For those interested, here are the in-game win probability charts for the season. https://misix.com/marquettes-in-game-win-probabilities (https://misix.com/marquettes-in-game-win-probabilities)
A very interesting set of charts you have put together Andy.
The most interesting fact was in six Big East games that chart dropped from the blue into yellow during the last five minutes, or less. That is, there were six games the Warriors lost because they did not "close."
Had the Warriors won, say, one-half of these games, the would have ended the season 16-16.
I don't think they had the talent to be 16-16. In fact, I am surprised they managed 14-19. The 2014-15 Warriors are the opposite of the 2013-14 team which had a great deal more talent and experience, but could only manage 17-15. But, they could not close either.
Quote from: UticaBusBarn on March 13, 2015, 11:18:58 AM
A very interesting set of charts you have put together Andy.
The most interesting fact was in six Big East games that chart dropped from the blue into yellow during the last five minutes, or less. That is, there were six games the Warriors lost because they did not "close."
Had the Warriors won, say, one-half of these games, the would have ended the season 16-16.
I don't think they had the talent to be 16-16. In fact, I am surprised they managed 14-19. The 2014-15 Warriors are the opposite of the 2013-14 team which had a great deal more talent and experience, but could only manage 17-15. But, they could not close either.
For different reasons though. Last year Derrick Wilson and Jake Thomas were an absolute drag on the entire front court. This season Derrick improved in enough areas that one honestly couldn't say that about him. He still had his weaknesses, but they weren't so glaringly obvious.