...and turn the finish into a slow, painful death.
Title: Re: College Hoops will be different this year
Post by: tower912 on November 16, 2015, 05:41:16 PM
IMO, one more timeout and we beat Belmont.  If Wojo had a timeout in his pocket during the last minute I think the outcome is different.
Title: Re: College Hoops will be different this year
Post by: GooooMarquette on November 16, 2015, 06:13:21 PM
Quote from: tower912 on November 16, 2015, 05:41:16 PM
IMO, one more timeout and we beat Belmont.  If Wojo had a timeout in his pocket during the last minute I think the outcome is different.

Perhaps, but it could just as often go the other way.  On balance, I like the idea that coaches have one less timeout to hold for the end.
Title: Re: College Hoops will be different this year
Post by: Lennys Tap on November 16, 2015, 06:47:07 PM
Quote from: tower912 on November 16, 2015, 05:41:16 PM
IMO, one more timeout and we beat Belmont.  If Wojo had a timeout in his pocket during the last minute I think the outcome is different.

It's not like Wojo wasn't told ahead of time about the change - he could have saved a TO.
Title: Re: College Hoops will be different this year
Post by: MU82 on November 16, 2015, 07:11:05 PM
Thumbs up for fewer timeouts.
Title: Re: College Hoops will be different this year
Post by: mileskishnish72 on November 16, 2015, 07:35:23 PM
There are still too many TO's.
Title: Re: College Hoops will be different this year
Post by: Spotcheck Billy on November 17, 2015, 07:29:33 AM
This could hurt the Warriors:

2. More 3's are being shot

So far this season, 36.3% of field goal attempts have been 3-pointers. If it held up, that number would easily surpass the current record of 34.4% set in the 2007-08 season. Typically, there isn't much of a season-long trend in 3-point attempts. The full-season numbers tend to be close to what you see the first weekend. Given that we are so far above the long-term norms, it's reasonable to expect this number to drop a bit, if anything. But even with a small correction, it appears this will be the Year of the 3. Is this because more teams are having to rush 3's late in the shot clock? It doesn't seem that way, because...

Title: Re: College Hoops will be different this year
Post by: bradley center bat on November 17, 2015, 07:46:31 AM
Quote from: GooooMarquette on November 16, 2015, 05:34:35 PM
I actually think that's the best of the changes.  So often, coaches would save them all (except the use-it or lose-it in the first half) until the final two minutes...and turn the finish into a slow, painful death.
I LOVE that a team timeout 30 seconds within a media timout, turns into a full media timeout. Then the next dead ball, we don't get that media timeout.
Title: Re: College Hoops will be different this year
Post by: WarriorInNYC on November 17, 2015, 08:20:38 AM
Quote from: brandx on November 16, 2015, 05:07:05 PM
My guess is that most of the scoring increase is due to the new officiating rules rather than the shot clock. As the article says, there are about 4 more fouls per game being called on average than last year.

I haven't read the article at all yet, and I understand that the rule changes lead to more fouls per game.  But how much of the 4 more fouls per game is due to increased possessions?  Increased possessions alone should lead to an increase in fouls.
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